Maple Leaf cement (MLCF): 2QFY25 EPS clocked in at PKR3.6 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 20 2025


Insight Securities


  • Maple Leaf cement has announced its 2QFY25 result, wherein company has posted PAT of PKR3.7bn (EPS: PKR3.6) vs. PAT of PKR2.2bn (EPS: PKR2.1). The result is above our expectation due to higher-than expected gross margins.
  • In 2QFY25, revenue increased by 5%/21% YoY/QoQ mainly due to higher volumetric sales and better retention prices.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 39.8%, up by 450bps/825bps YoY/QoQ, possibly due to increased usage of alternate fuel.
Maple Leaf Cement (MLCF): Earnings surge 3x QoQ on Higher Sales - By IIS Research

Feb 20 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Maple Leaf Cement (MLCF) announced its 2QFY25 results today, where the company posted consolidated PAT of PKR 3.7bn (EPS: PKR 3.57) vs. PKR 1.3bn (EPS: PKR 1.28) in the previous quarter, reflecting a 3x QoQ increase. The result is above our expectations, mainly due to higher than projected revenue and gross margins.
  • The company’s topline grew by 21% QoQ to PKR 19bn, likely driven by 17% QoQ increase in total dispatches and improved export prices. On a YoY basis, revenue went up by 5%, supported by higher bag prices despite a 6% YoY decline in dispatches.
  • Gross margins stood at 40% compared to 32% in the previous quarter, benefiting from improved margins on white cement, an efficient fuel mix, and a decline in coal prices.
Maple Leaf Cement (MLCF): 2QFY25 EPS at Rs3.57, up by 66% YoY (Earnings higher than expectations) - By Topline Research

Feb 20 2025


Topline Securities


  • MLCF announced its 2QFY25 result today, where the company recorded consolidated earnings of Rs3.7bn (EPS of Rs3.57), up by 66% YoY and by 178% QoQ.
  • The result came higher than expectations in 2QFY25 due to higher-than-expected gross margins and higher than expected other income.
  • Alongside the result, the company did not announce any cash dividend which is as per expectations.
Maple Leaf Cement Factory Ltd. (MLCF): 2QFY25 Result Review — Higher retention & lower taxes lift earning - By AKD Research

Feb 20 2025


AKD Securities


  • Maple Leaf Cement Factory Ltd. (MLCF) announced its 2QFY25 financial results, reporting consolidated profitability of PkR3.7bn (EPS: PkR3.6), up 67%YoY compared to PkR2.2bn (EPS: PkR2.1) in SPLY. Earnings came above our expectations due to higher-than anticipated gross margins, elevated other income, and lower taxation.
  • Revenue clocked in at PkR19.0bn in 2QFY25, up 5%YoY from PkR18.0bn in SPLY, as higher retention prices outweighed the impact of 6%YoY decline in offtakes. Betterthan-expected retention prices were likely driven by increased sales of white cement and hdPutty.
  • Gross margins improved to 39.8% from 35.3% in SPLY, mainly on the back of aforementioned higher retention prices and a decline in weighted avg. coal prices
Maple Leaf cement (MLCF): 2QFY25 EPS clocked in at PKR3.6 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 20 2025


Insight Securities


  • Maple Leaf cement has announced its 2QFY25 result, wherein company has posted PAT of PKR3.7bn (EPS: PKR3.6) vs. PAT of PKR2.2bn (EPS: PKR2.1). The result is above our expectation due to higher-than expected gross margins.
  • In 2QFY25, revenue increased by 5%/21% YoY/QoQ mainly due to higher volumetric sales and better retention prices.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 39.8%, up by 450bps/825bps YoY/QoQ, possibly due to increased usage of alternate fuel.
Maple Leaf Cement Factory Limited (MLCF): Result Preview 2QFY25 - By AHCML Research

Feb 18 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • MLCF is anticipated to declare a profit after tax of PKR 1,633mn (EPS: PKR 1.56) in 2QFY25, reflecting a gain of 22% QoQ.
  • During the quarter, sales are expected to reach PKR 18,009mn, indicating slight decline of 0.35%YoY.
  • We estimate gross margins at 31%, representing a decrease of 0.3ppt QoQ and 4.1ppt YoY.
Pakistan Cement: PIOC, MLCF & FCCL: 2QFY25 result previews - By JS Research

