Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 4QCY24 LPS clocked-in at Rs0.01 - By Foundation Research

Feb 13 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) released its 4QCY24 financial result with loss of Rs0.01/sh compared to profit of Rs0.16/sh in 4QCY23. This cumulates to CY24 earnings of Rs1.75/sh, down 48% YoY.
  • Notably, AsiaPak Investment Company Limited and Montage Oil DMCC have informed PSX of their intention to acquire 75.01% shares of LOTCHEM via a Share Purchase Agreement. This would require them to undertake a Public Offer for 12.49% (189.2 mn) of the outstanding shares.
  • Decline in 4QCY24 profitability is attributable to (1) 53 day plant maintenance shutdown, (2) higher gas prices and (3) appreciation of avg. Rs-US$ despite higher PTA-PX margin.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Earnings Hold Steady as PTA Margins Remain Underwhelming - By IIS Research

Apr 16 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We expect LOTCHEM to report a PAT of PKR 779 million (EPS: PKR 0.51) for 1QCY25, compared to LPS 0.01 in last quarter. This improvement comes as operations normalize following a one-month plant turnaround last quarter. PTA sales volumes are also anticipated to recover to typical levels. However, PTAPX margins have averaged USD 100/ton this quarter, lower than the USD 122/ton in the past six years and the long term average of USD 110/ton, largely due to global dynamics and subdued international demand.
  • Additionally, this quarter is affected by the recent gas price hike. Where, the gas price for captive power plants has increased to Rs 3,500 per MMBtu, effective February 1, 2025. While this increase poses some pressure, it's worth noting that LOTCHEM’s cost structure and margins are largely driven by international PTA-PX spreads. Notably, in CY24, only around 7% of COGS was from oil, gas, and electricity expenses. Furthermore, the company is in the process of being acquired, as AsiaPak Investments Limited and Montage Oil DMCC entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire a 75.01% stake in LOTCHEM.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 4QCY24 LPS clocked-in at Rs0.01 - By Foundation Research

Feb 13 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) released its 4QCY24 financial result with loss of Rs0.01/sh compared to profit of Rs0.16/sh in 4QCY23. This cumulates to CY24 earnings of Rs1.75/sh, down 48% YoY.
  • Notably, AsiaPak Investment Company Limited and Montage Oil DMCC have informed PSX of their intention to acquire 75.01% shares of LOTCHEM via a Share Purchase Agreement. This would require them to undertake a Public Offer for 12.49% (189.2 mn) of the outstanding shares.
  • Decline in 4QCY24 profitability is attributable to (1) 53 day plant maintenance shutdown, (2) higher gas prices and (3) appreciation of avg. Rs-US$ despite higher PTA-PX margin.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 4QCY24 LPS clocked in at PKR0.01 – Below expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 13 2025


Insight Securities


  • LOTCHEM has announced its 4QCY24 result, wherein company has posted LAT of PKR19mn (LPS: PKR0.01) vs. PAT of PKR238mn (EPS: PKR0.16) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation due to lower than estimated gross margins and revenue.
  • In 4QCY24, revenue increased by 4% YoY, due to higher volumetric sales. While on QoQ basis, same is down by 17% due to lower PTA prices and volumetric sales.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 0.8%, down by 120bps/340bps YoY/QoQ, possibly due to lower realized core delta.
Lotte Chemicals Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Earnings Fall Short on Margin Pressure, Maintenance Disruptions - By IIS Research

Feb 13 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Lotte Chemicals Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) has announced its CY24 financial result today, where the company has posted PAT of PKR 2,647 mn with an EPS of PKR 1.75. This fell short of our expectation of PKR 2.13/sh, reflecting a 48% YoY decline, primarily due to PTA-PX margins averaging USD 100/ton in CY24 compared to USD 110/ton in CY23 coupled with minimal profitability in 4QCY24, as sales decreased by 17% QoQ due to a plant shutdown for maintenance, initially planned for one month but later extended by seven days.
  • The company did not announce a dividend alongside the results, contrary to our expectation of 1/sh. The total CY24 dividend stood at PKR 0.50 per share, translating to a payout ratio of 29%, lower than the seven year average annual payout ratio of 68%.
  • On a quarterly basis, gross margins were reported at 0.8%, compared to 4.2% in the previous quarter and 2.0% in 3QCY23. Financial charges for the quarter amounted to PKR 115 million, reflecting a 35% YoY and 38% QoQ decrease. Other income declined by 70% YoY and 24% QoQ, mainly due to a lower interest rate environment.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Earnings Steady, Dividend expected at PKR 1/Share - By IIS Research

