Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): 4QCY24 EPS clocks-in at PKR 13.6; PAT down 8%YoY/5%QoQ - By Taurus Research

Feb 13 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 4QCY24 EPS: PKR 13.6. 4QCY24 PAT down 8%YoY. CY24 EPS: PKR 57.3. CY24 PAT up 21%YoY – above expectations. MEBL also announced a final DPS of PKR 7.00, taking the full year payout to PKR 28.00/sh.
  • Net Spread Earned (NSE): Up 1%YoY. However, dropped 6%QoQ on the back of margin compression amid re-pricing of earning assets due to decrease in the benchmark policy rate. Accordingly, Return Expensed also posted a fall of 14%QoQ.
  • Other Income: Up 55%YoY/70%QoQ, driven by ~PKR 3Bn in capital gains booked during the quarter as well as surge in the share of profit from associates. Fee income was up 7%QoQ with income from foreign exchange also rising subtantially.
Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): Result Review - 1QCY25 - By HMFS Research

Apr 21 2025


HMFS Research


  • Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL) reported a consolidated Profit After Taxation (PAT) of PKR 22.4bn (EPS: PKR 12.26) for 1QCY25, down 11% y/y from PKR 25.1bn (EPS: PKR 13.87) in 1QCY24. The decline in profitability was primarily due to lower net mark-up income, despite strong growth in feebased earnings and foreign exchange income.
  • Profit/return earned stood at PKR 107.6bn, reflecting a 10% y/y decline from PKR 119.2bn in 1QCY24, largely impacted by a lower interest rate environment.
  • Other income recorded at PKR 9.2bn (↑33%) mainly attributable to the 22% rise in Fee and com mission income (PKR 7.2bn) and 234% increase in foreign exchange income (PKR 1.6bn), transaction volumes and currency market movements.
Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): 1QCY25 EPS clocked in at PKR12.3 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Apr 21 2025


Insight Securities


  • MEBL has announced its 1QCY25 result, wherein it has posted unconsolidated PAT of PKR22.0bn (EPS: PKR12.3) vs. PAT of PKR24.9bn (EPS: PKR13.9) in SPLY. The result came slightly above our expectations, mainly due to healthy volumetric growth QoQ.
  • Profit earned fell by ~10%/8% YoY/QoQ, mainly driven by lower yields on assets. To highlight, bank recorded deposit growth of ~11% QoQ in 1QCY25.
  • Other income recorded QoQ decline of ~23%, amid 8% QoQ decline in fee income and absence of capital gains. On YoY basis, other income inched up by ~29% due to 10% increase in fee income and healthy jump in FX income.
Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): Earnings Down 13% YoY; Dividend Maintained - By IIS Research

Apr 21 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Meezan Bank Limited has announced 1QCY25 result, where the bank has posted unconsolidated earnings of PKR 12.28/sh, down by 13% YoY and 8% on QoQ basis. The result is inline with our expectations. The bank has announced interim cash dividend of PKR 7/sh.
  • Net spread income declined by 9% YoY and 15% QoQ, reflecting the impact of asset repricing concentrated in 3Q/4Q and the implementation of the Minimum Deposit Rate (MDR) for Islamic banks. Fee income rose 10% YoY but dropped 8% QoQ, while FX income surged 3x amid higher trade activity and volumes.
  • Operating expenses down by 7% YoY and increase by 11% QoQ. Bank also recorded a provisioning of PKR 1.86 billion in 1QCY25 vs. Reversal of PKR0.35 bn in SPLY.
Meezan Bank (MEBL): 1Q2025 EPS at Rs12.3, down 12% YoY and 8% QoQ - By Topline Research

Apr 21 2025


Topline Securities


  • Meezan Bank (MEBL) announced its 1Q2025 result today, where the bank recorded earnings of Rs22bn (EPS of Rs12.3), which is down 12% YoY and down 8% QoQ. The earnings came in line with industry expectations.
  • Alongside the result, the bank also announced first interim cash dividend of Rs7.0/share in 1Q2025, in-line with industry expectations.
  • Net spread earned by MEBL fell by 8% YoY and 15% QoQ to Rs62bn in 1Q2025. This decline in spread is due to a decrease in interest rates, along with the imposition of the Minimum Deposit Rate (MDR) on the individual portfolio.
Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): 1QCY25 Result Review - By Taurus Research