Feb 18 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We present 2QFY25 earnings expectations for Pioneer Cement Ltd (PIOC), Maple Leaf Cement Factory Ltd (MLCF), and Fauji Cement Company Ltd (FCCL). PIOC and MLCF are expected to report a decline in earnings, with EPS likely to arrive at Rs6.2 and Rs1.47, reflecting a YoY decrease of 17% and 16%, respectively. This decline is primarily driven by lower local dispatches and higher royalty charge.
  • On the other hand, we expect FCCL to post an EPS of Rs1.45 during the quarter, up 34% YoY, largely attributed to a 19% rise in dispatches, following the company’s expansion, which has increased its capacity-based market share.
  • Punjab-based manufacturers continue to face pressure from the higher royalty charge, which adds Rs60-70/bag to manufacturing costs. However, cost efficiencies and declining Afghan and local coal prices are expected to partially offset this impact.
Maple Leaf Cement Factory Ltd (MLCF): Playing the long game – By Insight Research

Jan 1 2025


Insight Securities


  • Maple leaf cement, one of the giants in cement industry, continues to exhibit a strong core business, supported by its strong focus on cost optimization, through diverse fuel mix and increasing reliance on renewable energy in its power mix. However, the cement industry’s profitability is volatile due to cyclical nature of cement demand, influenced by the country’s recurring economic boom & bust cycles. To note, cement industry utilization has remained below 60% for the past 2 years, showcasing longevity of economic trough with no foreseeable catalyst to boost demand. To counter this inherent cyclicality, the company is strategically diversifying into stable businesses. MLCF is venturing into the hospital business and pursuing the acquisition of a fertilizer company, both of which offer more stability than cement business.
  • We reiterate our ‘BUY’ stance on MLCF with DCF based TP of PKR59/sh for Dec’25, providing 29% capital upside from last closing price. Our liking for the stock stems from the following facts i) Continuous focus toward operational efficiencies, ii) Investments in hospital and fertilizer business, iii) Trading at an attractive EV/ton and iv) Strong balance sheet.
  • Key risks to our investment thesis include: i) Slowdown in construction activity ii) Stiff price competition , iii) Increase in coal prices, iv) Higher than expected hike in energy prices and v) Change in regulatory environment.
Maple Leaf Cement Factory (MLCF): Corporate briefing key takeaways – By JS Research

Nov 21 2024


JS Global Capital


  • Maple Leaf Cement Factory (MLCF) conducted its corporate briefing yesterday to discuss the recent financial results and outlook. On a consolidated basis, MLCF posted FY24 earnings of Rs6,891mn, up 20% YoY. Meanwhile, the company reported consolidated earnings of Rs1,343mn for 1QFY25, down 17% YoY.
  • The company revealed that their average retention price for local grey cement during FY24 was Rs14,887/ton (744/bag). Meanwhile, retention for white cement in FY24 stood at Rs1,262/bag. Current Retention price for the company is Rs17,500 (875/bag). While the current MRP is Rs1,450/bag.
  • Average power cost for MLCF stood at Rs19/kWh for FY24 and remains more or less the same, currently. The company is meeting ~94% of its electricity requirements from captive power which includes 20MW solar, 25MW WHR and 40MW CFBs while the remaining 6% is being procured from grid. The company disclosed that the grid rate is Rs48.6/KWH.
Maple Leaf Cement (MLCF): Corporate Briefing Key Takeaways – By Topline Research