Feb 6 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We expect LOTCHEM to report a PAT of PKR 559 million (EPS: PKR 0.37) for 4QCY24, while for CY24, the PAT is projected at PKR 3,221 million (EPS: PKR 2.13). Additionally, we anticipate a dividend of PKR 1 per share this quarter, bringing the total dividend for the year to PKR 1.5 per share.
  • PTA sales volumes for 4QCY24 are expected to be on the lower side as the company suspended plant operations for maintenance for one month, later extending it by seven more days. However, gross margins are anticipated to improve this quarter to 7%, supported by stable margins. On a yearly basis, gross margins for CY24 are expected to be around 6%, down from 13% in CY23, primarily due to PTA-PX margins averaging USD 100/ton in CY24 compared to USD 110/ton in CY23.
  • Moreover, gas prices have once again increased. As per the latest notification, the gas price for captive power plants has been raised to Rs 3,500 per MMBtu, effective February 1, 2025. While this poses a concern for the company, its major costs and margins remain largely influenced by international PTA-PX margins.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Corporate Briefing Notes – By Chase Research

Dec 5 2024



  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) reported a net profit of PKR 2.66 billion (EPS: PKR 1.76) in 9MCY24. This represents a 45% decline from a net profit of PKR 4.84 billion (EPS: PKR 3.20) in the same period last year (SPLY).
  • Revenue for 9MCY24 increased by 43% year-on-year to PKR 88.98 billion, compared to PKR 62.14 billion in 9MCY23. The trading of Acetic Acid contributed gross profit of PKR 358 million during 9MCY24. The price of Acetic Acid ranged between $450 and $500 per ton during the period.
  • LOTCHEM is the sole producer of purified terephthalic acid (PTA) in Pakistan, with an annual production capacity of 500 KT. Approximately 40% of the company’s sales are made to Novatex Limited.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 3QCY24 Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Taurus Research

Dec 5 2024


Taurus Securities


  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited is a leading petrochemical company that specializes in the production and marketing of Purified Terephthalic Acid (PTA), a key raw material used in the manufacturing of polyester fibers, and plastics, contributing significantly to the textile and packaging industries in Pakistan.
  • LOTCHEM’s revenue in 3QCY24 was PKR 25Bn as compared to PKR 24Bn in the same period last year (4.3% YoY increase).
  • However, the Company’s gross profit margin significantly declined to 4.25% in 3QCY24 from 14.48% in 3QCY23. The reason for this sharp decline was because of the broader challenges faced by Pakistan, including high interest rates and escalating energy costs. These challenges caused Lotte's customers to reduce their operational rates, resulting in lower demand for PTA.
Pakistan Economy: Feb’25 LSMI down 5.9%MoM/down 3.5%YoY - By Taurus Research

Apr 16 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Large Scale Manufacturing Index (LSMI) down 5.9%MoM in Feb’25, due to decline from key sectors i.e. Furniture (-56%), Machinery & Equipment (-34%) and Chemical Products (-19%). Whereas, top contributors were Other Transport Equipment (38%), Automobiles (31%), Coke & Petroleum Products (23%) and Tobacco (18%), respectively. 8MFY25 LSMI was down 1.9%YoY.
  • Textile production declined by ~0.33%YoY in Feb’25 attributable to decline in production of jute goods, woolen & worsted cloth and woolen blankets by 36.65%YoY, 3.66%YoY and 94.76%YoY, respectively— mainly due to the lower domestic and international demand driven by a seasonal shift that reduced the overall requirement of these products. Whereas, on a monthly basis it significantly declined by ~3.24%MoM, mainly due to the decline in production of jute goods, terry & towels, woolen & carpet yarn and woolen blankets by 19.56%MoM, 7.34%MoM, 4.42%MoM and 94.21%MoM, respectively
  • Automobile production down ~5%MoM in Feb’25. Wherein, Jeeps & cars production declined by 10%MoM. Similarly, LCVs production down ~13%MoM, respectively. On a YoY basis, production of LCVs, Jeeps & Cars, Trucks and Buses went up by ~23%, 26%, 1.8x and 48% on the back of controlled manufacturing costs, stable tariffs, eased import restrictions on CKD units and recovering demand due to improving macros.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Earnings Hold Steady as PTA Margins Remain Underwhelming - By IIS Research

