Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 3QCY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Taurus Research

Dec 5 2024


Taurus Securities


  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited is a leading petrochemical company that specializes in the production and marketing of Purified Terephthalic Acid (PTA), a key raw material used in the manufacturing of polyester fibers, and plastics, contributing significantly to the textile and packaging industries in Pakistan.
  • LOTCHEM’s revenue in 3QCY24 was PKR 25Bn as compared to PKR 24Bn in the same period last year (4.3% YoY increase).
  • However, the Company’s gross profit margin significantly declined to 4.25% in 3QCY24 from 14.48% in 3QCY23. The reason for this sharp decline was because of the broader challenges faced by Pakistan, including high interest rates and escalating energy costs. These challenges caused Lotte's customers to reduce their operational rates, resulting in lower demand for PTA.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 1QCY25 EPS clocked in at PKR0.44 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Apr 17 2025


Insight Securities


  • LOTCHEM has announced its 1QCY25 result, wherein company has posted PAT of PKR0.7bn (EPS: PKR0.44) vs. PAT of PKR0.9bn (EPS: PKR0.59) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation due to lower than estimated revenue.
  • In 1QCY25, revenue decreased by 33% YoY, due to lower volumetric sales. While on QoQ basis, same is up by 6% possibly due to higher PTA prices and volumetric sales.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 6.2%, up by 100bps/540bps YoY/QoQ, due to improved core delta.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 1QCY25 Preview: Profitability to stay muted - By Insight Research

Apr 16 2025


Insight Securities


  • LOTCHEM is expected to post a PAT of PKR806mn (EPS: PKR0.50) in 1QCY25 vs. loss of PKR19mn (LPS: PKR0.01) in preceding quarter amid better core delta. While on YoY basis profitability inch up by ~2%. To note, International PTA prices plunged by ~13% YoY to clock in at ~US$682/ton. Similarly, PX prices witnessed a decrease of ~16% YoY to clock in at US$868/ ton, resulting in an increase of ~9% in PTA-PX spread. Company’s topline is expected to decrease by 25% YoY to clock in at PKR24.3bn in 1QCY25, amid lower volumetric sales. Whereas, same is expected to increase by ~20% QoQ due to higher volumetric sales. Gross margins of the company are estimated to clock in at 6.5% in 1QCY25, witnessing an increase of ~130bps/5.7ppts YoY/QoQ on account of improved core delta. Selling and distribution expense is expected to increase by 39%/20%, YoY/QoQ.
  • EPCL is expected to post a consolidated LAT of PKR264mn (LPS: PKR0.29) in 1QCY25 vs. LAT of PKR900mn (LPS: PKR0.99) in SPLY. Company’s topline is expected to increase by 12% YoY to clock in at PKR18.5bn in 1QCY25, amid higher volumetric sales. While, same is expected to decline by ~13% QoQ primarily due to lower PVC prices. Gross margins are estimated to clock in at 10.2% in 1QCY25 witnessing an increase of ~380bps YoY, attributable to higher volumetric sales. While on QoQ basis, same is expected to decline by ~390bps amid lower core delta and higher gas prices. To note, International PVC prices decline by ~4%/5% YoY/QoQ to clock in at ~US$756/ton. Similarly, PVCEthylene margins witnessed a decline of ~5%/10% YoY/QoQ. Selling and distribution expense is expected to decrease by 32% YoY, whereas same is expected to go down by ~8% QoQ. Financial charges are anticipated to decrease by 22%/27% YoY/ QoQ to clock in at PKR1.3bn, primarily due to decline in debt level and interest rates.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Earnings Hold Steady as PTA Margins Remain Underwhelming - By IIS Research

