Engro Corporation: (ENGRO): Engro to acquire tower assets of Pakistan Mobile Communications Limited (PMCL) – By Topline Research

Dec 6 2024


Topline Securities


  • Engro Corporation (ENGRO) has notified exchange that, company has entered into an Amalgamation Agreement with PMCL and by way of this arrangement PMCL’s tower assets of its wholly owned subsidiary, Deodar Private Ltd, will vest into Engro Connect, a 100% subsidiary of ENGRO.
  • Based on the agreement, company will provide amount of US$187.7mn to PMCL alongside repayment of Deodar debt of US$375mn, taking total enterprise value to US$563mn. Reportedly, Deodar has total tower count of 10,500, translating into per tower price of US$53,590.
  • To note, Engro’s existing tower count under Engro Enfrashare is 4,063 with asset base of Rs69bn or US$250mn, translating into per tower asset value of US$61,545.
Engro Polymer & Chemicals Limited (EPCL): 1QCY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

Apr 24 2025


Taurus Securities


  • EPCL reported revenue of PKR 17.9Bn for the first quarter of 2025, up 7.8% from the same period last year. As a result, the gross profit margin also increased, rising from 6.7% to 7.9%. After factoring in distribution, administrative, and other expenses, EPCL posted an operating profit of PKR 717Mn in 1QCY25, an 81% increase compared to the same period last year. However, these gains were outweighed by high finance costs stemming from the Company’s debt, leading to a net loss of PKR 825Mn and a loss per share of PKR 0.91.
  • EPCL’s poor financial performance is because construction activity stayed weak in key global markets. In USA., housing permits declined for three months straight. In China, the PVC market struggled due to a slowdown in the property sector and rising trade tensions with USA. At the same time, global supply remained high while demand stayed low, which kept pushing PVC prices down, currently standing at USD 700/ton. There’s a growing concern that the tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump and India’s upcoming anti-dumping duties could lead to more Chinese dumping in other markets, possibly including Pakistan, which may add further pressure in the quarters ahead.
  • In March 2025, the price of captive gas was raised to PKR 4,291 per MMBtu, including a levy of PKR 791 per MMBtu. This levy is set to increase by another 10% in July 2025, putting further pressure on input costs. As a result, the rising energy expenses are expected to weigh on the Company’s margins in the coming quarters. In response, EPCL is exploring alternative power sources, such as coal, solar, and the grid, and is actively engaging with the government ministries to ensure more favorable terms for gas supply used in captive power generation. As PVC and VCM plants are continuous-process facilities that cannot afford unscheduled shutdowns, they require a highly reliable power source
Engro Fertilizer Limited (EFERT): Result Review: EFERT 1QCY25 EPS Rs2.17, DPS Rs2.25 - By Sherman Research

Apr 22 2025


Sherman Securities


  • Engro Fertilizer Limited (EFERT) announced its 1QCY25 result today wherein the company posted consolidated net earnings of Rs2.9bn (EPS of Rs2.2) as compared to net earnings of Rs7.8bn (EPS of Rs5.8) during same period last year, down by 63%YoY. The result came in-line with our estimate.
  • Along with the result, company announced interim cash dividend of Rs2.25/share.
  • During 1QCY25, net revenue clocked in at Rs30bn, down by 59%YoY. The decline is mainly attributed to lower urea sales (down 53%YoY).
Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): 1QCY25 EPS clocked-in at PKR 2.2; PAT down 63%YoY - By Taurus Research

Apr 22 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 1QCY25: EPS: PKR 2.2; DPS: 2.3; PAT: PKR 2.9Bn, down 63%YoY – above expectations
  • Net sales clocked-in at ~PKR 30Bn in 1QCY25, down significantly by 59%YoY on the back of decrease in Urea and DAP offtake by 58%YoY and 78%YoY, respectively. Gross margins arrived at 35% in 1QCY25, up 12pptsYoY due to improving cost efficiencies. However, EFERT’s market share dropped (down 10ppts to 23% in 1QCY25) amid amalgamation of FFBL into FFC (took effect from 3QCY24) which has forced the company to sell Urea bags at significantly discounted prices in order to overcome the pressure of continuous fall in market share i.e. highest Urea bag prices (impact of availing higher feed gas i.e. PKR 1,597/MMBTU) compared to the peer companies. Earnings arrived at PKR 2.9Bn in 1QCY25, down 63%YoY due to massive surge in finance cost (up 5.8xYoY) amid increase in borrowings to fund the ongoing “Pressure Enhancement Project”. Lastly, the Company announced an interim cash dividend of PKR 2.3/sh. for the quarter.
Engro Fertilizers (EFERT):1Q2025 EPS at Rs2.17, down 63% YoY (earnings higher than expectations) - By Topline Research

