KSB Pumps Company Limited (KSBP): 9MCY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

Feb 11 2025


Taurus Securities


  • KSBP is one of the world’s largest manufacturers of pumps and valves with extensive operations in Pakistan having a comprehensive range of products as it is the only Company in the country with a foundry to support the local market and huge potential for exports. KSBP has a diverse product portfolio i.e. type series products (local manufacturing and distribution) and export pumps & parts (used to export to South Africa, Germany, Saudi Arabia and USA).
  • Regarding the process of Rights issue (72.54% shares acquisition by KSB SE & Co – A German Multinational Manufacturer of the Pumps), the management told that the Company has completed the process and the proceeds haven been utilized to meet the working capital needs and to pay off outstanding running financing balances. Further, the Company has made a major development by expanding its exports to Germany to increase topline.
  • As per the financial highlights, the management discussed that some proceeds of sales delivery will come in 4QCY24 and 1QCY25 which will significantly increase the topline along with enabling the Company to become cash flow positive in 4QCY24. During 3QCY24, Gross margins improved by 1.5pptsYoY to 19.1% on the back of better sales prices despite lower sales volume (9MCY24 volumes plunged due to supply chain disruptions – Red Sea issues) and turnover. The management believes that the Company will generate higher volumes in CY25 on account of expected increase in sales orders specifically from Germany and other countries. Further, the management also expects gross margins to further improve due to the addition of 850KW solar plant in its production facility – operational from Oct’24. The management also highlighted expected turnaround of the Lahore production facility in CY25.
KSB Pumps Company Limited (KSBP): 9MCY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

Feb 11 2025


Taurus Securities


  • KSBP is one of the world’s largest manufacturers of pumps and valves with extensive operations in Pakistan having a comprehensive range of products as it is the only Company in the country with a foundry to support the local market and huge potential for exports. KSBP has a diverse product portfolio i.e. type series products (local manufacturing and distribution) and export pumps & parts (used to export to South Africa, Germany, Saudi Arabia and USA).
  • Regarding the process of Rights issue (72.54% shares acquisition by KSB SE & Co – A German Multinational Manufacturer of the Pumps), the management told that the Company has completed the process and the proceeds haven been utilized to meet the working capital needs and to pay off outstanding running financing balances. Further, the Company has made a major development by expanding its exports to Germany to increase topline.
  • As per the financial highlights, the management discussed that some proceeds of sales delivery will come in 4QCY24 and 1QCY25 which will significantly increase the topline along with enabling the Company to become cash flow positive in 4QCY24. During 3QCY24, Gross margins improved by 1.5pptsYoY to 19.1% on the back of better sales prices despite lower sales volume (9MCY24 volumes plunged due to supply chain disruptions – Red Sea issues) and turnover. The management believes that the Company will generate higher volumes in CY25 on account of expected increase in sales orders specifically from Germany and other countries. Further, the management also expects gross margins to further improve due to the addition of 850KW solar plant in its production facility – operational from Oct’24. The management also highlighted expected turnaround of the Lahore production facility in CY25.
Market Wrap: KSE-100 Surges to Historic High, Ends Day Tepid - By HMFS Research

Jul 8 2025


HMFS Research


  • The benchmark KSE-100 index touched a new all-time intraday high of 134,200 amid continued positive sentiment; however, gains were trimmed by the close, with the index settling nearly flat at 133,403—up just 33.05 points. Value buying was evident in the banking sector, while profit-taking emerged in selective bluechip stocks. Trading activity remained robust, with benchmark index volumes hitting 324mn shares and broader market participation crossing 1.2bn shares. Volume leaders for the day included TPLP (97mn), WTL (64mn), and HASCOL (48mn). Going forward, market direction will likely hinge on institutional flows and clarity on macroeconomic triggers. Investors are advised to stay focused on fundamentally sound stocks with long-term value.
Textiles: Pause-period for US tariffs ending today - By JS Research

Jul 8 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The 90-day pause period for the implementation of reciprocal tariffs expires today. Meanwhile, US govt plans to issue letters to all countries which have not struck a deal yet and are likely to face higher than previously announced tariffs effective 1st August, 2025.
  • Countries having completed successful round of bilateral trade agreements including Pakistan, are expected to face a lower tariff, however, a minimum baseline tariff of 10% is likely to remain. A formal notification of the same is likely to be announced along with other trading partners with negotiated contracts.
  • With softening of US stance towards Pakistan since the cease-fire between India and Pakistan and a potential successful round of dialogues between the two, optimism towards Pak Textile sector has gained strength, with an upside of 38% from its low seen in May-2025 and 21% from the pre-tariff announcement levels.
Cement: Capacity Utilization at Record Low, Huge Growth Potential - By Sherman Research