Apr 16 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We expect LOTCHEM to report a PAT of PKR 779 million (EPS: PKR 0.51) for 1QCY25, compared to LPS 0.01 in last quarter. This improvement comes as operations normalize following a one-month plant turnaround last quarter. PTA sales volumes are also anticipated to recover to typical levels. However, PTAPX margins have averaged USD 100/ton this quarter, lower than the USD 122/ton in the past six years and the long term average of USD 110/ton, largely due to global dynamics and subdued international demand.
  • Additionally, this quarter is affected by the recent gas price hike. Where, the gas price for captive power plants has increased to Rs 3,500 per MMBtu, effective February 1, 2025. While this increase poses some pressure, it's worth noting that LOTCHEM’s cost structure and margins are largely driven by international PTA-PX spreads. Notably, in CY24, only around 7% of COGS was from oil, gas, and electricity expenses. Furthermore, the company is in the process of being acquired, as AsiaPak Investments Limited and Montage Oil DMCC entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire a 75.01% stake in LOTCHEM.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 4QCY24 LPS clocked-in at Rs0.01 - By Foundation Research

Feb 13 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) released its 4QCY24 financial result with loss of Rs0.01/sh compared to profit of Rs0.16/sh in 4QCY23. This cumulates to CY24 earnings of Rs1.75/sh, down 48% YoY.
  • Notably, AsiaPak Investment Company Limited and Montage Oil DMCC have informed PSX of their intention to acquire 75.01% shares of LOTCHEM via a Share Purchase Agreement. This would require them to undertake a Public Offer for 12.49% (189.2 mn) of the outstanding shares.
  • Decline in 4QCY24 profitability is attributable to (1) 53 day plant maintenance shutdown, (2) higher gas prices and (3) appreciation of avg. Rs-US$ despite higher PTA-PX margin.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 4QCY24 LPS clocked in at PKR0.01 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 13 2025


Insight Securities


  • LOTCHEM has announced its 4QCY24 result, wherein company has posted LAT of PKR19mn (LPS: PKR0.01) vs. PAT of PKR238mn (EPS: PKR0.16) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation due to lower than estimated gross margins and revenue.
  • In 4QCY24, revenue increased by 4% YoY, due to higher volumetric sales. While on QoQ basis, same is down by 17% due to lower PTA prices and volumetric sales.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 0.8%, down by 120bps/340bps YoY/QoQ, possibly due to lower realized core delta.
Lotte Chemicals Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Earnings Fall Short on Margin Pressure, Maintenance Disruptions - By IIS Research

Feb 13 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Lotte Chemicals Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) has announced its CY24 financial result today, where the company has posted PAT of PKR 2,647 mn with an EPS of PKR 1.75. This fell short of our expectation of PKR 2.13/sh, reflecting a 48% YoY decline, primarily due to PTA-PX margins averaging USD 100/ton in CY24 compared to USD 110/ton in CY23 coupled with minimal profitability in 4QCY24, as sales decreased by 17% QoQ due to a plant shutdown for maintenance, initially planned for one month but later extended by seven days.
  • The company did not announce a dividend alongside the results, contrary to our expectation of 1/sh. The total CY24 dividend stood at PKR 0.50 per share, translating to a payout ratio of 29%, lower than the seven year average annual payout ratio of 68%.
  • On a quarterly basis, gross margins were reported at 0.8%, compared to 4.2% in the previous quarter and 2.0% in 3QCY23. Financial charges for the quarter amounted to PKR 115 million, reflecting a 35% YoY and 38% QoQ decrease. Other income declined by 70% YoY and 24% QoQ, mainly due to a lower interest rate environment.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Earnings Steady, Dividend expected at PKR 1/Share - By IIS Research

Feb 6 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We expect LOTCHEM to report a PAT of PKR 559 million (EPS: PKR 0.37) for 4QCY24, while for CY24, the PAT is projected at PKR 3,221 million (EPS: PKR 2.13). Additionally, we anticipate a dividend of PKR 1 per share this quarter, bringing the total dividend for the year to PKR 1.5 per share.
  • PTA sales volumes for 4QCY24 are expected to be on the lower side as the company suspended plant operations for maintenance for one month, later extending it by seven more days. However, gross margins are anticipated to improve this quarter to 7%, supported by stable margins. On a yearly basis, gross margins for CY24 are expected to be around 6%, down from 13% in CY23, primarily due to PTA-PX margins averaging USD 100/ton in CY24 compared to USD 110/ton in CY23.
  • Moreover, gas prices have once again increased. As per the latest notification, the gas price for captive power plants has been raised to Rs 3,500 per MMBtu, effective February 1, 2025. While this poses a concern for the company, its major costs and margins remain largely influenced by international PTA-PX margins.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Corporate Briefing Notes – By Chase Research