Nov 20 2024


Topline Securities


  • Maple Leaf Cement (MLCF) conducted analyst briefing today to discuss business performance and future outlook.
  • Company’s average grey cement retention price stood at Rs14.8k/ton in FY24 compared to Rs13.4k/ton in FY23. Currently the average grey cement retention price stands at Rs17.5k/ton. While white cement retention prices are Rs18k/ton. Export price for the company stands at US$45/ton.
  • Raw material cost for the company, on consolidated basis, increased to ~Rs3.9bn in FY24 compared to ~Rs2.9bn in FY23. This is an increase of 34% despite lower production in FY24. Main reason for increase was royalty on limestone increasing to Rs250/ton from Rs115/ton in FY23.
Maple Leaf Cement Factory Ltd. (MLCF): FY24 & 1QFY25 Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Taurus Research

Nov 20 2024


Taurus Securities


  • Maple Leaf Cement Factory Limited (MLCF) is part of the Kohinoor Maple Leaf Group which also owns Kohinoor Textile Mills Limited and Maple Leaf Capital Limited. MLCF has two subsidiaries; Novacare Hospitals Private Limited and Maple Leaf Power Limited. It has a strong presence in the North and Central regions of Pakistan which constitute 97% of its sales. The remainder is exported to Afghanistan, Maldives, Oman, Qatar, Sri Lanka, South Africa, U.A.E., Yemen, and Tanzania.
  • At present, MLCF operates five production lines; four for grey and one for white cement. It has a 90% market share in white cement in Pakistan. MLCF has two separate plants for white and grey cement and in FY24 it added a state-of-the-art process plant sourced from FLSmidth. This enhanced its total capacity for clinker production to 7.8Mn tons annually or 26,000 tons daily. MLCF produces the following cement products: Ordinary Portland Cement, Sulphate Resistant Cement, Low Alkali Cement, White Cement, Wall Coat, HD Putty, and White Plast. It is also working on CPEC projects with Chinese clients.
  • MLCF’s FY24 topline grew by 7%YoY and was recorded at PKR 66Bn. Gross margin increased by 3%YoY to 34%. MLCF recorded PKR 6Bn in PAT at a net profit margin of 10.4% compared to 9.2% in FY23. As a result, EPS increased to PKR 6.51. MLCF’s taxation also decreased by 23%YoY. It also announced a competitive bid for 161Mn shares of AGL
Pakistan Economy: Feb’25 LSMI down 5.9%MoM/down 3.5%YoY - By Taurus Research

Apr 16 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Large Scale Manufacturing Index (LSMI) down 5.9%MoM in Feb’25, due to decline from key sectors i.e. Furniture (-56%), Machinery & Equipment (-34%) and Chemical Products (-19%). Whereas, top contributors were Other Transport Equipment (38%), Automobiles (31%), Coke & Petroleum Products (23%) and Tobacco (18%), respectively. 8MFY25 LSMI was down 1.9%YoY.
  • Textile production declined by ~0.33%YoY in Feb’25 attributable to decline in production of jute goods, woolen & worsted cloth and woolen blankets by 36.65%YoY, 3.66%YoY and 94.76%YoY, respectively— mainly due to the lower domestic and international demand driven by a seasonal shift that reduced the overall requirement of these products. Whereas, on a monthly basis it significantly declined by ~3.24%MoM, mainly due to the decline in production of jute goods, terry & towels, woolen & carpet yarn and woolen blankets by 19.56%MoM, 7.34%MoM, 4.42%MoM and 94.21%MoM, respectively
  • Automobile production down ~5%MoM in Feb’25. Wherein, Jeeps & cars production declined by 10%MoM. Similarly, LCVs production down ~13%MoM, respectively. On a YoY basis, production of LCVs, Jeeps & Cars, Trucks and Buses went up by ~23%, 26%, 1.8x and 48% on the back of controlled manufacturing costs, stable tariffs, eased import restrictions on CKD units and recovering demand due to improving macros.
Lotte Chemical Pakistan Limited (LOTCHEM): Earnings Hold Steady as PTA Margins Remain Underwhelming - By IIS Research

