International Steels Limited (ISL): 3QFY25 EPS clocked-in at PKR 1.0, PAT of ~PKR 417Mn - By Taurus Research

Apr 24 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 3QFY25– EPS: PKR 1.0; PAT: ~PKR 417Mn, up 18%QoQ – in line with our expectations.
  • ISL’s net sales clocked-in at PKR 13.9Bn in 3QFY25, down 24%QoQ mainly on the back of drop in industry sales i.e. construction sales declined during the quarter. However, the Company’s CRC sales went up due to overall increase in Automobile sales by 22%QoQ along with increase in CRC-HRC spread in 3QFY25. Gross margins hovered at 9% in 3QFY25, up 1pptsQoQ. Net earnings arrived at PKR 417Mn in 3QFY25, up 18%QoQ. Lastly, the Company did not announce a cash dividend for the quarter.
  • Outlook: We expect global CRC-HRC spread to remain lower for 4QFY25 due to China’s weak economic outlook amid subdued industrial demand, deflationary pressure and trade war with US, resulting in oversupply of industrial raw material. We also expect ISL’s gross margin to remain under pressure in 4QFY25 which can put significant stress on the bottom-line.
International Steels Limited (ISL): Earnings drop 41% YoY on Lower Sales and Margins - By IIS Research

Apr 24 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • International Steels Limited (ISL) announced its 3QFY25 results today, reporting a PAT of PKR 417 million (EPS: PKR 0.96), compared to PKR 706 million (EPS: PKR 1.63) in the same period last year, down by 41% YoY, mainly due to lower sales and gross margins. However, earnings increased by 18% QoQ.
  • The company’s topline declined by 15% YoY and 24% QoQ to PKR 13.9 billion, primarily due to lower volumetric sales as cheaper imported material in the market made the company less competitive. Additionally, falling product prices further impacted revenue.
  • Gross margins stood at 8.6% in 3QFY25, declining 300 bps YoY due to a contraction in CRC-HRC spread, while improving 50 bps QoQ.
International Steels (ISL): 3QFY25 EPS at Rs0.96, down by 41% YoY (Earnings lower than expectations) - By Topline Research

Apr 24 2025


Topline Securities


  • ISL announced its 3QFY25 result today, where the company recorded earnings of Rs417mn (EPS of Rs0.96), down by 41% YoY while up by 18% QoQ.
  • The result came below expectations in 3QFY25 due to lower-than-expected Net Sales. Flat steel volumes were impacted by higher dumping from FATA/PATA region, as per channel checks.
  • Net Revenue decreased by 15% YoY and by 24% QoQ to Rs13.8bn in 3QFY25. Decrease in revenue on a YoY basis is due to lower average selling prices
International Steels Limited (ISL): 3QFY25 EPS clocked-in at PKR 1.0, PAT of ~PKR 417Mn - By Taurus Research

Apr 24 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 3QFY25– EPS: PKR 1.0; PAT: ~PKR 417Mn, up 18%QoQ – in line with our expectations.
  • ISL’s net sales clocked-in at PKR 13.9Bn in 3QFY25, down 24%QoQ mainly on the back of drop in industry sales i.e. construction sales declined during the quarter. However, the Company’s CRC sales went up due to overall increase in Automobile sales by 22%QoQ along with increase in CRC-HRC spread in 3QFY25. Gross margins hovered at 9% in 3QFY25, up 1pptsQoQ. Net earnings arrived at PKR 417Mn in 3QFY25, up 18%QoQ. Lastly, the Company did not announce a cash dividend for the quarter.
  • Outlook: We expect global CRC-HRC spread to remain lower for 4QFY25 due to China’s weak economic outlook amid subdued industrial demand, deflationary pressure and trade war with US, resulting in oversupply of industrial raw material. We also expect ISL’s gross margin to remain under pressure in 4QFY25 which can put significant stress on the bottom-line.
International Steels Limited (ISL): 2QFY25 EPS clocked-in at PKR 0.8, PAT of ~PKR 355Mn - By Taurus Research