Dec 5 2024



  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) reported a net profit of PKR 2.66 billion (EPS: PKR 1.76) in 9MCY24. This represents a 45% decline from a net profit of PKR 4.84 billion (EPS: PKR 3.20) in the same period last year (SPLY).
  • Revenue for 9MCY24 increased by 43% year-on-year to PKR 88.98 billion, compared to PKR 62.14 billion in 9MCY23. The trading of Acetic Acid contributed gross profit of PKR 358 million during 9MCY24. The price of Acetic Acid ranged between $450 and $500 per ton during the period.
  • LOTCHEM is the sole producer of purified terephthalic acid (PTA) in Pakistan, with an annual production capacity of 500 KT. Approximately 40% of the company’s sales are made to Novatex Limited.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 3QCY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Taurus Research

Dec 5 2024


Taurus Securities


  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited is a leading petrochemical company that specializes in the production and marketing of Purified Terephthalic Acid (PTA), a key raw material used in the manufacturing of polyester fibers, and plastics, contributing significantly to the textile and packaging industries in Pakistan.
  • LOTCHEM’s revenue in 3QCY24 was PKR 25Bn as compared to PKR 24Bn in the same period last year (4.3% YoY increase).
  • However, the Company’s gross profit margin significantly declined to 4.25% in 3QCY24 from 14.48% in 3QCY23. The reason for this sharp decline was because of the broader challenges faced by Pakistan, including high interest rates and escalating energy costs. These challenges caused Lotte's customers to reduce their operational rates, resulting in lower demand for PTA.
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day July 7, 2025 - By JS Research

Jul 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1.4% to an all-time intraday high of 133,862.01, driven by optimism over trade negotiations, macroeconomic stability, and a strong corporate earnings outlook. Falling inflation, strengthening FX reserves, and capital inflows are enhancing investor confidence, while higher taxes on alternative assets are redirecting capital into equities. With earnings season ahead and technical indicators breaking new ground, we expect the bullish momentum to persist in the near term, supported by favorable macro trends and reallocation from fixed-income instruments.
Market Wrap: Bullish Momentum Carries KSE-100 Beyond 133,000 - By HMFS Research

Jul 7 2025


HMFS Research


  • The market continued its unrelenting bullish streak, surging past the 133,862 mark for the first time in history. This milestone rally was fueled by renewed investor confidence, driven by key trade developments and sector-specific momentum. Investor sentiment received a notable boost as Pakistan and the U.S. concluded a critical round of trade talks ahead of the July 9 deadline. While an official announcement is still awaited, early signs point to a favorable deal for Pakistan’s export sectors. Adding to the positive momentum, OGDC reported a production uplift following the successful installation of an ESP at Rajian-05, where it holds full ownership—further reinforcing its operational strength. The rally was led by the banking and fertilizer sectors, supported by expectations of strong upcoming results and favorable sectoral tailwinds. The KSE-100 index closed at 133,370 level, up 1,421 points in a robust session. Market activity remained upbeat, with 344 million shares traded on the KSE100 and total market volume reaching 915 million shares. Volume leaders included IMAGE (48mn), BOP (43mn), and WTL (37mn). While a short-term breather cannot be ruled out given the sharp upward trajectory, overall sentiment is expected to remain strong amid continued macroeconomic improvement. Investors are advised to stay focused on fundamentally sound stocks with long-term value.
Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDC): OGDC enhances production at Rajian-05 well - By AKD Research