Apr 16 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We expect LOTCHEM to report a PAT of PKR 779 million (EPS: PKR 0.51) for 1QCY25, compared to LPS 0.01 in last quarter. This improvement comes as operations normalize following a one-month plant turnaround last quarter. PTA sales volumes are also anticipated to recover to typical levels. However, PTAPX margins have averaged USD 100/ton this quarter, lower than the USD 122/ton in the past six years and the long term average of USD 110/ton, largely due to global dynamics and subdued international demand.
  • Additionally, this quarter is affected by the recent gas price hike. Where, the gas price for captive power plants has increased to Rs 3,500 per MMBtu, effective February 1, 2025. While this increase poses some pressure, it's worth noting that LOTCHEM’s cost structure and margins are largely driven by international PTA-PX spreads. Notably, in CY24, only around 7% of COGS was from oil, gas, and electricity expenses. Furthermore, the company is in the process of being acquired, as AsiaPak Investments Limited and Montage Oil DMCC entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire a 75.01% stake in LOTCHEM.
Bank Al-Falah Limited (BAFL): 1QCY25 EPS to clock-in at PKR 3.3; PAT down 47%YoY/up 13%QoQ - By Taurus Research

Apr 16 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Board Meeting: Thursday, April 17, 2025
  • 1QCY25 EPS: PKR 3.3. 1QCY25 PAT down 47%YoY. BAFL is also expected to announce a cash dividend of PKR 2.0/sh.
  • Net Interest Income (NII): We anticipate net interest income to post a drop of 9%YoY/11%QoQ mainly on account of falling yields on investments and re-pricing of the loan book; partially offset by a lower cost of funds due to the rate cut in Jan’25 and the impact of revised MDR regime coming into effect Jan’25 onwards
Commercial Bank: Banking Sector’s Dividends Payouts to Persist Despite Earnings Attrition in 1QCY25 - By Pearl Research

Apr 16 2025


Pearl Securities


  • We preview 1QCY25 earnings result for commercial banks within our coverage. We expect earnings of the Pearl banking universe to witness erosion of 3.6% QoQ due to NIM compression coupled with tapering off of growth in non-core income.
  • Notably, we expect the lagged impact of asset repricing and declining asset yields amid aggressive monetary easing measures to serve as a headwind for interest income, which nonetheless should partly be counteracted by volumetric balance sheet growth.
  • Additionally, we anticipate the offsetting decline in cost of deposit to remain relatively muted compared to the previous quarter despite strategic shift into low-cost deposits by the sector, thereby resulting in core income witnessing a contraction of ~6% QoQ, according to our estimates
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Consolidation likely above key averages - By JS Research

Apr 16 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index extended the gain to close at 116,776, up 385 points DoD. Volumes stood at 479mn shares compared to 485mn shares traded in the previous session. The index is expected to revisit yesterday’s high of 117,362 where a break above targeting 118,718 level. However, any downside will find support at the 30-DMA which is currently at 115,631. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator have moved up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to ‘Buy on dips’, with risk defined below the 30-DMA. The support and resistance levels are at 116,493 and 117,210 levels, respectively.
Engro Powergen Qadirpur Limited (EPQL): 1QCY25 EPS arrive at PKR 1.19, up 1.5xQoQ - By Taurus Research

Apr 15 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 1QCY25 EPS: PKR 1.19; DPS: PKR 7.5.
  • Revenue increased 9%QoQ to PKR 3.1Bn, attributed to improved dispatches amid seasonal demand recovery. However, YoY growth remained flat due to the impact of revised PPA terms, which converted the plant's structure to a 'take-and-pay' regime, limiting guaranteed capacity payments.
  • Finance income stood at PKR 26Mn versus PKR 238Mn in 1QCY24 (SPLY), reflecting the absence of late payment surcharge (LPS) which previously contributed significantly. The decline was anticipated after the company received PKR 8.04Bn in overdue receivables under the revised PPA settlements.
Commercial Banks: 1QCY25 Result Preview: Payouts to remain intact - By AKD Research