Jan 29 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 2QFY25– EPS: PKR 0.8; PAT: ~PKR 355Mn, up 98%QoQ.
  • ISL’s net sales clocked-in at PKR 18Bn in 2QFY25, up 36%QoQ mainly on the back of improved industry sales i.e. Automobile (up 37%QoQ). Gross margins hovered at 8% in 2QFY25, up 1pptsQoQ due to higher HRC prices (up 5%QoQ). Net earnings arrived at PKR 355Mn in 2QFY25, up 98%QoQ due to increase in sales volume along with lower finance cost (down 26%QoQ) on account of monetary easing cycle. The Company did not announce a cash dividend for the quarter.
  • Outlook: We expect global CRC-HRC spread to remain lower for 3QFY25 due to China’s weak economic outlook amid ongoing property crisis and subdued industrial demand and deflationary pressure, resulting in oversupply of industrial raw material in the country. We also expect ISL’s gross margin to remain under pressure in 3QFY25 which can put significant stress on the bottom-line.
Pakistan Banks: SBP imposed MDR on Islamic Banks for individuals Removed MDR for Conventional Banks for companies – By Topline Research

Nov 26 2024


Topline Securities


  • State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has removed the Minimum Deposit Rate (MDR) requirement for all conventional banks on deposits from financial institutions, public sector enterprises, and public limited companies. The MDR will now only be applicable to deposits of individual account holders. Since last few days there were market gossip on this development.
  • This shall be effective from January 01, 2025.
  • It will benefit banks with a higher mix of corporate deposits, as they are no longer required to pay any MDR. Banks will now pay negotiated rates to corporates.
Pakistan Power: Base tariff cut and circular debt overhaul to reshape energy sector outlook - By AKD Research

Jul 7 2025


AKD Securities


  • The national base tariff is determined at PkR34.0/kwh for FY26, down by 4%YoY compared to PkR35.5/kwh in FY25.
  • GoP has accelerated its power sector reform agenda, with the PkR1.25tn commercial bank borrowing facility to reduce the mounting circular
  • Continued resolution of the circular debt would be beneficial for companies under our coverage space, namely: OGDC (Dec’25 TP: PkR371/sh), PPL (Dec’25 TP: PkR281/sh) and PSO (Dec’25 TP: PkR729/sh).
Autos: Marking FY25 as a year of recovery - By JS Research

Jul 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We preview automobile sales volumes for Jun-2025, expecting the three major players including Indus Motors Company Ltd (INDU), Honda Atlas Cars Ltd (HCAR), and Pak Suzuki Motor Company Ltd to post combined growth of 33%/9% YoY/MoM, reaching ~14.5k units – highest since Dec-2022.
  • All three companies are projected to post strong YoY volume growth, with HCAR leading peers with 65% YoY growth in Jun2025, followed by PSMC (+31% YoY), and INDU (+25% YoY), helped by pre-budget buying ahead of anticipated negative budgetary measures. Meanwhile, Sazgar Engineering Works Ltd (SAZEW) volumes also rose 55% YoY in Jun-2025.
  • For FY25 cumulatively, the auto sector witnessed a strong recovery, with volumes expected to grow by 37% to ~121k units, supported by improving macroeconomic stability and a rebound in consumer confidence amid stable car prices.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 setting a record - By JS Research

Jul 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bullish momentum continued for the KSE-100 index, which gained 1,262 points to close at 131,949. Trading volumes stood at 733mn shares, compared to 900mn shares previously. The index is likely to retest Friday’s high of 132,130; a break above this level could target 133,412, with potential to rise further toward 135,232. On the downside, support is seen in the 130,710-131,600 range. The RSI and MACD continue to rise, reinforcing the positive outlook. We advise investors to ‘Buy on dips,’ with risk defined below 130,716. Immediate support and resistance are placed at 131,067 and 132,480, respectively.
Morning News: Pakistan, US reach accord on trade and tariffs - By HMFS Research

Jul 7 2025


HMFS Research


  • With less than a week to go before the July 9 deadline, Pakistan and the United States have concluded a critical round of trade negotiations. While both sides have reached an understanding, a formal announcement is expected only after the US concludes similar ongoing negotiations with other trade partners. The tariff relief, temporarily paused earlier this year, was at risk of expiring if no progress had been made by the July 9 deadline. The agreement, when signed, could lead to increased Pakistani imports of US goods — notably crude oil — and potential American investment in Pakistan’s mining, energy, and infrastructure sectors.
  • The U.S. dollar hovered near its lowest since 2021 against the euro and the weakest since 2015 versus the Swiss franc on Monday, with traders alert for any trade-related headlines in the countdown to President Donald Trump’s tariff deadline. The dollar index , which measures the currency against those three rivals and three more major counterparts, was flat at 96.967, hovering above Tuesday’s nearly 3-1/2-year trough of 96.373.
  • US President Donald Trump said on Friday that he had signed 12 trade letters to be sent out next week ahead of an impending deadline for his tariffs to take effect. “I signed some letters and they’ll go out on Monday, probably 12,” Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One, adding that the countries to which the letters would be sent will be announced on the same day. His comments come days before steeper duties — which the president said on Thursday would range between 10 and 70 per cent — are set to take effect on dozens of economies, from Taiwan to the European Union.
Morning News: Pakistan, US reach accord on trade and tariffs - By Vector Research