Apr 22 2025


Topline Securities


  • Engro Fertilizers (EFERT) announced its 1Q2025 financial result today, wherein the company recorded a consolidated quarterly profits of Rs2.9bn (EPS: Rs2.17), down 63% YoY and 75% QoQ.
  • Along with the results, the company also declared cash dividend of Rs2.25/share, in-line with market expectations.
  • The 1Q2025 result came higher than our expectations due to higher-than-expected gross margins
Engro Powergen Qadirpur Limited (EPQL): 1QCY25 EPS arrive at PKR 1.19, up 1.5xQoQ - By Taurus Research

Apr 15 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 1QCY25 EPS: PKR 1.19; DPS: PKR 7.5.
  • Revenue increased 9%QoQ to PKR 3.1Bn, attributed to improved dispatches amid seasonal demand recovery. However, YoY growth remained flat due to the impact of revised PPA terms, which converted the plant's structure to a 'take-and-pay' regime, limiting guaranteed capacity payments.
  • Finance income stood at PKR 26Mn versus PKR 238Mn in 1QCY24 (SPLY), reflecting the absence of late payment surcharge (LPS) which previously contributed significantly. The decline was anticipated after the company received PKR 8.04Bn in overdue receivables under the revised PPA settlements.
Engro Powergen Qadirpur Limited (EPQL):1QCY25 EPS to clock-in at PKR 0.04; PAT of ~PKR 13Mn - By Taurus Reseach

Apr 14 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 1QFY25 EPS: PKR 0.04; PAT: PKR 13Mn, down 98%YoY over the SPLY.
  • Revenue is expected to grow slightly on a sequential basis due to seasonal pickup in demand. However, YoY topline may decline by 5% owing to the revised PPA structure, wherein ROE component has been shifted to the 'take-and-pay' basis, reducing guaranteed capacity revenues.
  • Finance costs & income are expected to undergo a structural shift – EPQL previously recorded sizable finance income from late payment surcharge, which has ceased following the full settlement of PKR 8.4Bn receivables. As a result, net finance income is expected to convert into finance cost, although lower short-term borrowings should limit the overall impact.
Engro Holdings (ENGROH): Earnings and Dividend Revised Down; Buy Stance Maintained - By Topline Research

Mar 18 2025


Topline Securities


  • We revise down our earnings estimate for Engro Holdings (ENGROH) for 2025 and 2026 by 23% and 27% to Rs17.5/share and Rs20/share, respectively. The downward adjustment in earnings outlook is on the back of revision in earnings of Engro Fertilizers and after incorporating expiry of Engro Vopak Terminal from mid 2026.
  • Engro Connect Tower Deal not yet incorporated: We have not incorporated earnings contribution from recently announced deal of Engro Connect as transaction is yet to be completed. However, based on our estimates, Engro Connect (Tower Company) will achieve breakeven in Year 1 of its operations and then will post earnings of Rs1.6bn and Rs5.3bn in Year 2 and Year 3, respectively, translating into per share earnings contribution of Rs1.3 and Rs4.4 respectively. The business will turn in profit due to expectations of falling interest expense on the back of sliding debt levels due to stronger cashflows of the business (EBITDA 60%).
  • Dividend Outlook Revised Down: In our previous estimates, we anticipated cash received from thermal assets sale transaction (Rs25bn) as part of one-off dividend in 2025. However, after acquisition of Pakistan Mobile Communications Limited (PMCL) tower business, we believe, these cashflows will be used to finance equity portion of the deal.
Engro Holdings Limited (ENGROH): Outlook remains positive; Energy portfolio divestment underway - By JS Research