Jul 8 2025


Sherman Securities


  • Currently, cement sector is running on historical low utilization level of 55% versus last 30-year average utilization of 76%. The main reason for this significant decline is that although capacity has increased sharply, demand has remained subdued over the past few years. To note, cement capacity in Pakistan has increased to 84.6mn tons as compared to 9mn tons in FY92, (up 9x) during the years.
  • Historically, we have observed that capacity expansions have only been undertaken when utilization surpasses 80%, therefore, we do not expect any capacity expansion in the near term. Furthermore, the pause in expansion is expected to enhance the liquidity of companies, which could enable them to increase their payout going forward.
  • During FY25, local dispatches arrived at 37mn tons compared to 38.2mn tons during FY24. Thus, during last 4 years, cement sales posted consistent decline on annualized basis reaching at 8 – year low level in FY25.
Morning News: Reserves up: SBP eyes global bond market - By Next Research

Jul 8 2025


Next Capital


  • According to the central bank, reserves reached $14.5 billion by the end of June, surpassing the IMF’s target of $13.9 billion and exceeding even the Governor’s own projections. The hard work is paying off. SBP has been persistent in buying dollars from the interbank market, and now, finally, the international commercial financing channel has reopened. The next move is to tap into the international bond market — starting with the Panda bond, followed by a Eurobond issuance.
  • In a significant economic achievement, the government of Pakistan has demonstrated its firm commitment to fiscal discipline and long-term stability by retiring Rs 1.5 trillion in public debt ahead of schedule in FY25. This substantial early repayment has contributed to a notable improvement in Pakistan’s fiscal indicators, bringing the debt-to-GDP ratio down from 75 percent in FY23 to 69 percent in FY25.
  • The government has repaid a debt of Rs500 billion to the central bank ahead of its scheduled maturity in 2029, resulting in an early retirement of Rs1.5 trillion in public debt, a senior finance official said on Monday.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside likely - By JS Research

Jul 8 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index witnessed a positive session to close at 133,370, up 1,421 points DoD. Volumes stood at 920mn shares compared to 733mn shares traded in the previous session. The index is likely to retest yesterday’s high of 133,862; a break above this level could target 135,232, with potential to rise further towards 137,549 level. Meanwhile, any downside will be tested between 132,460 and 132,610 levels, respectively. The RSI and MACD continue to rise, reinforcing the positive outlook. We advise investors to ‘Buy on dips,’ with risk defined below 130,716. The support and resistance are placed at 132,604 and 133,999, respectively.
Morning News: SBP governor speaks of policy mix: - By HMFS Research

Jul 8 2025


HMFS Research


  • Governor State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Jameel Ahmad has said that unlike in the previous episodes of boom-bust cycles, the current policy mix remains conducive to a lasting increase in economic activity rather than a short-sighted, fragile, and populist ‘sugar rush’. Governor SBP also assured that SBP is fully committed to undertake structural reforms and lay the foundation for sustainable and inclusive economic growth. Both SBP and the government remain steadfast in their approach to transitioning from recently hard-earned economic stability to a medium-term economic transformation. This resolve is reflected in our prudent and cautious monetary policy stance, and fundamentals aligned exchange rate, and ongoing fiscal consolidation and improving debt dynamics.
  • The government has repaid a debt of Rs500 billion to the central bank ahead of its scheduled maturity in 2029, resulting in an early retirement of Rs1.5 trillion in public debt, a senior finance official said. Pakistan’s debtto-GDP ratio decreased from 75 percent in FY23 to 69 percent in FY25 due to early debt repayments. The successful buyback of Rs1 trillion in market debt, completed by December 2024, marked the first such operation in Pakistan’s history. Alongside this, the early repayment of the SBP Rs500 billion debt has collectively led to the early retirement of Rs1.5 trillion in public debt during FY25, said Khurram Schehzad, an advisor to the finance minister. The early retirement of central bank debt, executed by the Debt Management Office (DMO), marks a breakthrough in Pakistan’s debt management strategy. Early debt retirement while converting shorter tenure with longer-tenure debt significantly reduces concentration risk, lowers future liabilities, and strengthens the country’s macroeconomic foundations by curbing reliance on borrowings.
  • The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) has notified businesses, including importers, suppliers, and manufacturers, of tightened restrictions under Section 21 of the Income Tax Ordinance for FY26, aimed at discouraging excessive cash dealings and broadening the tax net. Under the directive, any cash transaction exceeding PKR 200,000 will not be treated as an allowable business expense. Consequently: 50% of such expenditure will be recognized for tax purposes. The disallowed portion will attract an additional tax burden, effectively raising the cost by 20.5%.For completely disallowed transactions, the effective impact could surge to 79.5%. Businesses are urged to ensure all supplier and client payments are processed through proper banking channels to avoid heavy penalties and additional scrutiny by FBR
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day July 7, 2025 - By JS Research