Apr 21 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 1QCY25 EPS: PKR 12.3. 1QCY25 PAT down 11%YoY – in line with expectations. Additionally, MEBL has also announced an interim cash dividend of PKR 7.00/sh. Earnings were down mainly due to margin compression and higher provisions.
  • Net Spread Earned (NSE): Down 8%YoY/15%QoQ on the back of substantial drop in yields on the asset side due to the repricing following the reduction in the SBP policy rate. However, the impact was offset to an extent by lower cost of funds.
  • Other Income: Up 31%YoY. However, down 29% on a sequential basis owing to significant decrease in capital gains and other income. Moreover, Fee and Commissions income was also down 4% on a QoQ basis.
Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): Strong Upside Potential – Buy - By AHCML Research

Apr 8 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • We initiate our coverage of Meezan Bank Ltd. (MEBL) with a Dec’25 Target Price (TP) of PKR 335, signifying a potential capital gain of 30.45%. The bank is also offering a healthy dividend yield of 9.76% (an expected dividend payout of PKR 25/share for CY25). The total return (capital gains + dividend) stands at an attractive 40.21%. MEBL is trading at a CY25 P/E ratio of 5.44x and a PBV of 1.62x.
  • Meezan Bank's stellar growth in recent years can be attributed to several factors: 1) Remarkable deposit growth averaging 24% since 2020, driven by rising consumer preferences for Islamic banking; 2) Meezan stands as a major beneficiary of capturing the Islamic banking market share due to its first-mover advantage; 3) The growing consumer interest in Islamic banking and the SBP’s plan to transform Pakistan’s banking system to align with Shariah principles will further propel Meezan’s growth trajectory. Additionally, other highlights include the lowest infection ratio, consumer ease, and improved asset quality with a high coverage ratio.
  • MEBL stands as Pakistan’s premier Islamic bank, delivering consistent growth, profitability, and resilience in an evolving financial landscape. Over the past five years, MEBL has demonstrated exceptional performance, with net interest income soaring from PKR 64.8bn in 2020 to PKR 287bn in 2024, driven by robust deposit growth and an expanding asset base. The bank’s efficiency has improved significantly, with its cost-to-income ratio declining to 26.78% in 2024, reflecting strong operational discipline. Net profit surged to PKR 102bn, while asset quality remains stable, supported by a prudent risk management framework.
Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): Analyst briefing takeaways -By Insight Research

Feb 26 2025


Insight Securities


  • Meezan Bank Limited has conducted its conference call today to discuss bank’s financial performance and outlook. Key takeaways of the analyst call are as follows:
  • Bank’s deposit has grown at CAGR of ~34% between 2002-2024, compared to industry’s average of 8.5%.
  • During the year, bank opened 47 new branches taking total branches to 1,098
Meezan Bank Ltd (MEBL): Beats expectation on higher gain on sale of securities amid cost controls - By AKD Research

Feb 13 2025


AKD Securities


  • Meezan Bank Ltd (MEBL) announced its 4QCY24 result earlier today, wherein the bank posted unconsolidated NPAT of PkR24.0bn (EPS: PkR13.4), down 9%YoY/ 7%QoQ. The result is above our expectation given higher gain on sale of securities and lower operating expenses. The result was accompanied by a cash-dividend of PkR7/sh, taking CY24 payout to PkR28/sh (vs. PkR20.0/sh in SPLY).
  • Net Spread Earned in 4Q was recorded at PkR72.3bn, higher by 1%YoY primarily because of balance sheet growth. Bank deposit grew by 16.3% YoY to PkR2.6tn at Dec’24.
  • However, NIMs for the quarter are estimated to have stood at ~9.8%, down 140bps YoY/100bps QoQ due to decline in profit on deposits.
Meezan Bank (MEBL): 4Q2024 EPS at Rs13.36, down 9%/7% YoY and QoQ - By Topline Research

