Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): 4QCY24 EPS clocked in at PKR7.70 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 10 2025


Insight Securities


  • EFERT has announced its 4QCY24 result, wherein company has posted consolidated PAT of PKR10.3bn (EPS: PKR7.70) vs. PAT of PKR11.1bn (EPS: PKR8.32) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation mainly due to higher than expected selling and distribution expense.
  • Revenue for the quarter clocked in at PKR84.8bn vs. PKR75.2bn in SPLY, mainly attributable to higher offtakes coupled with increase in urea prices.
  • Gross margins decreased by ~3.8ppts YoY, to clock in at ~35% attributable to higher gas prices.
Engro Fertilizer Limited (EFERT): Result Review: EFERT 1QCY25 EPS Rs2.17, DPS Rs2.25 - By Sherman Research

Apr 22 2025


Sherman Securities


  • Engro Fertilizer Limited (EFERT) announced its 1QCY25 result today wherein the company posted consolidated net earnings of Rs2.9bn (EPS of Rs2.2) as compared to net earnings of Rs7.8bn (EPS of Rs5.8) during same period last year, down by 63%YoY. The result came in-line with our estimate.
  • Along with the result, company announced interim cash dividend of Rs2.25/share.
  • During 1QCY25, net revenue clocked in at Rs30bn, down by 59%YoY. The decline is mainly attributed to lower urea sales (down 53%YoY).
Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): 1QCY25 EPS clocked-in at PKR 2.2; PAT down 63%YoY - By Taurus Research

Apr 22 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 1QCY25: EPS: PKR 2.2; DPS: 2.3; PAT: PKR 2.9Bn, down 63%YoY – above expectations
  • Net sales clocked-in at ~PKR 30Bn in 1QCY25, down significantly by 59%YoY on the back of decrease in Urea and DAP offtake by 58%YoY and 78%YoY, respectively. Gross margins arrived at 35% in 1QCY25, up 12pptsYoY due to improving cost efficiencies. However, EFERT’s market share dropped (down 10ppts to 23% in 1QCY25) amid amalgamation of FFBL into FFC (took effect from 3QCY24) which has forced the company to sell Urea bags at significantly discounted prices in order to overcome the pressure of continuous fall in market share i.e. highest Urea bag prices (impact of availing higher feed gas i.e. PKR 1,597/MMBTU) compared to the peer companies. Earnings arrived at PKR 2.9Bn in 1QCY25, down 63%YoY due to massive surge in finance cost (up 5.8xYoY) amid increase in borrowings to fund the ongoing “Pressure Enhancement Project”. Lastly, the Company announced an interim cash dividend of PKR 2.3/sh. for the quarter.
Engro Fertilizers (EFERT):1Q2025 EPS at Rs2.17, down 63% YoY (earnings higher than expectations) - By Topline Research

Apr 22 2025


Topline Securities


  • Engro Fertilizers (EFERT) announced its 1Q2025 financial result today, wherein the company recorded a consolidated quarterly profits of Rs2.9bn (EPS: Rs2.17), down 63% YoY and 75% QoQ.
  • Along with the results, the company also declared cash dividend of Rs2.25/share, in-line with market expectations.
  • The 1Q2025 result came higher than our expectations due to higher-than-expected gross margins
Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): 4QCY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By IIS Research

Feb 14 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Engro Fertilizers Limited held its corporate briefing today to discuss the financial results of CY24 and future outlook of the company. Key highlights of the briefing are follows.
  • To recall, in 4QCY24 the company has posted consolidated earnings of PKR 7.7/share (PKR 21.16/share in CY24). Alongside the result, the company announced a cash dividend of PKR 8.00/share (PKR 21.50/share in CY24).
  • The company highlighted the YoY improvement in annual performance, from revenue to EPS. However, quarterly results showed a 7.8% YoY decline in PAT, driven by discounts offered to dealers. The gross margin for 4QCY24 stood at 35%, up from 31% in the previous quarter, attributed to the reclassification of expenses for better presentation.
Engro Fertilizer Limited (EFERT): CY24 Analyst briefing takeaways - By Insight Research