Jul 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1.4% to an all-time intraday high of 133,862.01, driven by optimism over trade negotiations, macroeconomic stability, and a strong corporate earnings outlook. Falling inflation, strengthening FX reserves, and capital inflows are enhancing investor confidence, while higher taxes on alternative assets are redirecting capital into equities. With earnings season ahead and technical indicators breaking new ground, we expect the bullish momentum to persist in the near term, supported by favorable macro trends and reallocation from fixed-income instruments.
Market Wrap: Bullish Momentum Carries KSE-100 Beyond 133,000 - By HMFS Research

Jul 7 2025


HMFS Research


  • The market continued its unrelenting bullish streak, surging past the 133,862 mark for the first time in history. This milestone rally was fueled by renewed investor confidence, driven by key trade developments and sector-specific momentum. Investor sentiment received a notable boost as Pakistan and the U.S. concluded a critical round of trade talks ahead of the July 9 deadline. While an official announcement is still awaited, early signs point to a favorable deal for Pakistan’s export sectors. Adding to the positive momentum, OGDC reported a production uplift following the successful installation of an ESP at Rajian-05, where it holds full ownership—further reinforcing its operational strength. The rally was led by the banking and fertilizer sectors, supported by expectations of strong upcoming results and favorable sectoral tailwinds. The KSE-100 index closed at 133,370 level, up 1,421 points in a robust session. Market activity remained upbeat, with 344 million shares traded on the KSE100 and total market volume reaching 915 million shares. Volume leaders included IMAGE (48mn), BOP (43mn), and WTL (37mn). While a short-term breather cannot be ruled out given the sharp upward trajectory, overall sentiment is expected to remain strong amid continued macroeconomic improvement. Investors are advised to stay focused on fundamentally sound stocks with long-term value.
Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDC): OGDC enhances production at Rajian-05 well - By AKD Research

Jul 7 2025


AKD Securities


  • Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDC) has enhanced production in Rajian-05 through installation of electrical submersible pumps (ESP). Following the workover, production has increased to 3.1kbpd of oil and 1.0mmcfd of gas, compared to 1.1k bpd/0.5mmcfd of oil/gas during 3QFY25. Notably, OGDC is the wholly-owned operator of the Rajian heavy oil field, where several workovers and artificial lift systems have been implemented at previous wells to expedite revival. We anticipate the aforementioned development to have an annualized EPS impact of ~PkR1.3 per sh for OGDC, respectively.
Pakistan Power: Base tariff cut and circular debt overhaul to reshape energy sector outlook - By AKD Research

Jul 7 2025


AKD Securities


  • The national base tariff is determined at PkR34.0/kwh for FY26, down by 4%YoY compared to PkR35.5/kwh in FY25.
  • GoP has accelerated its power sector reform agenda, with the PkR1.25tn commercial bank borrowing facility to reduce the mounting circular
  • Continued resolution of the circular debt would be beneficial for companies under our coverage space, namely: OGDC (Dec’25 TP: PkR371/sh), PPL (Dec’25 TP: PkR281/sh) and PSO (Dec’25 TP: PkR729/sh).
TRG Pakistan Limited (TRG): 9MFY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