Mar 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Engro Holdings Limited (ENGROH) recently held analyst briefing session apprised that the financial results presented are based on the pre-merger accounts of Dawood Hercules (DAWH). Since the restructuring transaction structure took effect on January 1, 2025.
  • Under the new scheme of restructuring, EFERT (now 56% directly held by ENGROH versus indirect holding of 22.49% previously), is expected to drive earnings outlook for ENGROH. Furthermore, expansions in the tower segment coupled with lower interest rates to further support earnings.
  • The transaction of divestment of thermal assets portfolio is currently in-progress subject to certain regulatory approvals. The Thermal asset portfolio of the group, under Engro Energy Ltd, contains Engro Powergen Qadirpur Ltd, Engro Powergen Thar Ltd and Sindh Engro Coal Mining Co. Ltd. Also, the company is in process of divesting Engro Eximp Agriproducts (Pvt) Ltd.
Engro Holdings Limited (ENGROH): CY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

Mar 5 2025


Taurus Securities


  • ENGROH’s (formerly known as Dawood Hercules Corporation Limited) management presented CY24 results of the Company where they specifically highlighted the ongoing process of divesting its various businesses i.e. Engro Eximp AgriProducts Ltd, Engro Powergen Qadirpur Ltd, Engro Powergen Thar (Pvt.) Ltd and Sindh Engro Coal Mining Ltd.
  • Regarding the performance of the group, ENGROH’s investment portfolio stood at PKR 112Bn (PKR 95.5Bn for Engro and PKR 16.5Bn in other listed equities) as on December 31, 2024. Other income (comprised of interest, dividend and quoted shares income) dropped during CY24 owing to bumper dividend distribution in CY23 which had limit the Company to generate higher return on investments during CY24.
  • On the basis of segment results, the management told that EFERT achieved highest ever profitability in CY24 due to better retention prices and cost optimization despite slowdown in operational activities amid major turnaround of its EnVen plant and decline in Urea sales. Further, the management quoted ECPL’s performance as worst ever in history, reflecting a drastic drop in demand for PVC and Ethylene due to lower construction demand, decline in global commodity prices and higher volume of imported PVC.
Engro Holdings Ltd. (ENGROH): CY24 Analyst Briefing Takeaways - By AKD Research

Mar 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • Engro Holdings Ltd. (ENGROH) held its analyst briefing yesterday to discuss their CY24 performance and future outlook. Here are the key highlights from the call:
  • Management confirmed that the recently disclosed financial results reflect the previous Dawood Hercules holding structure. From the next quarter, financials will be reported under the new structure, as the merger became effective on Jan 1, 2025.
  • On an Engro Corp basis, consolidated earnings from continuing operations increased by 7%YoY to PkR21bn (EPS: PkR17 @ 1,204mn shares) in CY24. The said growth was driven by higher urea prices and cost efficiencies, which offset the weaker performance of polymer segment and higher finance costs
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day July 7, 2025 - By JS Research

Jul 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1.4% to an all-time intraday high of 133,862.01, driven by optimism over trade negotiations, macroeconomic stability, and a strong corporate earnings outlook. Falling inflation, strengthening FX reserves, and capital inflows are enhancing investor confidence, while higher taxes on alternative assets are redirecting capital into equities. With earnings season ahead and technical indicators breaking new ground, we expect the bullish momentum to persist in the near term, supported by favorable macro trends and reallocation from fixed-income instruments.
Market Wrap: Bullish Momentum Carries KSE-100 Beyond 133,000 - By HMFS Research

Jul 7 2025


HMFS Research


  • The market continued its unrelenting bullish streak, surging past the 133,862 mark for the first time in history. This milestone rally was fueled by renewed investor confidence, driven by key trade developments and sector-specific momentum. Investor sentiment received a notable boost as Pakistan and the U.S. concluded a critical round of trade talks ahead of the July 9 deadline. While an official announcement is still awaited, early signs point to a favorable deal for Pakistan’s export sectors. Adding to the positive momentum, OGDC reported a production uplift following the successful installation of an ESP at Rajian-05, where it holds full ownership—further reinforcing its operational strength. The rally was led by the banking and fertilizer sectors, supported by expectations of strong upcoming results and favorable sectoral tailwinds. The KSE-100 index closed at 133,370 level, up 1,421 points in a robust session. Market activity remained upbeat, with 344 million shares traded on the KSE100 and total market volume reaching 915 million shares. Volume leaders included IMAGE (48mn), BOP (43mn), and WTL (37mn). While a short-term breather cannot be ruled out given the sharp upward trajectory, overall sentiment is expected to remain strong amid continued macroeconomic improvement. Investors are advised to stay focused on fundamentally sound stocks with long-term value.
Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDC): OGDC enhances production at Rajian-05 well - By AKD Research