Feb 14 2025


Insight Securities


  • Engro Fertilizer Limited conducted analyst briefing to discuss its financial results. We have summarized the following key takeaways from the briefing:
  • In CY24, EFERT’s profitability has witnessed an increase of 7.9% YoY, to clock in at PKR28.2bn (EPS: PKR21.2), compared to PKR26.2bn (EPS: PKR19.61) in SPLY. This increase is mainly attributable to better product prices.
  • On higher selling and distribution expense in 4QCY24, management commented its attributable to reclassification of cost from COGS to S&D expense coupled with higher inventory holding cost.
Engro Fertilizers (EFERT): 4Q2024 Corporate Briefing Key Takeaways - By Topline Research

Feb 14 2025


Topline Securities


  • Engro Fertilizers (EFERT) held its 4Q2024 Corporate Briefing Session today where management discussed financial performance and future outlook.
  • During 4Q2024, selling and distribution cost was abruptly increased due to some reclassification of expenses along with impact of axel load and warehouse related costs, respectively.
  • The company has launched a Digital Platform named ugAi with AI enable services that allow the farmers to book inventory directly from company at defined rates and quality products.
Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): 4QCY24 Result Review — Higher distribution & finance cost dent earnings - By AKD Research

Feb 10 2025


AKD Securities


  • Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT) announced its 4QCY24 financial results, wherein the company reported consolidated earnings of PkR10.3bn (EPS: PkR7.7), an 8%YoY decline from PkR11.1bn (EPS: PkR8.3) in SPLY. The result is largely in line with our expectations. However, the annual drop in earnings is due to higher distribution expenses and lower other income. Alongside the result, company declared a final cash dividend of PkR8.0/sh, taking full-year dividend to PkR21.5/sh.
  • Revenue rose by 13%YoY to PkR84.8bn in 4QCY24 vs. PkR75.2bn in SPLY, supported by a 17%YoY increase in urea offtakes and 24%YoY rise in prices. However, DAP and NP sales declined by 5%YoY and 74%YoY, respectively.
  • Gross margins contracted to 34.9% from 38.7% in SPLY, as 56%YoY rise in input gas prices outpaced the increase in selling prices.
Engro Fertilizer Limited (EFERT): Result Review: EFERT 4QCY24 EPS Rs7.7, DPS Rs8 - By Sherman Research

Feb 10 2025


Sherman Securities


  • Engro Fertilizer Limited (EFERT) announced its 4QCY24 result today wherein the company posted consolidated net earnings of Rs10.3bn (EPS of Rs7.7) as compared to net earnings of Rs11.2bn (EPS of Rs8.3) during same period last year, down by 8%YoY. The result came lower than our estimate due to higher than expected operating expenses. ? Along with the result, company announced final cash dividend of Rs8/share taking cumulative dividend to Rs21.5/share for CY24 (payout ratio of 100%).
  • During 4QCY24, net revenue clocked in at Rs85bn, up by 13%YoY. The increase is mainly attributed to higher urea sales (up by 17%YoY) as company offered discount of Rs100/bag to regain its market share during the period.
  • EFERT’s gross margin clocked in at 35% during 4QCY24 as compared to 39% during the same period last year (down by 4ppt). The decline in margins is due to higher gas price during the period.
Engro Fertilizer Limited (EFERT): 4QCY24 EPS clocked-in at PKR 7.7, DPS PKR 8.0, taking CY24 EPS to PKR 21.2 - By Foundation Research