Jul 7 2025


Vector Securities


  • With less than a week to go before the July 9 deadline, Pakistan and the United States have concluded a critical round of trade negotiations, reaching an understanding on a deal that could shape the future of the country’s key export sectors. The delegation arrived in Washington on Monday with the aim of finalising a long-term reciprocal tariff agreement that would prevent the re-imposition of a 29 per cent tariff on Pakistani exports — primarily textiles and agricultural products. The tariff relief, temporarily paused earlier this year, was at risk of expiring if no progress had been made by the July 9 deadline.
  • Pakistan and Azerbaijan in a major development Friday signed a partnership agreement. The agreement for investment of a total of $2 billion by Azerbaijan in the economic sector of Pakistan.
  • Foreign exchange companies contributed around $450 million to remittance inflows during June, taking their total contribution to approximately $5 billion in FY25, according to the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (ECAP). “We sold about $450m to banks in June, highlighting our growing role in supporting the country’s exchange rate stability,” said Zafar Paracha, Secretary General of ECAP.
Morning News: Azerbaijan to invest $2bn in economic sector WE Research

Jul 7 2025



  • Pakistan and Azerbaijan have signed a significant $2 billion investment agreement, marking a new milestone in bilateral economic relations. The deal, signed in the presence of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar, and Azerbaijani Economy Minister Mikayil Jabbarov, reflects growing investor confidence in Pakistan. It follows a cordial meeting between Prime Minister Sharif and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev in Khankandi, with a more detailed agreement to be finalized during the Azerbaijani President’s upcoming visit to Pakistan. Both countries committed to further enhancing cooperation across various sectors, including trade, investment, and climate issues, as emphasized by Prime Minister Sharif during his remarks in Shusha.
  • With less than a week before the July 9 deadline, Pakistan and the United States have reached a preliminary understanding on a trade agreement aimed at securing Pakistan’s key export sectors, particularly textiles and agriculture, from the re-imposition of a 29% tariff. Led by Commerce Secretary Jawad Paal, the Pakistani delegation concluded four days of negotiations in Washington, with a formal announcement expected after the US finalizes talks with other trade partners. The proposed deal includes reciprocal tariff arrangements, increased Pakistani imports of US goods such as crude oil, and potential American investment in Pakistan’s mining, energy, and infrastructure sectors—including projects like Reko Diq. Officials remain optimistic that the agreement will preserve Pakistan’s access to the US market and revitalize economic ties strained since the Trump-era tariffs.
  • Oil prices dropped over 1% after OPEC+ surprised markets by announcing a larger-than-expected production increase of 548,000 barrels per day (bpd) for August, raising fears of oversupply. Brent crude fell to $67.50 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate dropped to $65.68. The hike, up from prior monthly increases of 411,000bpd, reflects a more aggressive push for market share, with Saudi Arabia driving much of the actual output gains. OPEC+ cited strong global demand and low inventories as justification. Goldman Sachs expects a final 550,000bpd increase to be announced for September at the group’s August 3 meeting. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia raised prices for its flagship Arab Light crude in a show of confidence in demand. In a related development, U.S. President Trump indicated higher tariffs will be announced by July 9, with implementation set for August 1.
Market Wrap: Banking on Bulls: KSE-100 Hits a New Milestone - By HMFS Research