Jul 7 2025


AKD Securities


  • Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDC) has enhanced production in Rajian-05 through installation of electrical submersible pumps (ESP). Following the workover, production has increased to 3.1kbpd of oil and 1.0mmcfd of gas, compared to 1.1k bpd/0.5mmcfd of oil/gas during 3QFY25. Notably, OGDC is the wholly-owned operator of the Rajian heavy oil field, where several workovers and artificial lift systems have been implemented at previous wells to expedite revival. We anticipate the aforementioned development to have an annualized EPS impact of ~PkR1.3 per sh for OGDC, respectively.
Pakistan Power: Base tariff cut and circular debt overhaul to reshape energy sector outlook - By AKD Research

Jul 7 2025


AKD Securities


  • The national base tariff is determined at PkR34.0/kwh for FY26, down by 4%YoY compared to PkR35.5/kwh in FY25.
  • GoP has accelerated its power sector reform agenda, with the PkR1.25tn commercial bank borrowing facility to reduce the mounting circular
  • Continued resolution of the circular debt would be beneficial for companies under our coverage space, namely: OGDC (Dec’25 TP: PkR371/sh), PPL (Dec’25 TP: PkR281/sh) and PSO (Dec’25 TP: PkR729/sh).
Autos: Marking FY25 as a year of recovery - By JS Research

Jul 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We preview automobile sales volumes for Jun-2025, expecting the three major players including Indus Motors Company Ltd (INDU), Honda Atlas Cars Ltd (HCAR), and Pak Suzuki Motor Company Ltd to post combined growth of 33%/9% YoY/MoM, reaching ~14.5k units – highest since Dec-2022.
  • All three companies are projected to post strong YoY volume growth, with HCAR leading peers with 65% YoY growth in Jun2025, followed by PSMC (+31% YoY), and INDU (+25% YoY), helped by pre-budget buying ahead of anticipated negative budgetary measures. Meanwhile, Sazgar Engineering Works Ltd (SAZEW) volumes also rose 55% YoY in Jun-2025.
  • For FY25 cumulatively, the auto sector witnessed a strong recovery, with volumes expected to grow by 37% to ~121k units, supported by improving macroeconomic stability and a rebound in consumer confidence amid stable car prices.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 setting a record - By JS Research

Jul 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bullish momentum continued for the KSE-100 index, which gained 1,262 points to close at 131,949. Trading volumes stood at 733mn shares, compared to 900mn shares previously. The index is likely to retest Friday’s high of 132,130; a break above this level could target 133,412, with potential to rise further toward 135,232. On the downside, support is seen in the 130,710-131,600 range. The RSI and MACD continue to rise, reinforcing the positive outlook. We advise investors to ‘Buy on dips,’ with risk defined below 130,716. Immediate support and resistance are placed at 131,067 and 132,480, respectively.
Morning News: Pakistan, US reach accord on trade and tariffs - By HMFS Research

Jul 7 2025


HMFS Research


  • With less than a week to go before the July 9 deadline, Pakistan and the United States have concluded a critical round of trade negotiations. While both sides have reached an understanding, a formal announcement is expected only after the US concludes similar ongoing negotiations with other trade partners. The tariff relief, temporarily paused earlier this year, was at risk of expiring if no progress had been made by the July 9 deadline. The agreement, when signed, could lead to increased Pakistani imports of US goods — notably crude oil — and potential American investment in Pakistan’s mining, energy, and infrastructure sectors.
  • The U.S. dollar hovered near its lowest since 2021 against the euro and the weakest since 2015 versus the Swiss franc on Monday, with traders alert for any trade-related headlines in the countdown to President Donald Trump’s tariff deadline. The dollar index , which measures the currency against those three rivals and three more major counterparts, was flat at 96.967, hovering above Tuesday’s nearly 3-1/2-year trough of 96.373.
  • US President Donald Trump said on Friday that he had signed 12 trade letters to be sent out next week ahead of an impending deadline for his tariffs to take effect. “I signed some letters and they’ll go out on Monday, probably 12,” Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One, adding that the countries to which the letters would be sent will be announced on the same day. His comments come days before steeper duties — which the president said on Thursday would range between 10 and 70 per cent — are set to take effect on dozens of economies, from Taiwan to the European Union.
Morning News: Pakistan, US reach accord on trade and tariffs - By Vector Research