Feb 10 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Engro Fertilizer Limited (EFERT PA) posted a profit of PKR 10.3bn (EPS PKR 7.7) in 4QCY24, against profit of PKR 11.1bn (EPS PKR 8.3) in 4QCY23, undergoing a decrease of 8% YoY. This cumulates to CY24 profitability of PKR 28.3bn (EPS PKR 21.2), up 8% YoY, vs. PKR 26.2bn (EPS PKR 19.6) in CY23.
  • Result is also accompanied by a final cash dividend of PKR 8.0/sh, which takes CY24 payout to PKR 21.5/sh.
  • In 4QCY24, PAT decreased/increased 8/20% YoY/QoQ. The decline is due to a 2.0x YoY jump in distribution costs and 5.4x YoY incline in finance cost. Profitability increased QoQ because of higher off-take compared to previous quarter, however distribution costs saw a jump of 4.9x. We attribute increase in CY24 profitability (↑8% YoY) to (1) higher other income (up 5.6x YoY) and (2) lower tax expense (ETR of 37% in CY24).
Engro Fertilizers (EFERT): 4Q2024 EPS at Rs7.7, down 8% YoY (earnings lower than expectations) - By Topline Research

Feb 10 2025


Topline Securities


  • Engro Fertilizers (EFERT) announced its 4Q2024 financial result today, wherein the company recorded a consolidated quarterly profits of Rs10.2bn (EPS: Rs7.7), down 8% YoY and up 20% QoQ.
  • This takes 2024 earnings to Rs28.2bn (EPS: Rs21.16) up 8% YoY.
  • Along with the results, the company also declared cash dividend of Rs8/share, in-line with market expectations. This takes total 2024 cash dividend to Rs21.50/share (payout 101%).
Market Wrap: KSE-100 Surges to Historic High, Ends Day Tepid - By HMFS Research

Jul 8 2025


HMFS Research


  • The benchmark KSE-100 index touched a new all-time intraday high of 134,200 amid continued positive sentiment; however, gains were trimmed by the close, with the index settling nearly flat at 133,403—up just 33.05 points. Value buying was evident in the banking sector, while profit-taking emerged in selective bluechip stocks. Trading activity remained robust, with benchmark index volumes hitting 324mn shares and broader market participation crossing 1.2bn shares. Volume leaders for the day included TPLP (97mn), WTL (64mn), and HASCOL (48mn). Going forward, market direction will likely hinge on institutional flows and clarity on macroeconomic triggers. Investors are advised to stay focused on fundamentally sound stocks with long-term value.
Textiles: Pause-period for US tariffs ending today - By JS Research

Jul 8 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The 90-day pause period for the implementation of reciprocal tariffs expires today. Meanwhile, US govt plans to issue letters to all countries which have not struck a deal yet and are likely to face higher than previously announced tariffs effective 1st August, 2025.
  • Countries having completed successful round of bilateral trade agreements including Pakistan, are expected to face a lower tariff, however, a minimum baseline tariff of 10% is likely to remain. A formal notification of the same is likely to be announced along with other trading partners with negotiated contracts.
  • With softening of US stance towards Pakistan since the cease-fire between India and Pakistan and a potential successful round of dialogues between the two, optimism towards Pak Textile sector has gained strength, with an upside of 38% from its low seen in May-2025 and 21% from the pre-tariff announcement levels.
Cement: Capacity Utilization at Record Low, Huge Growth Potential - By Sherman Research

Jul 8 2025


Sherman Securities


  • Currently, cement sector is running on historical low utilization level of 55% versus last 30-year average utilization of 76%. The main reason for this significant decline is that although capacity has increased sharply, demand has remained subdued over the past few years. To note, cement capacity in Pakistan has increased to 84.6mn tons as compared to 9mn tons in FY92, (up 9x) during the years.
  • Historically, we have observed that capacity expansions have only been undertaken when utilization surpasses 80%, therefore, we do not expect any capacity expansion in the near term. Furthermore, the pause in expansion is expected to enhance the liquidity of companies, which could enable them to increase their payout going forward.
  • During FY25, local dispatches arrived at 37mn tons compared to 38.2mn tons during FY24. Thus, during last 4 years, cement sales posted consistent decline on annualized basis reaching at 8 – year low level in FY25.
Morning News: Reserves up: SBP eyes global bond market - By Next Research