Feb 13 2025


Topline Securities


  • Meezan Bank (MEBL) announced its 4Q2024 result today, where the bank recorded earnings of Rs23.9bn (EPS of Rs13.36), which is down 9% YoY and down 7% QoQ. This takes 2024 earnings to Rs101.5bn (EPS Rs56.5) up 20% YoY.
  • Alongside the result, the bank also announced fourth interim cash dividend of Rs7.0/share in 4Q2024, taking 2024 dividend to Rs28.0/share. The 4Q2024 result came in-line with industry expectations.
  • MEBL recorded provision of Rs7.3bn in 4Q2024 as compared to expense of Rs2.5bn in 3Q2024 and provision expense of Rs2.9bn in 4Q2023. The higher provision expense in 4Q2024 is due to implementation of IFRS-9, we believe.
Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): Result Review: MEBL 4QCY24 EPS Rs13.4, DPS Rs7 - By Sherman Research

Feb 13 2025


Sherman Securities


  • Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL) announced 4QCY24 result today wherein company posted unconsolidated earnings of Rs23.9bn (EPS Rs13.4), down 9%YoY. The decline in earnings is due to decline in interest earned and higher provisioning during the period.
  • Along with the result, bank announced dividend of Rs7/share in 4QCY24 bringing cumulative dividend payout during CY24 to Rs28/share.
  • MEBL’s interest earned clocked in at Rs116bn, (down 9%YoY) while net interest earned remained flat at Rs76.8bn, up 1%YoY. This decrease is due to lower yields aimed 1,000bps cut in the policy rate since Jun’24.
Market Wrap: KSE-100 Surges to Historic High, Ends Day Tepid - By HMFS Research

Jul 8 2025


HMFS Research


  • The benchmark KSE-100 index touched a new all-time intraday high of 134,200 amid continued positive sentiment; however, gains were trimmed by the close, with the index settling nearly flat at 133,403—up just 33.05 points. Value buying was evident in the banking sector, while profit-taking emerged in selective bluechip stocks. Trading activity remained robust, with benchmark index volumes hitting 324mn shares and broader market participation crossing 1.2bn shares. Volume leaders for the day included TPLP (97mn), WTL (64mn), and HASCOL (48mn). Going forward, market direction will likely hinge on institutional flows and clarity on macroeconomic triggers. Investors are advised to stay focused on fundamentally sound stocks with long-term value.
Textiles: Pause-period for US tariffs ending today - By JS Research

Jul 8 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The 90-day pause period for the implementation of reciprocal tariffs expires today. Meanwhile, US govt plans to issue letters to all countries which have not struck a deal yet and are likely to face higher than previously announced tariffs effective 1st August, 2025.
  • Countries having completed successful round of bilateral trade agreements including Pakistan, are expected to face a lower tariff, however, a minimum baseline tariff of 10% is likely to remain. A formal notification of the same is likely to be announced along with other trading partners with negotiated contracts.
  • With softening of US stance towards Pakistan since the cease-fire between India and Pakistan and a potential successful round of dialogues between the two, optimism towards Pak Textile sector has gained strength, with an upside of 38% from its low seen in May-2025 and 21% from the pre-tariff announcement levels.
Cement: Capacity Utilization at Record Low, Huge Growth Potential - By Sherman Research

Jul 8 2025


Sherman Securities


  • Currently, cement sector is running on historical low utilization level of 55% versus last 30-year average utilization of 76%. The main reason for this significant decline is that although capacity has increased sharply, demand has remained subdued over the past few years. To note, cement capacity in Pakistan has increased to 84.6mn tons as compared to 9mn tons in FY92, (up 9x) during the years.
  • Historically, we have observed that capacity expansions have only been undertaken when utilization surpasses 80%, therefore, we do not expect any capacity expansion in the near term. Furthermore, the pause in expansion is expected to enhance the liquidity of companies, which could enable them to increase their payout going forward.
  • During FY25, local dispatches arrived at 37mn tons compared to 38.2mn tons during FY24. Thus, during last 4 years, cement sales posted consistent decline on annualized basis reaching at 8 – year low level in FY25.
Morning News: Reserves up: SBP eyes global bond market - By Next Research