Jun 25 2025


Taurus Securities


  • The principal activity of TRG Pakistan is to manage a portfolio of investments in the business process outsourcing sector through its associate, The Resource Group International Limited (TRGIL). TRG Pakistan invests in the Technology, IT enabled services, and medicare insurance sectors. Its clients include companies from The Global 100. Through TRGIL, TRG Pakistan owns a 13% stake in both Afiniti and IBEX. Afiniti focuses on AI-based contact center optimization and IBEX specializes in outsourced customer interactions. Afiniti is controlled by Vista Lend Consortium. IBEX was listed on NASDAQ in 2020.
  • IBEX recorded 3QFY25 topline growth of 11%YoY at USD 540Mn, while 1QFY25 and 2QFY25 toplines recorded a growth of 4%YoY and 6%YoY, respectively. IBEX continues to outperform its peers with a 75% increase in its share price during the LTM, breaking the USD 30 level. Afiniti halved its senior debt by converting 50% of it into convertible preferred stock.
  • During 9MFY25, TRG recorded interest income of PKR 1.7Mn compared to PKR 1.8Mn during the SPLY. The Company recorded administrative and other expenses of PKR 456Mn compared to PKR 199Mn during the SPLY. This resulted in an operating loss of PKR 454Mn during 9MFY25 compared to PKR 196Mn during the SPLY.
Pakistan Economy: May’25 NCPI clocked-in at 3.5%YoY/-0.2%MoM - By Taurus Research

Jun 3 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Headline inflation for the month of May’25 picked-up as anticipated due to the low base effect mainly, to clock-in at 3.5%YoY/- 0.2%MoM. Consequently, FYTD NCPI stands at 4.7%YoY. Accordingly, inflation in both Urban and Rural areas arrived in at 3.5%YoY and 3.4%YoY, respectively.
  • Nevertheless, MoM inflation dipped on account of slight decrease in food prices; ~1.2%MoM decline in utility prices due to adjustment in electricity charges; muted impact of fuel prices; and continued slowdown in core inflation. To note, core inflation in Urban areas stood at 7.3%YoY, down 0.4%MoM and in Rural areas it was recorded at 8.8%YoY, down 0.4%MoM, respectively.
  • In food category, excluding Eggs (up ~24.3%MoM), a broadbased drop was witnessed including substantial fall in prices of Onions & Tomatoes. Conversely, core segments like Clothing & Footwear , Furniture & Household Equipment, Restaurant & Hotels and the Miscellaneous showcased resilience. Additionally, SPI inflation on a YoY basis fell 0.6% in May’25. However, WPI inflation on a YoY basis was up 0.4% in May’25.
Economy: Apr’25 CAB posts USD 12Mn surplus - By Taurus Research

May 16 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 21%MoM surge in the trade deficit along with a 22%MoM decrease in remittances, have reduced Pakistan Current Account Surplus in Apr’25 ~1xMoM, to USD 12Mn (USD 1.2Bn in Mar’25). However, cumulatively CA remains in a surplus of USD 1.9Bn during 10MFY25, as against a deficit of USD 1.3Bn in 10MFY24.
  • Trade deficit for the month clocked-in at USD 2.6Bn, up 21% MoM; amounting to USD 21.3Bn for 10MFY25, up 19%YoY. Exports were down 6%MoM owing to 9%MoM drop in Food Exports mainly Rice which fell ~12% during the month. Whereas, textile exports were flat. In addition, exports of Carpets, Sports Goods, Leather Goods and Engineering Goods were down too.
  • Conversely, Imports were up 6%MoM driven by across the board growth including Transport (25%MoM), Agri & Chemicals (14% MoM); and Machinery (up 12%MoM), respectively. This is a likely outcome of pick-up in economic activity in the country. Overall, 10MFY25 exports are up 5% and imports are up 12%, compared to the corresponding period last year. 10MFY25 services deficit stands at ~USD 2.5Bn, up 4% over the SPLY.
Oil Marketing Companies: Apr’25 Volumes surge 20%MoM, up 32%YoY - By Taurus Research

May 5 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Petroleum products off-take for April’25 stood at approximately 1.45Mn tons, reflecting a monthly growth of 20%. Similarly, on a yearly basis, sales were up 32%YoY.
  • The increase in volumes on a MoM basis was primarily driven by lower POL prices along with controlled smuggling activities.
  • Specifically, volumes for MS increased 14%MoM and 24%YoY. HSD volumes witnessed a huge 28%MoM and 33%YoY growth. Similarly, FO sales increased significantly 55%MoM and 1.8xYoY. The increase in FO sales can be attributed to uptick in demand from the power sector.
Honda Atlas Cars Limited (HCAR): 4QMY25 EPS to clocked-in at PKR 4.82; PAT down 50%YoY - By Taurus Research