Jul 7 2025


Vector Securities


  • With less than a week to go before the July 9 deadline, Pakistan and the United States have concluded a critical round of trade negotiations, reaching an understanding on a deal that could shape the future of the country’s key export sectors. The delegation arrived in Washington on Monday with the aim of finalising a long-term reciprocal tariff agreement that would prevent the re-imposition of a 29 per cent tariff on Pakistani exports — primarily textiles and agricultural products. The tariff relief, temporarily paused earlier this year, was at risk of expiring if no progress had been made by the July 9 deadline.
  • Pakistan and Azerbaijan in a major development Friday signed a partnership agreement. The agreement for investment of a total of $2 billion by Azerbaijan in the economic sector of Pakistan.
  • Foreign exchange companies contributed around $450 million to remittance inflows during June, taking their total contribution to approximately $5 billion in FY25, according to the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (ECAP). “We sold about $450m to banks in June, highlighting our growing role in supporting the country’s exchange rate stability,” said Zafar Paracha, Secretary General of ECAP.
Morning News: Azerbaijan to invest $2bn in economic sector WE Research

Jul 7 2025



  • Pakistan and Azerbaijan have signed a significant $2 billion investment agreement, marking a new milestone in bilateral economic relations. The deal, signed in the presence of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar, and Azerbaijani Economy Minister Mikayil Jabbarov, reflects growing investor confidence in Pakistan. It follows a cordial meeting between Prime Minister Sharif and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev in Khankandi, with a more detailed agreement to be finalized during the Azerbaijani President’s upcoming visit to Pakistan. Both countries committed to further enhancing cooperation across various sectors, including trade, investment, and climate issues, as emphasized by Prime Minister Sharif during his remarks in Shusha.
  • With less than a week before the July 9 deadline, Pakistan and the United States have reached a preliminary understanding on a trade agreement aimed at securing Pakistan’s key export sectors, particularly textiles and agriculture, from the re-imposition of a 29% tariff. Led by Commerce Secretary Jawad Paal, the Pakistani delegation concluded four days of negotiations in Washington, with a formal announcement expected after the US finalizes talks with other trade partners. The proposed deal includes reciprocal tariff arrangements, increased Pakistani imports of US goods such as crude oil, and potential American investment in Pakistan’s mining, energy, and infrastructure sectors—including projects like Reko Diq. Officials remain optimistic that the agreement will preserve Pakistan’s access to the US market and revitalize economic ties strained since the Trump-era tariffs.
  • Oil prices dropped over 1% after OPEC+ surprised markets by announcing a larger-than-expected production increase of 548,000 barrels per day (bpd) for August, raising fears of oversupply. Brent crude fell to $67.50 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate dropped to $65.68. The hike, up from prior monthly increases of 411,000bpd, reflects a more aggressive push for market share, with Saudi Arabia driving much of the actual output gains. OPEC+ cited strong global demand and low inventories as justification. Goldman Sachs expects a final 550,000bpd increase to be announced for September at the group’s August 3 meeting. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia raised prices for its flagship Arab Light crude in a show of confidence in demand. In a related development, U.S. President Trump indicated higher tariffs will be announced by July 9, with implementation set for August 1.
Market Wrap: Banking on Bulls: KSE-100 Hits a New Milestone - By HMFS Research