Jul 8 2025


Next Capital


  • According to the central bank, reserves reached $14.5 billion by the end of June, surpassing the IMF’s target of $13.9 billion and exceeding even the Governor’s own projections. The hard work is paying off. SBP has been persistent in buying dollars from the interbank market, and now, finally, the international commercial financing channel has reopened. The next move is to tap into the international bond market — starting with the Panda bond, followed by a Eurobond issuance.
  • In a significant economic achievement, the government of Pakistan has demonstrated its firm commitment to fiscal discipline and long-term stability by retiring Rs 1.5 trillion in public debt ahead of schedule in FY25. This substantial early repayment has contributed to a notable improvement in Pakistan’s fiscal indicators, bringing the debt-to-GDP ratio down from 75 percent in FY23 to 69 percent in FY25.
  • The government has repaid a debt of Rs500 billion to the central bank ahead of its scheduled maturity in 2029, resulting in an early retirement of Rs1.5 trillion in public debt, a senior finance official said on Monday.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside likely - By JS Research

Jul 8 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index witnessed a positive session to close at 133,370, up 1,421 points DoD. Volumes stood at 920mn shares compared to 733mn shares traded in the previous session. The index is likely to retest yesterday’s high of 133,862; a break above this level could target 135,232, with potential to rise further towards 137,549 level. Meanwhile, any downside will be tested between 132,460 and 132,610 levels, respectively. The RSI and MACD continue to rise, reinforcing the positive outlook. We advise investors to ‘Buy on dips,’ with risk defined below 130,716. The support and resistance are placed at 132,604 and 133,999, respectively.
Morning News: SBP governor speaks of policy mix: - By HMFS Research

Jul 8 2025


HMFS Research


  • Governor State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Jameel Ahmad has said that unlike in the previous episodes of boom-bust cycles, the current policy mix remains conducive to a lasting increase in economic activity rather than a short-sighted, fragile, and populist ‘sugar rush’. Governor SBP also assured that SBP is fully committed to undertake structural reforms and lay the foundation for sustainable and inclusive economic growth. Both SBP and the government remain steadfast in their approach to transitioning from recently hard-earned economic stability to a medium-term economic transformation. This resolve is reflected in our prudent and cautious monetary policy stance, and fundamentals aligned exchange rate, and ongoing fiscal consolidation and improving debt dynamics.
  • The government has repaid a debt of Rs500 billion to the central bank ahead of its scheduled maturity in 2029, resulting in an early retirement of Rs1.5 trillion in public debt, a senior finance official said. Pakistan’s debtto-GDP ratio decreased from 75 percent in FY23 to 69 percent in FY25 due to early debt repayments. The successful buyback of Rs1 trillion in market debt, completed by December 2024, marked the first such operation in Pakistan’s history. Alongside this, the early repayment of the SBP Rs500 billion debt has collectively led to the early retirement of Rs1.5 trillion in public debt during FY25, said Khurram Schehzad, an advisor to the finance minister. The early retirement of central bank debt, executed by the Debt Management Office (DMO), marks a breakthrough in Pakistan’s debt management strategy. Early debt retirement while converting shorter tenure with longer-tenure debt significantly reduces concentration risk, lowers future liabilities, and strengthens the country’s macroeconomic foundations by curbing reliance on borrowings.
  • The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) has notified businesses, including importers, suppliers, and manufacturers, of tightened restrictions under Section 21 of the Income Tax Ordinance for FY26, aimed at discouraging excessive cash dealings and broadening the tax net. Under the directive, any cash transaction exceeding PKR 200,000 will not be treated as an allowable business expense. Consequently: 50% of such expenditure will be recognized for tax purposes. The disallowed portion will attract an additional tax burden, effectively raising the cost by 20.5%.For completely disallowed transactions, the effective impact could surge to 79.5%. Businesses are urged to ensure all supplier and client payments are processed through proper banking channels to avoid heavy penalties and additional scrutiny by FBR
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day July 7, 2025 - By JS Research