Jul 7 2025


AKD Securities


  • Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDC) has enhanced production in Rajian-05 through installation of electrical submersible pumps (ESP). Following the workover, production has increased to 3.1kbpd of oil and 1.0mmcfd of gas, compared to 1.1k bpd/0.5mmcfd of oil/gas during 3QFY25. Notably, OGDC is the wholly-owned operator of the Rajian heavy oil field, where several workovers and artificial lift systems have been implemented at previous wells to expedite revival. We anticipate the aforementioned development to have an annualized EPS impact of ~PkR1.3 per sh for OGDC, respectively.
Pakistan Power: Base tariff cut and circular debt overhaul to reshape energy sector outlook - By AKD Research

Jul 7 2025


AKD Securities


  • The national base tariff is determined at PkR34.0/kwh for FY26, down by 4%YoY compared to PkR35.5/kwh in FY25.
  • GoP has accelerated its power sector reform agenda, with the PkR1.25tn commercial bank borrowing facility to reduce the mounting circular
  • Continued resolution of the circular debt would be beneficial for companies under our coverage space, namely: OGDC (Dec’25 TP: PkR371/sh), PPL (Dec’25 TP: PkR281/sh) and PSO (Dec’25 TP: PkR729/sh).
Autos: Marking FY25 as a year of recovery - By JS Research

Jul 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We preview automobile sales volumes for Jun-2025, expecting the three major players including Indus Motors Company Ltd (INDU), Honda Atlas Cars Ltd (HCAR), and Pak Suzuki Motor Company Ltd to post combined growth of 33%/9% YoY/MoM, reaching ~14.5k units – highest since Dec-2022.
  • All three companies are projected to post strong YoY volume growth, with HCAR leading peers with 65% YoY growth in Jun2025, followed by PSMC (+31% YoY), and INDU (+25% YoY), helped by pre-budget buying ahead of anticipated negative budgetary measures. Meanwhile, Sazgar Engineering Works Ltd (SAZEW) volumes also rose 55% YoY in Jun-2025.
  • For FY25 cumulatively, the auto sector witnessed a strong recovery, with volumes expected to grow by 37% to ~121k units, supported by improving macroeconomic stability and a rebound in consumer confidence amid stable car prices.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 setting a record - By JS Research

Jul 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bullish momentum continued for the KSE-100 index, which gained 1,262 points to close at 131,949. Trading volumes stood at 733mn shares, compared to 900mn shares previously. The index is likely to retest Friday’s high of 132,130; a break above this level could target 133,412, with potential to rise further toward 135,232. On the downside, support is seen in the 130,710-131,600 range. The RSI and MACD continue to rise, reinforcing the positive outlook. We advise investors to ‘Buy on dips,’ with risk defined below 130,716. Immediate support and resistance are placed at 131,067 and 132,480, respectively.
Morning News: Pakistan, US reach accord on trade and tariffs - By HMFS Research

Jul 7 2025


HMFS Research


  • With less than a week to go before the July 9 deadline, Pakistan and the United States have concluded a critical round of trade negotiations. While both sides have reached an understanding, a formal announcement is expected only after the US concludes similar ongoing negotiations with other trade partners. The tariff relief, temporarily paused earlier this year, was at risk of expiring if no progress had been made by the July 9 deadline. The agreement, when signed, could lead to increased Pakistani imports of US goods — notably crude oil — and potential American investment in Pakistan’s mining, energy, and infrastructure sectors.
  • The U.S. dollar hovered near its lowest since 2021 against the euro and the weakest since 2015 versus the Swiss franc on Monday, with traders alert for any trade-related headlines in the countdown to President Donald Trump’s tariff deadline. The dollar index , which measures the currency against those three rivals and three more major counterparts, was flat at 96.967, hovering above Tuesday’s nearly 3-1/2-year trough of 96.373.
  • US President Donald Trump said on Friday that he had signed 12 trade letters to be sent out next week ahead of an impending deadline for his tariffs to take effect. “I signed some letters and they’ll go out on Monday, probably 12,” Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One, adding that the countries to which the letters would be sent will be announced on the same day. His comments come days before steeper duties — which the president said on Thursday would range between 10 and 70 per cent — are set to take effect on dozens of economies, from Taiwan to the European Union.
Morning News: Pakistan, US reach accord on trade and tariffs - By Vector Research