Jul 4 2025


HMFS Research


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) sustained its upward trajectory in today’s session, with the benchmark KSE-100 Index surging to a fresh intra-day high of 132,130 before closing at 131,949, up by a robust 1,262 points (+0.97%). The rally was supported by sustained investor interest—particularly in the banking sector—as participants continued to rotate into fundamentally sound, undervalued plays amid a supportive macroeconomic backdrop. Trading activity remained strong, with the All-Share Index posting a healthy turnover of 731mn shares, while KSE-100 volumes came in at 199mn shares, indicating broad-based participation. Top volume leaders included, WTL (58mn), BML (36mn), and TREET (30mn). The banking sector emerged as the primary driver of index gains, supported by attractive dividend yields, and compelling P/B valuations. The recent softening in Pakistan’s sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads has further improved investor sentiment by lowering perceived external risk, catalyzing flows into equities. While the momentum remains firmly intact, the market’s proximity to psychological resistance levels suggests room for near-term consolidation, especially as investors may opt to lock in recent gains. However, the medium-term narrative remains constructive, underpinned by prospects of continued IMF engagement, fiscal reforms, and easing external account pressures. We continue to advise investors to remain selective and focus on sectors with resilient fundamentals and earnings visibility. In the current phase of the cycle, valuation discipline, liquidity considerations, and macro-driven event positioning will remain critical in navigating market dynamics.
Technology: IT Exports in May-25 down by 1% YoY to record US$329mn - By Topline Research

Jun 17 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan recorded monthly IT exports of US$329mn in May-2025, down by 1% YoY while up by 4% MoM. These monthly IT exports in May-2025 are higher than last 12-month average of US$314mn. This is the first YoY decline in IT exports after 19 consecutive months of growth.
  • Export proceeds per day were recorded at US$16.5mn for May-25 vs. US$15.9mn in Apr-25.
  • This takes 11MFY25 IT exports to ~US$3.5bn, up by 19% YoY.
Economy: Pakistan Inflation to clock in at 3.5-4.0% in Jun 2025 - By Topline Research

Jun 17 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Jun 2025 is expected to clock in at 3.5-4.0% YoY, taking FY25 average to 4.64% compared to 23.41% in FY24. The MoM inflation in Jun 2025 is expected to clock in at +0.6%.
  • Inflation is expected to be higher due to an uptick in food prices by 1.3% MoM due to Eid festivities. The tomatoes and potato prices are expected to rise by 64% and 24%, respectively. However, this was partially offset by 33% decrease in chicken prices.
  • Housing, water, electricity and gas segment is expected to witness a rise of 0.26% MoM in Jun 2025 due to an increase in electricity prices by 3.04% which is mostly offset by an 8% decrease Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG).
Cement: Lahore High Court announces 6% royalty decision against Cement Manufacturers - By Topline Research

Jun 16 2025


Topline Securities


  • In a major development today, Lahore High Court larger bench has announced its decision against the Punjab based cement manufacturers regarding royalty case. The companies will have to pay the royalty amount at prescribed formula of 6% of retention price.
  • Companies may go for appeal in Supreme Court now, however, this decision to go for review is not final yet from cement manufacturers.
  • To recall that manufacturers based in Punjab were already provisioning for their raw material cost based on formula of 6% of retention price.
Pakistan State Oil (PSO): Corporate Brief in Corporate Briefing Key Takeaways - By Topline Research

Jun 13 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan State Oil (PSO) conducted its Corporate Briefing Session today where management discussed financial performance and future outlook of the company.
  • As per management, efforts are ongoing to resolve circular debt, though no definitive plan is in place. The target is to recover both principal and Late Payment Surcharge (LPS). As of Mar 2025, PSO’s total receivables stand at Rs732bn, which included Rs325bn in principle from SNGPL alone. Overall LPS amount is over Rs200bn+. Investment plans are in place, pending liquidity, with options still under review.
  • Since Feb 2024, there has been no buildup in circular debt from SNGPL side as company has made it clear to Government and PSO that payments should flow on monthly basis. And this understanding is continuing and being implemented in true spirit. In contrast, OGDC and PPL receivables increased from Sui companies in 3QFY25
Pakistan Economy: Monetary Policy Survey 56% of the participants expecting status quo; we also expect no change - By Topline Research