Jul 8 2025


Next Capital


  • According to the central bank, reserves reached $14.5 billion by the end of June, surpassing the IMF’s target of $13.9 billion and exceeding even the Governor’s own projections. The hard work is paying off. SBP has been persistent in buying dollars from the interbank market, and now, finally, the international commercial financing channel has reopened. The next move is to tap into the international bond market — starting with the Panda bond, followed by a Eurobond issuance.
  • In a significant economic achievement, the government of Pakistan has demonstrated its firm commitment to fiscal discipline and long-term stability by retiring Rs 1.5 trillion in public debt ahead of schedule in FY25. This substantial early repayment has contributed to a notable improvement in Pakistan’s fiscal indicators, bringing the debt-to-GDP ratio down from 75 percent in FY23 to 69 percent in FY25.
  • The government has repaid a debt of Rs500 billion to the central bank ahead of its scheduled maturity in 2029, resulting in an early retirement of Rs1.5 trillion in public debt, a senior finance official said on Monday.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside likely - By JS Research

Jul 8 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index witnessed a positive session to close at 133,370, up 1,421 points DoD. Volumes stood at 920mn shares compared to 733mn shares traded in the previous session. The index is likely to retest yesterday’s high of 133,862; a break above this level could target 135,232, with potential to rise further towards 137,549 level. Meanwhile, any downside will be tested between 132,460 and 132,610 levels, respectively. The RSI and MACD continue to rise, reinforcing the positive outlook. We advise investors to ‘Buy on dips,’ with risk defined below 130,716. The support and resistance are placed at 132,604 and 133,999, respectively.
Morning News: SBP governor speaks of policy mix: - By HMFS Research

Jul 8 2025


HMFS Research


  • Governor State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Jameel Ahmad has said that unlike in the previous episodes of boom-bust cycles, the current policy mix remains conducive to a lasting increase in economic activity rather than a short-sighted, fragile, and populist ‘sugar rush’. Governor SBP also assured that SBP is fully committed to undertake structural reforms and lay the foundation for sustainable and inclusive economic growth. Both SBP and the government remain steadfast in their approach to transitioning from recently hard-earned economic stability to a medium-term economic transformation. This resolve is reflected in our prudent and cautious monetary policy stance, and fundamentals aligned exchange rate, and ongoing fiscal consolidation and improving debt dynamics.
  • The government has repaid a debt of Rs500 billion to the central bank ahead of its scheduled maturity in 2029, resulting in an early retirement of Rs1.5 trillion in public debt, a senior finance official said. Pakistan’s debtto-GDP ratio decreased from 75 percent in FY23 to 69 percent in FY25 due to early debt repayments. The successful buyback of Rs1 trillion in market debt, completed by December 2024, marked the first such operation in Pakistan’s history. Alongside this, the early repayment of the SBP Rs500 billion debt has collectively led to the early retirement of Rs1.5 trillion in public debt during FY25, said Khurram Schehzad, an advisor to the finance minister. The early retirement of central bank debt, executed by the Debt Management Office (DMO), marks a breakthrough in Pakistan’s debt management strategy. Early debt retirement while converting shorter tenure with longer-tenure debt significantly reduces concentration risk, lowers future liabilities, and strengthens the country’s macroeconomic foundations by curbing reliance on borrowings.
  • The Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) has notified businesses, including importers, suppliers, and manufacturers, of tightened restrictions under Section 21 of the Income Tax Ordinance for FY26, aimed at discouraging excessive cash dealings and broadening the tax net. Under the directive, any cash transaction exceeding PKR 200,000 will not be treated as an allowable business expense. Consequently: 50% of such expenditure will be recognized for tax purposes. The disallowed portion will attract an additional tax burden, effectively raising the cost by 20.5%.For completely disallowed transactions, the effective impact could surge to 79.5%. Businesses are urged to ensure all supplier and client payments are processed through proper banking channels to avoid heavy penalties and additional scrutiny by FBR
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day July 7, 2025 - By JS Research