Apr 22 2025


Taurus Securities


  • MY25: EPS: PKR 12.01; DPS: NIL; PAT: PKR 1.7Bn, down 27%YoY.
  • HCAR’s top line is expected to arrive at PKR 25.8Bn in 4QMY25, up 4%YoY and 45%QoQ, driven by a strong recovery in sales volumes to 5,692 units during the quarter up 13%YoY and 52%QoQ. For MY25, HCAR sold 16,061 units, marking a robust 53%YoY growth from 10,530 units last year supported by easing recovery in demand amid favorable macros.
  • Gross profit is projected to decline slightly by 2%YoY to PKR 2.1Bn, with gross margins compressing due to cost-side pressures despite higher revenues. Operating profit is expected at PKR 1.1Bn, down 12%YoY, amid a rise in administrative expenses by 21%YoY.
Power: Mar’25 generation up 5%YoY / 15%MoM - By Taurus Research

Apr 17 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Power generation in March 2025 clocked in at 8,409GWh, marking a 5%YoY increase and a 21%MoM recovery, driven by seasonal improvement in demand as the weather changes. This rebound follows the February slowdown, where generation had declined to 6,945GWh due to reduced industrial and household demand during winter.
  • For the 9MFY25, power generation dropped by 2%YoY, declining to 90,147GWh from 92,345GWh recorded in the SPLY.
  • Hydel generation declined sharply by 41%YoY and 31%MoM, contributing only 1,297GWh amid lower water availability. In contrast, coal-based generation surged 1.2xYoY to 1,938GWh and 68%MoM, likely due to better plant availability and reduction in global coal prices. Nuclear generation rose 7%YoY and 20%MoM, contributing the highest share at 2,223GWh. Elsewhere, generation from expensive sources like HSD and furnace oil dropped to 0%, aligning with the Government’s strategy to transition toward more cost-efficient and sustainable energy sources.
United Bank Limited (UBL): 1QCY25 EPS clocks-in at PKR 29.3; PAT up 1xYoY/39%QoQ - By Taurus Research

Apr 16 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 1QCY25 EPS: PKR 29.3. 1QCY25 PAT up 1xYoY. UBL also announced an interim cash dividend of PKR 11/sh. The Bank also plans to sub-divide the face value of its shares in the ratio of 2:1 subject to approval by shareholders.
  • Net Interest Income (NII): Up 2xYoY/24%QoQ, in line with expectations amid significant drop in interest expenses due to the lower cost of funds on the back of build-up in current accounts and the revised MDR regime. Deposits are up ~29% YTD.
  • Non-Markup Income (NMI): Down 20%YoY/38%QoQ, owing to ~77% drop in capital gains compared to 4QCY24
United Bank Limited (UBL): 1QCY25 EPS to clock-in at PKR 18.4; PAT up 43%YoY/down 12%QoQ - By Taurus Research

Apr 15 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Board Meeting: Wednesday, April 16, 2025
  • 1QCY25 EPS: PKR 18.4. 1QCY25 PAT up 43%YoY. UBL is also expected to announce an interim cash dividend of PKR 12/sh.
  • Net Interest Income (NII): Expected to go up 2xYoY/9%QoQ, driven by robust growth in current accounts and a lower cost of funds as changes to the MDR regime go into effect, along with a drop in leverage on a sequential basis – offsetting the pressure on yields, specially on the Bank’s investment portfolio.
Mughal Iron & Steel Industries Limited (MUGHAL): 1HFY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways - By Taurus Research

Apr 9 2025


Taurus Securities


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  • With regards to the non-ferrous sales, the management discussed that the Company’s exports of Copper and Aluminum would remain subdued due to ongoing geo-political issues (US – China trade war), recent price competition in the EVs globally and sluggish growth in China’s industrial activity. However, the management expects slight recovery in exports on the back of anticipating some recovery in Chinese Economy during 2nd half of 2025.
  • The management shared some views regarding benefiting from the recent changes globally i.e. imposition of US tariffs. They told that the US administration did not discuss specifically about imposing tariffs on steel products. So, they expect steel market to remain stable and may not consider a backlash on the recent changes in global dynamics
Fauji Cement Company Limited (FCCL): 2QFY25 EPS clocked-in at PKR 1.6, up 24%QoQ - By Taurus Research

Feb 25 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 2QFY25: EPS: PKR 1.6; PAT: PKR 4.0Bn, up 51%YoY – in line with expectation.
  • FCCL’s net sales clocked-in at PKR 25Bn, up 8%QoQ on account of increase in overall dispatches by 12%QoQ and better retention prices. Further, gross margin arrived at 36% for the quarter, up 2pptsQoQ due to improving cost efficiencies i.e. better fuel and power mix. Further, finance cost was down significantly by 22%QoQ on the back of lower interest rates. 2QFY25 PAT arrived at PKR 4.0Bn, up 24%QoQ. Lastly, the Company did not announce any dividend for quarter.
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