Jul 7 2025


Vector Securities


  • With less than a week to go before the July 9 deadline, Pakistan and the United States have concluded a critical round of trade negotiations, reaching an understanding on a deal that could shape the future of the country’s key export sectors. The delegation arrived in Washington on Monday with the aim of finalising a long-term reciprocal tariff agreement that would prevent the re-imposition of a 29 per cent tariff on Pakistani exports — primarily textiles and agricultural products. The tariff relief, temporarily paused earlier this year, was at risk of expiring if no progress had been made by the July 9 deadline.
  • Pakistan and Azerbaijan in a major development Friday signed a partnership agreement. The agreement for investment of a total of $2 billion by Azerbaijan in the economic sector of Pakistan.
  • Foreign exchange companies contributed around $450 million to remittance inflows during June, taking their total contribution to approximately $5 billion in FY25, according to the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (ECAP). “We sold about $450m to banks in June, highlighting our growing role in supporting the country’s exchange rate stability,” said Zafar Paracha, Secretary General of ECAP.
Morning News: Azerbaijan to invest $2bn in economic sector WE Research

Jul 7 2025



  • Pakistan and Azerbaijan have signed a significant $2 billion investment agreement, marking a new milestone in bilateral economic relations. The deal, signed in the presence of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar, and Azerbaijani Economy Minister Mikayil Jabbarov, reflects growing investor confidence in Pakistan. It follows a cordial meeting between Prime Minister Sharif and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev in Khankandi, with a more detailed agreement to be finalized during the Azerbaijani President’s upcoming visit to Pakistan. Both countries committed to further enhancing cooperation across various sectors, including trade, investment, and climate issues, as emphasized by Prime Minister Sharif during his remarks in Shusha.
  • With less than a week before the July 9 deadline, Pakistan and the United States have reached a preliminary understanding on a trade agreement aimed at securing Pakistan’s key export sectors, particularly textiles and agriculture, from the re-imposition of a 29% tariff. Led by Commerce Secretary Jawad Paal, the Pakistani delegation concluded four days of negotiations in Washington, with a formal announcement expected after the US finalizes talks with other trade partners. The proposed deal includes reciprocal tariff arrangements, increased Pakistani imports of US goods such as crude oil, and potential American investment in Pakistan’s mining, energy, and infrastructure sectors—including projects like Reko Diq. Officials remain optimistic that the agreement will preserve Pakistan’s access to the US market and revitalize economic ties strained since the Trump-era tariffs.
  • Oil prices dropped over 1% after OPEC+ surprised markets by announcing a larger-than-expected production increase of 548,000 barrels per day (bpd) for August, raising fears of oversupply. Brent crude fell to $67.50 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate dropped to $65.68. The hike, up from prior monthly increases of 411,000bpd, reflects a more aggressive push for market share, with Saudi Arabia driving much of the actual output gains. OPEC+ cited strong global demand and low inventories as justification. Goldman Sachs expects a final 550,000bpd increase to be announced for September at the group’s August 3 meeting. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia raised prices for its flagship Arab Light crude in a show of confidence in demand. In a related development, U.S. President Trump indicated higher tariffs will be announced by July 9, with implementation set for August 1.
Market Wrap: Banking on Bulls: KSE-100 Hits a New Milestone - By HMFS Research