Jul 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1.4% to an all-time intraday high of 133,862.01, driven by optimism over trade negotiations, macroeconomic stability, and a strong corporate earnings outlook. Falling inflation, strengthening FX reserves, and capital inflows are enhancing investor confidence, while higher taxes on alternative assets are redirecting capital into equities. With earnings season ahead and technical indicators breaking new ground, we expect the bullish momentum to persist in the near term, supported by favorable macro trends and reallocation from fixed-income instruments.
Market Wrap: Bullish Momentum Carries KSE-100 Beyond 133,000 - By HMFS Research

Jul 7 2025


HMFS Research


  • The market continued its unrelenting bullish streak, surging past the 133,862 mark for the first time in history. This milestone rally was fueled by renewed investor confidence, driven by key trade developments and sector-specific momentum. Investor sentiment received a notable boost as Pakistan and the U.S. concluded a critical round of trade talks ahead of the July 9 deadline. While an official announcement is still awaited, early signs point to a favorable deal for Pakistan’s export sectors. Adding to the positive momentum, OGDC reported a production uplift following the successful installation of an ESP at Rajian-05, where it holds full ownership—further reinforcing its operational strength. The rally was led by the banking and fertilizer sectors, supported by expectations of strong upcoming results and favorable sectoral tailwinds. The KSE-100 index closed at 133,370 level, up 1,421 points in a robust session. Market activity remained upbeat, with 344 million shares traded on the KSE100 and total market volume reaching 915 million shares. Volume leaders included IMAGE (48mn), BOP (43mn), and WTL (37mn). While a short-term breather cannot be ruled out given the sharp upward trajectory, overall sentiment is expected to remain strong amid continued macroeconomic improvement. Investors are advised to stay focused on fundamentally sound stocks with long-term value.
Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDC): OGDC enhances production at Rajian-05 well - By AKD Research

Jul 7 2025


AKD Securities


  • Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDC) has enhanced production in Rajian-05 through installation of electrical submersible pumps (ESP). Following the workover, production has increased to 3.1kbpd of oil and 1.0mmcfd of gas, compared to 1.1k bpd/0.5mmcfd of oil/gas during 3QFY25. Notably, OGDC is the wholly-owned operator of the Rajian heavy oil field, where several workovers and artificial lift systems have been implemented at previous wells to expedite revival. We anticipate the aforementioned development to have an annualized EPS impact of ~PkR1.3 per sh for OGDC, respectively.
Pakistan Power: Base tariff cut and circular debt overhaul to reshape energy sector outlook - By AKD Research

Jul 7 2025


AKD Securities


  • The national base tariff is determined at PkR34.0/kwh for FY26, down by 4%YoY compared to PkR35.5/kwh in FY25.
  • GoP has accelerated its power sector reform agenda, with the PkR1.25tn commercial bank borrowing facility to reduce the mounting circular
  • Continued resolution of the circular debt would be beneficial for companies under our coverage space, namely: OGDC (Dec’25 TP: PkR371/sh), PPL (Dec’25 TP: PkR281/sh) and PSO (Dec’25 TP: PkR729/sh).
Al-Ghazi Tractors Limited (AGTL): 1QCY25 EPS clocked in at PKR1.01 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Apr 25 2025