Apr 15 2025


AKD Securities


  • AKD Banking Universe is set to announce its 1QCY25E results, where we expect profitability to decline by 12%QoQ, as contraction in NIMs and a drop in nonmarkup income are expected to outweigh the impact of lower operating expenses and reduced taxation.
  • We anticipate our banking universe to maintain dividends in the first quarter, supported by resilient capitalization amid monetary easing, recovery in macro economic variables and removal of mandated ADR based taxation during the previous quarter.
  • Profitability to take a hit from declining yields: AKD Banking Universe is set to announce its 1QCY25E results, where we expect profitability to decline by 12%QoQ to PkR75.1bn, as contraction in NIMs and a drop in non-markup income are expected to outweigh the impact of lower operating expenses and reduced taxation.
United Bank Limited (UBL): 1QCY25 EPS to clock-in at PKR 18.4; PAT up 43%YoY/down 12%QoQ - By Taurus Research

Apr 15 2025


Taurus Securities


  • Board Meeting: Wednesday, April 16, 2025
  • 1QCY25 EPS: PKR 18.4. 1QCY25 PAT up 43%YoY. UBL is also expected to announce an interim cash dividend of PKR 12/sh.
  • Net Interest Income (NII): Expected to go up 2xYoY/9%QoQ, driven by robust growth in current accounts and a lower cost of funds as changes to the MDR regime go into effect, along with a drop in leverage on a sequential basis – offsetting the pressure on yields, specially on the Bank’s investment portfolio.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Closed above 30-DMA - By JS Research

Apr 15 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index posted a gain of 1,537 points to close at 116,390. Volumes stood at 485mn shares compared to 459mn shares traded in the previous session. The index has closed above the 30-DMA which will now provide support at 115,535, followed by 114,357 (50-DMA). However, any upside will face resistance in the range of 116,500-117,300 where a break above targeting 118,718 level. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator have improved, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to ‘Buy on dips’, keeping stoploss below the 30-DMA. The support and resistance levels are at 115,593 and 116,840 levels, respectively.
Morning News: IMF concludes Pak visit, set to propose transparency reforms - By Vector Research

Apr 15 2025


Vector Securities


  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has identified key shortcomings in Pakistan's governance, including the politicisation of the civil service, weak organisational accountability, and excessive focus on short-term goals. These issues, the IMF noted, contribute to broader governance weaknesses and increase vulnerability to corruption. The report which is expected to be made public by August this year will give recommendations for ensuring greater transparency and improving the public sector delivery by minimising the chances of corruption and through merit-based decisions.
  • With the halt of USAID operations by President Donald Trump, Pakistan’s total portfolio of $445 million has been affected over five years, surfacing a gap of $40 million for the current fiscal year for on-budget development projects. “However, in a positive development on the external front, Fitch Ratings might upgrade Pakistan’s rating within a few days”, top official sources confirmed while talking to The News on Monday. The Fitch might upgrade from a notch of CCC+ to BBB keeping in view the reduced risk of default.
  • Members of the delegation of US congressmen visiting Pakistan have described their trip to the South Asian country as "extremely productive" and “significant for the future", which is good news for the mineral-rich country. The delegation also attended the Pakistan Mineral Investment Forum 25 (PMIF25) last week in Islamabad.
Fauji Cement Company Limited (FCCL): 2QFY25 EPS clocked in at PKR1.6 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 25 2025


Insight Securities


  • FCCL has announced its 2QFY25 result, wherein company has posted PAT of PKR4.0bn (EPS: PKR1.6) vs. PAT of PKR2.7bn (EPS: PKR1.1) in SPLY. The result is above our expectation due to higher-than-expected gross margins.
  • In 2QFY25, revenue increased by 24%/8% YoY/QoQ mainly due to higher volumetric sales and better retention prices. To note, company’s local cement offtakes increased by 17%/14% YoY/QoQ.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 35.8%, up by 314bps/142bps YoY/QoQ, possibly due to optimal energy mix and decline in coal prices.
Gul Ahmed Textile Mills Limited (GATM): 2QFY24 EPS clocked in at PKR0.93 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 25 2025