Jul 4 2025


HMFS Research


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) sustained its upward trajectory in today’s session, with the benchmark KSE-100 Index surging to a fresh intra-day high of 132,130 before closing at 131,949, up by a robust 1,262 points (+0.97%). The rally was supported by sustained investor interest—particularly in the banking sector—as participants continued to rotate into fundamentally sound, undervalued plays amid a supportive macroeconomic backdrop. Trading activity remained strong, with the All-Share Index posting a healthy turnover of 731mn shares, while KSE-100 volumes came in at 199mn shares, indicating broad-based participation. Top volume leaders included, WTL (58mn), BML (36mn), and TREET (30mn). The banking sector emerged as the primary driver of index gains, supported by attractive dividend yields, and compelling P/B valuations. The recent softening in Pakistan’s sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads has further improved investor sentiment by lowering perceived external risk, catalyzing flows into equities. While the momentum remains firmly intact, the market’s proximity to psychological resistance levels suggests room for near-term consolidation, especially as investors may opt to lock in recent gains. However, the medium-term narrative remains constructive, underpinned by prospects of continued IMF engagement, fiscal reforms, and easing external account pressures. We continue to advise investors to remain selective and focus on sectors with resilient fundamentals and earnings visibility. In the current phase of the cycle, valuation discipline, liquidity considerations, and macro-driven event positioning will remain critical in navigating market dynamics.
Cement: June’25 dispatches down 26%MoM - By Taurus Research

Jul 3 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Total Cement dispatches in June’25 down 26%MoM on the back of lower construction demand and rise in geo-political conflict, declining exports i.e. domestic and export sales dropped by 29% MoM and 13%MoM, respectively. On a YoY basis, total domestic sales were down 16% in June’25 as higher taxes along with higher FED and increase in the cost of construction materials has reduced construction demand compared to the SPLY. However, exports during June’25 surged massively by 82%YoY on account of increase in clinker and cement demand from the regional/exporting countries during the period.
  • North-based domestic sales decreased 26%MoM in June’25 due to decline in the construction activities amid bad weather conditions and lower construction demand. Wherein, export sales were down 14%MoM amid escalation of war in the MiddleEast. South-based domestic sales dropped significantly by 44% MoM in June’25. On the export front, South-based exports were down 13%MoM, respectively.
  • On a YoY basis, North-based domestic sales down 14%YoY in June’25 due to lower construction demand i.e. impact of higher taxes and surge in construction material cost. However, Northbased exports were up significantly by 91%YoY, reflecting higher demand from the export regions. On the South front, domestic sales during June’25 decreased by 23%YoY. However, export sales surged by 79%YoY to 0.65Mn tons, respectively.
Economy: Jun’25 Volumes surge 2%MoM, up 8%YoY - By Taurus Research

Jul 2 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Petroleum products off-take for Jun’25 stood at approximately 1.56Mn tons, reflecting a monthly growth of 2%. Similarly, on a yearly basis, sales were up 8%YoY. The increase in volumes on a MoM basis was primarily driven by lower POL prices along with controlled smuggling activities.
  • Specifically, volumes for MS increased 5%MoM and 5%YoY. HSD volumes grew 9%YoY growth but declined 8%MoM. However, FO sales increased 62%MoM but increased 22%YoY, primarily due to low RLNG consumption and excess of LNG supply and heightened electricity demand.
  • Moreover, FY25 saw a surge in POL sales which were up 7%YoY primarily due to higher demand for MS, HSD, HOBC and KERO, up 6%, 10%, 1.7x and 19%YoY, respectively.
Attock Cement Pakistan Limited (ACPL): Strong interest from potential buyers… Dec’25 TP of PKR 352, warrants a ‘BUY’ - By Taurus Research

Jun 30 2025


Taurus Securities


  • We reiterate our ’BUY’ rating for Attock Cement Pakistan Limited (ACPL) with a Dec’25 target price of PKR 352/sh. offering an upside of 26% over the last day’s close. Our investment thesis primarily focuses on the Company’s strategic business advantages like: i) Presence in the South (2nd largest producer in the South) and the export market (15% share of Pakistan’s cement exports); and ii) Cost advantages (low dependence on the National Grid); coupled with an attractive valuation.
  • In addition, the location of the Company’s plant offers it immense strategic advantages like proximity to major projects like CPEC-Phase-II, Reko Diq and other mining & highway projects etc.; specially in the context of Balochistan, along with access to sea ports like Karachi, Port Qasim and Gwadar. Other triggers also include savings due to lower finance costs, going forward.
  • Moreover, recently the Company has also attracted strong interest from potential buyers in light of its sponsor’s intentions of a potential sale of the Company. The latter can be a strong catalyst for the current share price of the Company as it continues to trade at a massive discount on a replacement cost basis. Hence, a potential acquisition offer may be well above the current price.
TRG Pakistan Limited (TRG): 9MFY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