Jul 4 2025


HMFS Research


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) sustained its upward trajectory in today’s session, with the benchmark KSE-100 Index surging to a fresh intra-day high of 132,130 before closing at 131,949, up by a robust 1,262 points (+0.97%). The rally was supported by sustained investor interest—particularly in the banking sector—as participants continued to rotate into fundamentally sound, undervalued plays amid a supportive macroeconomic backdrop. Trading activity remained strong, with the All-Share Index posting a healthy turnover of 731mn shares, while KSE-100 volumes came in at 199mn shares, indicating broad-based participation. Top volume leaders included, WTL (58mn), BML (36mn), and TREET (30mn). The banking sector emerged as the primary driver of index gains, supported by attractive dividend yields, and compelling P/B valuations. The recent softening in Pakistan’s sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads has further improved investor sentiment by lowering perceived external risk, catalyzing flows into equities. While the momentum remains firmly intact, the market’s proximity to psychological resistance levels suggests room for near-term consolidation, especially as investors may opt to lock in recent gains. However, the medium-term narrative remains constructive, underpinned by prospects of continued IMF engagement, fiscal reforms, and easing external account pressures. We continue to advise investors to remain selective and focus on sectors with resilient fundamentals and earnings visibility. In the current phase of the cycle, valuation discipline, liquidity considerations, and macro-driven event positioning will remain critical in navigating market dynamics.
Market Wrap: Highlights of the day - JS Research

Jul 4 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index closed the session on a strong note, gaining 1,262 points to settle at 131,949. Broad-based buying was seen across key sectors, with Autos, banks, and Power leading the charge. Investor sentiment remained upbeat, supported by improved macros and anticipation of further monetary easing. Looking forward, we have a favorable view on the market in the near term, backed by favorable liquidity conditions, positive policy cues, and foreign interest returning to key sectors. However, intermittent consolidation cannot be ruled out as the index approaches resistance levels.
Fertilizers: Sales to recover in June-2025; albeit inventory level remains high - By JS Research

Jul 4 2025


JS Global Capital


  • As per provisional figures, Urea off-take during Jun-2025 is expected to clock in at 580k tons, arriving at a growth of 20% YoY/ 39% MoM. Cumulatively, Urea off-take is likely to post a negative growth of 23% YoY during 1HCY25. On the other hand, DAP off-take is likely to fall 15% YoY during the month.
  • Company-wise, Fauji Fertilizer Company (FFC) is expected to post Urea off-take of 269k tons in Jun-2025, up 4% YoY. This includes 51k tons of granular Urea. Engro Fertilizers (EFERT) is likely to post growth 32% YoY, arriving at 205k tons. In terms of market share, EFERT Urea share improved by 3ppts YoY to 35%, while FFC’s share dipped 8ppts YoY during the month.
  • Urea inventory is expected to remain elevated at around 1.3mn tons by the end of 1HCY25. Assuming capacity utilization remains stable at current levels, allowance of export can be a key trigger in our view, helping to mitigate inventory buildup despite the anticipated increase in local sales during 2HCY25.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside to continue - By JS Research

Jul 4 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index witnessed a volatile session to close at 130,687, up 343 points DoD. Volumes stood at 900mn shares compared to 1,026mn shares traded in the last session. The index is expected to revisit yesterday’s high of 131,325 with a break above targeting 132,134, which can extend to 133,412. However, any downside will find support in the range of 129,050-129,870 levels. The RSI and the MACD are heading up, supporting a positive outlook. We advise investors to 'Buy on dips', keeping stoploss below 128,616. The support and resistance levels are placed at 129,867 and 131,415, respectively.
International Steels Limited (ISL): 3QFY25 EPS clocked-in at PKR 1.0, PAT of ~PKR 417Mn - By Taurus Research

Apr 24 2025


Taurus Securities


  • 3QFY25– EPS: PKR 1.0; PAT: ~PKR 417Mn, up 18%QoQ – in line with our expectations.
  • ISL’s net sales clocked-in at PKR 13.9Bn in 3QFY25, down 24%QoQ mainly on the back of drop in industry sales i.e. construction sales declined during the quarter. However, the Company’s CRC sales went up due to overall increase in Automobile sales by 22%QoQ along with increase in CRC-HRC spread in 3QFY25. Gross margins hovered at 9% in 3QFY25, up 1pptsQoQ. Net earnings arrived at PKR 417Mn in 3QFY25, up 18%QoQ. Lastly, the Company did not announce a cash dividend for the quarter.
  • Outlook: We expect global CRC-HRC spread to remain lower for 4QFY25 due to China’s weak economic outlook amid subdued industrial demand, deflationary pressure and trade war with US, resulting in oversupply of industrial raw material. We also expect ISL’s gross margin to remain under pressure in 4QFY25 which can put significant stress on the bottom-line.
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