Insight Securities


  • GATM has announced its 2QFY25 result, wherein the company has posted consolidated PAT of PKR687mn (EPS: PKR0.93) vs. PKR547mn (EPS: PKR0.74) in SPLY, up by 26% YoY. The result is above our expectation due to higher-than-expected gross margin and lower tax expense.
  • In 2QFY25, company’s revenue clocked in at PKR45.68bn compared to PKR41.23bn in SPLY, up by ~11 YoY. The increase in topline is possibly attributable to higher volumetric sales.
  • In dollar terms, company’s revenue clocked in at US$164.0mn in 2QFY25 vs. US$145.5mn in SPLY, up by ~13 YoY. However, same is down by ~7 QoQ.
Maple Leaf cement (MLCF): 2QFY25 EPS clocked in at PKR3.6 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 20 2025


Insight Securities


  • Maple Leaf cement has announced its 2QFY25 result, wherein company has posted PAT of PKR3.7bn (EPS: PKR3.6) vs. PAT of PKR2.2bn (EPS: PKR2.1). The result is above our expectation due to higher-than expected gross margins.
  • In 2QFY25, revenue increased by 5%/21% YoY/QoQ mainly due to higher volumetric sales and better retention prices.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 39.8%, up by 450bps/825bps YoY/QoQ, possibly due to increased usage of alternate fuel.
Habib Bank Limited (HBL): 4QCY24 EPS clocked in at PKR9.8 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 19 2025


Insight Securities


  • HBL has announced its 4QCY24 result, wherein it has posted consolidated PAT of PKR14.6bn (EPS: PKR9.8) vs. PAT of PKR15.9bn (EPS: PKR10.1) in SPLY. The result is above our expectation due to higher than estimated NII and other income.
  • Net interest income clocked in at PKR60.3bn in 4QCY24, down by 6%/5% YoY/QoQ. The decline is attributable to falling asset yields.
  • Non markup income inched up by 76%/69% YoY/QoQ, driven by fee income and gain on securities. Moreover, the bank recorded other income of ~PKR14.5bn in 4QCY24, attributable to sale of branches.

Engro Polymer and Chemicals Limited (EPCL): 4QCY24 EPS clocked in at PKR2.3 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Feb 11 2025


Insight Securities


  • EPCL has announced its 4QCY24 result, wherein company has posted consolidated PAT of PKR2.1bn (EPS: PKR2.3) vs. PAT of PKR4.0bn (EPS: PKR4.4) in SPLY. The result is significantly above our expectation due to higher than estimated revenue, gross margins and tax credit in 4QCY24.
  • In 4QCY24, revenue increased by 11%/6% YoY/QoQ possibly due to better volumetric sales coupled with higher caustic soda prices.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 14.1%, up by 860bps QoQ, possibly due to premium charged over import parity price as core delta remained flat QoQ. However, we await further clarity on this.
Attock Cement (Pakistan) Limited (ACPL): 2QFY25 EPS clocked in at PKR4.2 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Jan 27 2025


Insight Securities


  • ACPL has announced its 2QFY25 result, wherein company has posted PAT of PKR0.6bn (EPS: PKR4.2) vs. PAT of PKR0.5bn (EPS: PKR3.6). The result is above our expectation due to higher-than-expected other income
  • In 2QFY25, revenue increased by 12%/39% YoY/QoQ mainly due to higher volumetric sales.
  • Gross margins of the company clocked in at 21.2%, up by 412 bps QoQ, possibly due to better fuel mix.
Attock Petroleum Limited (APL): 2QFY25 EPS clocked in at PKR22.0 – Above expectation - By Insight Research

Jan 27 2025


Insight Securities


  • Attock Petroleum Limited (APL) has announced its 2QFY25 result wherein company posted PAT of ~PKR2.7bn (EPS: PKR22.0) vs. PAT of ~PKR2.5bn (EPS: PKR20.4) in SPLY, up by 8% YoY. The result came above our expectations due to lower than estimated operating expense and higher share of profit from associate companies.
  • Topline of the company recorded a decrease of 12% YoY mainly led by lower petroleum product prices. On QoQ basis, company has recorded an increase of 6% due to higher volumetric sales.
  • Gross margin of the company clocked in at 3.4% in 2QFY25, down by ~0.2ppts QoQ due to lower inventory gains. To highlight, ex-refinery prices of MS and HSD increased by 4% to PKR171/ltr and PKR175/ltr on quarter end basis, respectively.
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