Jun 12 2025


Topline Securities


  • State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) is scheduled to hold its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on May 05, 2025.
  • In a Poll conducted by Topline Securities, 56% of the market participant expect a status quo in upcoming monetary policy meeting compared to 31% in last poll. While 44% are expecting a rate cut of at-least 50bps.
  • Out of total 44% rate cut participants, 19% are expecting 50bps cut , and 25% are expecting 100bps cut.
Highnoon Laboratories (HINOON): Corporate Briefing Key Takeaways - By Topline Research

Jun 12 2025


Topline Securities


  • Topline Securities organized Corporate Briefing Session of Highnoon Laboratories(HINOON), where management discussed financial performance and future outlook.
  • HINOON outperformed the industry, with its revenue growing at a 10-year CAGR of 23%, compared to the pharmaceutical industry’s 10-year CAGR of 15%.
  • HINOON’s revenue grew by 25% to Rs24.6bn in 2024, of which 8% was driven by volume growth and 17% by price increases. The management expects the growth momentum to continue in the coming period and to outperform industry growth
Auto: Pakistan Car sales in 11MFY25 up 39% YoY; 2/3 wheelers record ~ 3 year high - By Topline Research

Jun 12 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan Car sales in Pakistan (as reported by PAMA) clocked in at 14,762 units in May 2025, reflecting a 35% YoY and 39% MoM rise.
  • MoM rise was mainly due to lower base as Apr 2025 saw road closure in Sindh (due to strikes over canal issues) which delayed deliveries and thus lower sales.
  • YoY growth is supported by a more stable macroeconomic environment, lower interest rates, easing inflation, and improving consumer sentiment.
Economy: FY26 Budget: Proposed Stock Market measures Focus on Dividend Tax, CGT and Corporate Income Tax - By Topline Research

Jun 2 2025


Topline Securities


  • In continuation of our report titled 'Pakistan Federal Budget FY26 Preview: Fiscal Consolidation to Continue; Third Consecutive Year of Primary Surplus,' released on May 22, 2025, we outline additional proposed measures that the government may announce in the upcoming budget on June 10, 2025, as per recent reports.
  • Increase in Tax Rates on Passive Income: As reported, FBR is considering increasing tax rates on passive income by 2–3% in the upcoming budget mainly on bank deposits and saving schemes. Currently, the Passive income is taxed at 15% for filers and 35% for non-filers. Although news doesn’t outline increase in tax on Capital gain and dividend income, however, we believe, tax on capital gain and dividend income may also be enhanced if income on debt is taxed at 17–18% compared to the current 15%.
  • This increase in the tax rate from 15% to 17–18% is likely to have a negative impact on local equities.
Cement: Local cement dispatches likely to be up by 34% MoM in May-2025 11MFY25 local sales decline to narrow to 5% YoY - By Topline Research

May 30 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan local cement dispatches are likely to be up by 34% MoM to clock in at 3.38mn tons in May-2025. Dispatches are anticipated to increase by 1% YoY.
  • Our analysis is based on the provisional numbers of 25 days, based on which local sales stands at 2.82mn tons, while as per our channel checks in 28 days of the month, local sales was ~3.15mn tons.
  • MoM increase in local cement dispatches is mainly due to higher number of working days in May-25 compared to Apr-25, due to Eid holidays falling in Apr-25. Sales per day are expected at 109k tons in May-25 compared to 84k tons recorded in Apr-25.
K-Electric (KEL): Transmission and Distribution Tariff Unveiled All three businesses now will get USD tariff - By Topline Research

May 26 2025


Topline Securities


  • In Seven months after securing dollarized tariff for generation business, the K-Electric (KEL) has also secured dollarized tariff for its transmission and distribution business for 7 years, i.e. from FY24 to FY30.
  • Distribution Business awarded USD ROE of 14%: NEPRA has awarded USD IRR of 14% to KEL for distribution business against requested USD IRR of 16.67%. The USD IRR of 14% translates into PKR ROE of 25.6% for Y1 (i.e. FY24). Which is better than previous tariff PKR return of 16.67%.
  • Transmission Business awarded USD ROE of 12%: NEPRA has awarded USD IRR of 12% to KEL for transmission business against requested USD IRR of 15%. The USD IRR of 12% translates into PKR ROE of 21.4% for Y1 (i.e. FY24). Which is better than previous tariff PKR return of 15%
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