Apr 16 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We expect LOTCHEM to report a PAT of PKR 779 million (EPS: PKR 0.51) for 1QCY25, compared to LPS 0.01 in last quarter. This improvement comes as operations normalize following a one-month plant turnaround last quarter. PTA sales volumes are also anticipated to recover to typical levels. However, PTAPX margins have averaged USD 100/ton this quarter, lower than the USD 122/ton in the past six years and the long term average of USD 110/ton, largely due to global dynamics and subdued international demand.
  • Additionally, this quarter is affected by the recent gas price hike. Where, the gas price for captive power plants has increased to Rs 3,500 per MMBtu, effective February 1, 2025. While this increase poses some pressure, it's worth noting that LOTCHEM’s cost structure and margins are largely driven by international PTA-PX spreads. Notably, in CY24, only around 7% of COGS was from oil, gas, and electricity expenses. Furthermore, the company is in the process of being acquired, as AsiaPak Investments Limited and Montage Oil DMCC entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire a 75.01% stake in LOTCHEM.
Bank Al-Falah Limited (BAFL): 1QCY25 EPS to clock-in at PKR 3.3; PAT down 47%YoY/up 13%QoQ - By Taurus Research

Apr 16 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Board Meeting: Thursday, April 17, 2025
  • 1QCY25 EPS: PKR 3.3. 1QCY25 PAT down 47%YoY. BAFL is also expected to announce a cash dividend of PKR 2.0/sh.
  • Net Interest Income (NII): We anticipate net interest income to post a drop of 9%YoY/11%QoQ mainly on account of falling yields on investments and re-pricing of the loan book; partially offset by a lower cost of funds due to the rate cut in Jan’25 and the impact of revised MDR regime coming into effect Jan’25 onwards
Commercial Bank: Banking Sector’s Dividends Payouts to Persist Despite Earnings Attrition in 1QCY25 - By Pearl Research

Apr 16 2025


Pearl Securities


  • We preview 1QCY25 earnings result for commercial banks within our coverage. We expect earnings of the Pearl banking universe to witness erosion of 3.6% QoQ due to NIM compression coupled with tapering off of growth in non-core income.
  • Notably, we expect the lagged impact of asset repricing and declining asset yields amid aggressive monetary easing measures to serve as a headwind for interest income, which nonetheless should partly be counteracted by volumetric balance sheet growth.
  • Additionally, we anticipate the offsetting decline in cost of deposit to remain relatively muted compared to the previous quarter despite strategic shift into low-cost deposits by the sector, thereby resulting in core income witnessing a contraction of ~6% QoQ, according to our estimates
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Consolidation likely above key averages - By JS Research

Apr 16 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index extended the gain to close at 116,776, up 385 points DoD. Volumes stood at 479mn shares compared to 485mn shares traded in the previous session. The index is expected to revisit yesterday’s high of 117,362 where a break above targeting 118,718 level. However, any downside will find support at the 30-DMA which is currently at 115,631. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator have moved up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to ‘Buy on dips’, with risk defined below the 30-DMA. The support and resistance levels are at 116,493 and 117,210 levels, respectively.
Engro Powergen Qadirpur Limited (EPQL): 1QCY25 EPS arrive at PKR 1.19, up 1.5xQoQ - By Taurus Research

Apr 15 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 1QCY25 EPS: PKR 1.19; DPS: PKR 7.5.
  • Revenue increased 9%QoQ to PKR 3.1Bn, attributed to improved dispatches amid seasonal demand recovery. However, YoY growth remained flat due to the impact of revised PPA terms, which converted the plant's structure to a 'take-and-pay' regime, limiting guaranteed capacity payments.
  • Finance income stood at PKR 26Mn versus PKR 238Mn in 1QCY24 (SPLY), reflecting the absence of late payment surcharge (LPS) which previously contributed significantly. The decline was anticipated after the company received PKR 8.04Bn in overdue receivables under the revised PPA settlements.
Commercial Banks: 1QCY25 Result Preview: Payouts to remain intact - By AKD Research