Jun 25 2025


Taurus Securities


  • The principal activity of TRG Pakistan is to manage a portfolio of investments in the business process outsourcing sector through its associate, The Resource Group International Limited (TRGIL). TRG Pakistan invests in the Technology, IT enabled services, and medicare insurance sectors. Its clients include companies from The Global 100. Through TRGIL, TRG Pakistan owns a 13% stake in both Afiniti and IBEX. Afiniti focuses on AI-based contact center optimization and IBEX specializes in outsourced customer interactions. Afiniti is controlled by Vista Lend Consortium. IBEX was listed on NASDAQ in 2020.
  • IBEX recorded 3QFY25 topline growth of 11%YoY at USD 540Mn, while 1QFY25 and 2QFY25 toplines recorded a growth of 4%YoY and 6%YoY, respectively. IBEX continues to outperform its peers with a 75% increase in its share price during the LTM, breaking the USD 30 level. Afiniti halved its senior debt by converting 50% of it into convertible preferred stock.
  • During 9MFY25, TRG recorded interest income of PKR 1.7Mn compared to PKR 1.8Mn during the SPLY. The Company recorded administrative and other expenses of PKR 456Mn compared to PKR 199Mn during the SPLY. This resulted in an operating loss of PKR 454Mn during 9MFY25 compared to PKR 196Mn during the SPLY.
Pakistan Economy: Jun’25 NCPI to arrive at 3.4%YoY/0.4%MoM - By Taurus Research

Jun 24 2025


Taurus Securities


  • We expect headline inflation for the month of Jun’25 to clock-in at 3.4%YoY owing to the base effect primarily, along with the sequential increase in food inflation and elevated core inflation. Hence, average inflation for FY25 is expected to touch-down at 4.7%YoY (down 19.3ppts over FY24).
  • During the month, we anticipate food prices to drive the general price level on the back of significant surge in prices of vegetables like Potatoes (up 20%MoM), Onions (up 8%MoM) & Tomatoes (up 30%MoM), mainly. This is expected to be offset by ~17% MoM fall in the price of Chicken (possibly due to lower consumption because of Eid) and stagnant or muted increase in the prices of other food items for the month.
  • However, Chicken prices are likely to increase in the coming months as the Government has proposed to impose a PKR 10 FED on one-day old chicks, as part of the Budget FY26.
Morning News: In another twist, Trump announces Iran-Israel ceasefire - By Taurus Research

Jun 24 2025


Taurus Securities


  • US President Donald Trump said late on Monday that a ceasefire has been agreed between Israel and Iran.
  • Pakistan has announced to extend its airspace restrictions on Indian aircraft for another month until July 23, 2025.
  • The potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz — one of the world’s most critical oil transit chokepoints —could deal a devastating blow to Pakistan’s already fragile economy, with soaring production, shipping, and insurance costs threatening industrial output, exports, and employment.
Janana De Malucho Textile Mills Limited (JDMT): 9MFY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