Jul 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index surged 1.4% to an all-time intraday high of 133,862.01, driven by optimism over trade negotiations, macroeconomic stability, and a strong corporate earnings outlook. Falling inflation, strengthening FX reserves, and capital inflows are enhancing investor confidence, while higher taxes on alternative assets are redirecting capital into equities. With earnings season ahead and technical indicators breaking new ground, we expect the bullish momentum to persist in the near term, supported by favorable macro trends and reallocation from fixed-income instruments.
Market Wrap: Bullish Momentum Carries KSE-100 Beyond 133,000 - By HMFS Research

Jul 7 2025


HMFS Research


  • The market continued its unrelenting bullish streak, surging past the 133,862 mark for the first time in history. This milestone rally was fueled by renewed investor confidence, driven by key trade developments and sector-specific momentum. Investor sentiment received a notable boost as Pakistan and the U.S. concluded a critical round of trade talks ahead of the July 9 deadline. While an official announcement is still awaited, early signs point to a favorable deal for Pakistan’s export sectors. Adding to the positive momentum, OGDC reported a production uplift following the successful installation of an ESP at Rajian-05, where it holds full ownership—further reinforcing its operational strength. The rally was led by the banking and fertilizer sectors, supported by expectations of strong upcoming results and favorable sectoral tailwinds. The KSE-100 index closed at 133,370 level, up 1,421 points in a robust session. Market activity remained upbeat, with 344 million shares traded on the KSE100 and total market volume reaching 915 million shares. Volume leaders included IMAGE (48mn), BOP (43mn), and WTL (37mn). While a short-term breather cannot be ruled out given the sharp upward trajectory, overall sentiment is expected to remain strong amid continued macroeconomic improvement. Investors are advised to stay focused on fundamentally sound stocks with long-term value.
Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDC): OGDC enhances production at Rajian-05 well - By AKD Research

Jul 7 2025


AKD Securities


  • Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd (OGDC) has enhanced production in Rajian-05 through installation of electrical submersible pumps (ESP). Following the workover, production has increased to 3.1kbpd of oil and 1.0mmcfd of gas, compared to 1.1k bpd/0.5mmcfd of oil/gas during 3QFY25. Notably, OGDC is the wholly-owned operator of the Rajian heavy oil field, where several workovers and artificial lift systems have been implemented at previous wells to expedite revival. We anticipate the aforementioned development to have an annualized EPS impact of ~PkR1.3 per sh for OGDC, respectively.
Pakistan Power: Base tariff cut and circular debt overhaul to reshape energy sector outlook - By AKD Research

Jul 7 2025


AKD Securities


  • The national base tariff is determined at PkR34.0/kwh for FY26, down by 4%YoY compared to PkR35.5/kwh in FY25.
  • GoP has accelerated its power sector reform agenda, with the PkR1.25tn commercial bank borrowing facility to reduce the mounting circular
  • Continued resolution of the circular debt would be beneficial for companies under our coverage space, namely: OGDC (Dec’25 TP: PkR371/sh), PPL (Dec’25 TP: PkR281/sh) and PSO (Dec’25 TP: PkR729/sh).
Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): 4QCY24 EPS clocks-in at PKR 13.6; PAT down 8%YoY/5%QoQ - By Taurus Research

Feb 13 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 4QCY24 EPS: PKR 13.6. 4QCY24 PAT down 8%YoY. CY24 EPS: PKR 57.3. CY24 PAT up 21%YoY – above expectations. MEBL also announced a final DPS of PKR 7.00, taking the full year payout to PKR 28.00/sh.
  • Net Spread Earned (NSE): Up 1%YoY. However, dropped 6%QoQ on the back of margin compression amid re-pricing of earning assets due to decrease in the benchmark policy rate. Accordingly, Return Expensed also posted a fall of 14%QoQ.
  • Other Income: Up 55%YoY/70%QoQ, driven by ~PKR 3Bn in capital gains booked during the quarter as well as surge in the share of profit from associates. Fee income was up 7%QoQ with income from foreign exchange also rising subtantially.
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