Insight Securities


  • AGTL has announced its 1QCY25 result, wherein company has posted PAT of PKR59mn (EPS: PKR1.01) vs. PAT of PKR855mn (EPS: PKR14.7) in SPLY, down by ~93% YoY. The result is significantly below our expectation mainly due to lower than estimated gross margins and higher than estimated operating expenses.
  • During 1QCY25, revenue witnessed a decline of 62%/66% YoY/QoQ to clock in at PKR3.6bn, primarily due to lower volumetric sales. To highlight, volumetric sales decrease by ~63%/69% YoY/QoQ.
  • Gross margins decreased by ~70bps/390bps YoY/QoQ to clock in at ~21.5% in 1QCY25, possibly due to lower volumes.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 1QCY25 EPS clocked in at PKR0.44 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Apr 17 2025


Insight Securities


  • LOTCHEM has announced its 1QCY25 result, wherein company has posted PAT of PKR0.7bn (EPS: PKR0.44) vs. PAT of PKR0.9bn (EPS: PKR0.59) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation due to lower than estimated revenue.
  • In 1QCY25, revenue decreased by 33% YoY, due to lower volumetric sales. While on QoQ basis, same is up by 6% possibly due to higher PTA prices and volumetric sales.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 6.2%, up by 100bps/540bps YoY/QoQ, due to improved core delta.
Nishat Chunian Limited (NCL): 2QFY24 EPS clocked in at PKR0.96 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 26 2025


Insight Securities


  • NCL has announced its 2QFY25 result, wherein the company has posted consolidated PAT of PKR231mn (EPS: PKR0.96) vs. LAT of PKR911mn (LPS: PKR3.8) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation due to higherthan-expected tax expense.
  • In 2QFY25, company’s revenue clocked in at PKR20.7bn (US$74.2mn) compared to PKR20.1bn (US$71.0mn) in SPLY, up by ~3% YoY. The increase in topline is possibly attributable to higher volumetric sales. However, same is down by ~11% on QoQ basis.
  • Gross margins clocked in at ~11% depicting an increase of ~2.3ppts QoQ, possibly due to operational efficiency and lower cotton prices.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 4QCY24 LPS clocked in at PKR0.01 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 13 2025


Insight Securities


  • LOTCHEM has announced its 4QCY24 result, wherein company has posted LAT of PKR19mn (LPS: PKR0.01) vs. PAT of PKR238mn (EPS: PKR0.16) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation due to lower than estimated gross margins and revenue.
  • In 4QCY24, revenue increased by 4% YoY, due to higher volumetric sales. While on QoQ basis, same is down by 17% due to lower PTA prices and volumetric sales.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 0.8%, down by 120bps/340bps YoY/QoQ, possibly due to lower realized core delta.
Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): 4QCY24 EPS clocked in at PKR7.70 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 10 2025


Insight Securities


  • EFERT has announced its 4QCY24 result, wherein company has posted consolidated PAT of PKR10.3bn (EPS: PKR7.70) vs. PAT of PKR11.1bn (EPS: PKR8.32) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation mainly due to higher than expected selling and distribution expense.
  • Revenue for the quarter clocked in at PKR84.8bn vs. PKR75.2bn in SPLY, mainly attributable to higher offtakes coupled with increase in urea prices.
  • Gross margins decreased by ~3.8ppts YoY, to clock in at ~35% attributable to higher gas prices.
Mari Energies (MARI): 2QFY25 EPS clocked in at PKR9.3 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Jan 27 2025


Insight Securities


  • Mari Energies (MARI PA) has announced its 2QFY25 result today, wherein company has posted PAT of PKR11.2bn (EPS: PKR9.3) vs. PAT of PKR18.4bn (EPS: PKR15.3). The result is below our expectation due to higher than expected operating expenses.
  • In 2QFY25, revenue decreased by 9% YoY/QoQ mainly due to lower gas production. To highlight, company’s gas production is expected to decline by 5%/6% YoY/QoQ.
  • Royalty expense increased by 39%/45% YoY/QoQ due to an additional 15% royalty payment on the wellhead value, following the extension of the MARI D&P lease.
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