Apr 15 2025


AKD Securities


  • AKD Banking Universe is set to announce its 1QCY25E results, where we expect profitability to decline by 12%QoQ, as contraction in NIMs and a drop in nonmarkup income are expected to outweigh the impact of lower operating expenses and reduced taxation.
  • We anticipate our banking universe to maintain dividends in the first quarter, supported by resilient capitalization amid monetary easing, recovery in macro economic variables and removal of mandated ADR based taxation during the previous quarter.
  • Profitability to take a hit from declining yields: AKD Banking Universe is set to announce its 1QCY25E results, where we expect profitability to decline by 12%QoQ to PkR75.1bn, as contraction in NIMs and a drop in non-markup income are expected to outweigh the impact of lower operating expenses and reduced taxation.
United Bank Limited (UBL): 1QCY25 EPS to clock-in at PKR 18.4; PAT up 43%YoY/down 12%QoQ - By Taurus Research

Apr 15 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Board Meeting: Wednesday, April 16, 2025
  • 1QCY25 EPS: PKR 18.4. 1QCY25 PAT up 43%YoY. UBL is also expected to announce an interim cash dividend of PKR 12/sh.
  • Net Interest Income (NII): Expected to go up 2xYoY/9%QoQ, driven by robust growth in current accounts and a lower cost of funds as changes to the MDR regime go into effect, along with a drop in leverage on a sequential basis – offsetting the pressure on yields, specially on the Bank’s investment portfolio.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Closed above 30-DMA - By JS Research

Apr 15 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index posted a gain of 1,537 points to close at 116,390. Volumes stood at 485mn shares compared to 459mn shares traded in the previous session. The index has closed above the 30-DMA which will now provide support at 115,535, followed by 114,357 (50-DMA). However, any upside will face resistance in the range of 116,500-117,300 where a break above targeting 118,718 level. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator have improved, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to ‘Buy on dips’, keeping stoploss below the 30-DMA. The support and resistance levels are at 115,593 and 116,840 levels, respectively.
Morning News: IMF concludes Pak visit, set to propose transparency reforms - By Vector Research

Apr 15 2025


Vector Securities


  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has identified key shortcomings in Pakistan's governance, including the politicisation of the civil service, weak organisational accountability, and excessive focus on short-term goals. These issues, the IMF noted, contribute to broader governance weaknesses and increase vulnerability to corruption. The report which is expected to be made public by August this year will give recommendations for ensuring greater transparency and improving the public sector delivery by minimising the chances of corruption and through merit-based decisions.
  • With the halt of USAID operations by President Donald Trump, Pakistan’s total portfolio of $445 million has been affected over five years, surfacing a gap of $40 million for the current fiscal year for on-budget development projects. “However, in a positive development on the external front, Fitch Ratings might upgrade Pakistan’s rating within a few days”, top official sources confirmed while talking to The News on Monday. The Fitch might upgrade from a notch of CCC+ to BBB keeping in view the reduced risk of default.
  • Members of the delegation of US congressmen visiting Pakistan have described their trip to the South Asian country as "extremely productive" and “significant for the future", which is good news for the mineral-rich country. The delegation also attended the Pakistan Mineral Investment Forum 25 (PMIF25) last week in Islamabad.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): 4QCY24 LPS clocked-in at Rs0.01 - By Foundation Research

Feb 13 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM) released its 4QCY24 financial result with loss of Rs0.01/sh compared to profit of Rs0.16/sh in 4QCY23. This cumulates to CY24 earnings of Rs1.75/sh, down 48% YoY.
  • Notably, AsiaPak Investment Company Limited and Montage Oil DMCC have informed PSX of their intention to acquire 75.01% shares of LOTCHEM via a Share Purchase Agreement. This would require them to undertake a Public Offer for 12.49% (189.2 mn) of the outstanding shares.
  • Decline in 4QCY24 profitability is attributable to (1) 53 day plant maintenance shutdown, (2) higher gas prices and (3) appreciation of avg. Rs-US$ despite higher PTA-PX margin.
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