Jun 20 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Janana De Malucho Textile Mills Ltd was incorporated in Pakistan as a Public Company in 1960. The Company is mainly engaged in the business of manufacturing and sale of yarn.
  • In 9MFY25, sales clocked in at PKR 1.5Bn as compared to PKR 4.5Bn, down 67% over the SPLY mainly due to the suspension of production activities, weak demand, limited availability of cheaper imported yarn and inability to pass on price impact. The Company recorded gross loss of 29ppts arriving at -26% compared to 3% in the SPLY driven by the significant increase in its fuel & power costs from 18% to 20% during the period.
  • Finance costs arrived at PKR 218Mn compared to PKR 266Mn, down 18% over the SPLY driven by lower interest rate. Loss after tax arrived in at PKR 595Mn as compared to PKR 150Mn, up 3.0x over the SPLY primarily attributable to lower sale price of yarn and higher energy prices.
Economy: May’25 CAB posts a deficit of USD 103Mn - By Taurus Research

Jun 18 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Trade deficit continues to widen (up 16%MoM and 22% over the SPLY) as Pakistan’s CA posted a deficit of USD 103Mn during May’25. Goods exports fell 6% on a sequential basis. Whereas, goods imports increased 5%MoM. Services deficit recorded a contraction of 8% during the month to arrive at USD 2.7Bn in 11MFY25, up 1% over the corresponding period last year.
  • Remittances were the savior yet again, reflecting a growth of 16% over the previous month and 29% overall FYTD, clocking-in at USD 34.9Bn during 11MFY25. Consequently, 11MFY25 current account remains in a surplus of ~USD 1.8Bn. State Bank of Pakistan expects overall CAB for FY25 to post a sizeable surplus.
  • A dissection of the surge in imports shows that while petroleum imports posted a 7%MoM drop, machinery and transport group imports were up 17%MoM and 30%MoM, respectively. The latter is a strong indicator of uptick in economic activity. However, the situation poses a serious risk in case petroleum imports also surge on the back of soaring oil prices due to the evolving geopolitical situation. Resultantly, trade deficit is likely to widen further over the next few months, driving an even higher deficit.
Cement : Lahore High Court upholds 6% Royalty on Punjab Manufacturers - By Taurus Research

Jun 17 2025


Taurus Securities


  • In a recent development, the Lahore High Court has upheld its decision, to maintain the higher royalty charge i.e. 6% of the ex-factory cement price (PKR 1,250-1,350 per ton) – previously PKR 250/ton in FY24 for Punjab based manufacturers - ruling against the cement companies. We believe the affected Companies are likely to file on appeal against the judgment in the Supreme Court.
  • Hence, the decision cannot be considered final as yet. Nevertheless, cement companies operating out of Punjab are already providing for the higher royalty charge. However, encashment of bank guarantees for securing on earlier stay order may have slight impact on cash flows for these companies.
  • In contrast, KPK based cement producers are already enjoying high margins on selling cement bags at the discounted prices in Punjab. To recall, the KPK government announced provisional budget where they increased royalty charge from PKR 250/ton to PKR 350/ton. Resultantly, the disparity remains huge in the royalty charges of KPK and Punjab cement manufacturers i.e. PKR 950-1,050 per ton difference.
Economy: Jun’25 Monetary Policy Review - By Taurus Research

Jun 16 2025


Taurus Securities


  • State Bank of Pakistan’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) in its meeting today kept the benchmark policy rate unchanged at 11.00%, in line with expectations. The MPC highlighted the marginal decline in core inflation in May’25, with expectations of NCPI trending upwards going forward – albeit remaining within the SBP’s target range of 5%-7%. Wherein, recent budgetary measures are likely to have limited impact on inflation, although upside risks to this outlook remain very high.
  • Economic growth is picking-up gradually, likely to gain more traction next year with the impact of earlier rate cuts still unfolding. The MPC also noted potential risks to the external sector in the form of: i) widening trade deficit; and ii) weak financials inflows. Additionally, certain proposed FY26 budgetary measures are also likely to widen the trade deficit more.
  • Moreover, the MPC also pointed towards the recent sharp increase in oil prices as a result of the evolving geo-political situation in the Middle-East. Accordingly, the MPC has flagged Pakistan’s external outlook as susceptible to multiple risks like heightened geopolitical tensions, volatility in international oil prices, possible adverse impact of proposed budgetary measures, and potential shortfalls in planned financial inflows.
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