Pakistan Market Wrap: Bulls Regain Control as Optimism Returns to the Bourse – By Topline Research

Oct 20 2025


Topline Securities


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) witnessed a strong bullish rally on the KSE-100 index, as renewed optimism lifted investor sentiment across the board. The benchmark surged 2,615 points intraday, driven by improving geopolitical conditions and encouraging macroeconomic signals. Investor confidence strengthened as Pak–Afghan border tensions eased, following the peace talks held in Doha, while positive economic developments added further momentum. Additionally, the Finance Minister’s projection of 3.5–4% GDP growth for FY25— despite the challenges posed by recent monsoon floods—further reinforced market optimism.
  • Amid this upbeat sentiment, the benchmark KSE-100 Index gained 2,356 points over the previous close, settling at 166,242 level. Trading activity remained robust, with 704mn shares changing hands on the KSE-100 and 1.47bn shares traded in the broader market. KEL (229mn), WTL (223mn), and BOP (184mn) emerged as the top volume leaders for the session. Looking ahead, favourable macroeconomic indicators, coupled with the anticipated IMF tranche disbursement, are expected to sustain the market’s positive trajectory. Moreover, the ongoing quarterly earnings season may attract investors toward value-oriented and fundamentally strong stocks. That said, intermittent profit-taking cannot be ruled out as the index consolidates at higher levels. Investors are advised to remain vigilant, monitor market dynamics closely, and focus on stocks offering long-term growth potential.
Interloop Limited (ILP): Reinitiating with a BUY — Back in the Fast Lane – By IIS Research

Nov 4 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We reinitiate coverage on Interloop Limited (ILP) with a ‘BUY’ recommendation. ILP is one of Pakistan’s largest textile exporters and a global leader in socks, supplying renowned brands such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, and H&M. Our positive stance reflects ILP’s strong export driven earnings trajectory, expected recovery in apparel and denim margins, and robust expansion pipeline across the Denim and Yarn segments following the completion of Hosiery Plant 6.
  • Our DCF based target price for ILP is PKR 108/share by June 2026, representing an upside of 38% from the last closing price of PKR 80.6/share. The stock also offers a dividend yield of 4%. Overall, ILP offers a compelling risk reward profile, supported by strong fundamentals, diversified export relationships, and strategic growth initiatives. With a 38% upside to our target price and ongoing expansion in high margin segments, ILP is well positioned to sustain its leadership in global textile exports while delivering attractive shareholder returns.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 testing resistance at the 30-DMA – By JS Research

Nov 4 2025


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index showed positive movement to close at the 162,803 level, up 1,171 points. Volumes stood at 949mn shares versus 953mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to face resistance between 163,490 and 163,940 levels where a break above the said range will target 165,828 and 168,414 levels, respectively. However, any downside will find support within 160,830-161,900 range. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are moving up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below the 50-DMA at 159,566 level. The support and resistance are at 161,819 and 163,861 levels, respectively.
Morning News: Pakistan sets three-year economic plan targeting 5.7% growth – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Nov 4 2025


Alpha Capital


  • The federal government has set ambitious economic targets for the next three years, aiming to raise the GDP growth rate to between 4.2% and 5.7%. Other targets include increasing the size of the national economy to PKR 162,513bn, boosting exports by more than USD 10bn, and increasing remittances to a record USD 44.8bn.
  • Exposing the Power Division’s claims of reforms in the power sector, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has observed that weak regulatory frameworks and governance issues — including lack of transparency and poor performance — continue to prevent power distribution companies (Discos) from accessing commercial borrowing.
Morning News: $636b worth of gold reserves found in Tarbela – By Vector Research

Nov 4 2025


Vector Securities


  • Gold reserves worth $636 billion have been discovered at Tarbela and a briefing on these reserves has been given to the chief of army staff, who responded positively. This revelation was made by Hanif Gohar, Chairman of Air Karachi. He said that the gold reserves found in Tarbela were sufficient to pay off the country's foreign debt and the matter had already been brought to the attention of the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) governor. (ET)
  • Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) Chairman Rashid Mahmood Langrial has ruled out any contingency plan in terms of implementing new taxation measures despite a revenue shortfall of Rs 275 billion during the July-October (2025-26) period. FBR’s shortfall in tax collection stood at Rs 275 billion during the first four months of 2025-26, but noted that no emergency tax measures would be required this year. (BR)
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Nov 3 2025


Vector Securities


  • Evening Note.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 3 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index extended its bullish momentum from the previous session, reaching an intraday high of 162,803.15 before settling at 161,631.73, up by 1,171.42 points (0.72%).
  • Investor confidence strengthened amid easing rollover week pressure and a calmer political environment. Sustained buying interest across key sectors including Automobile Assemblers, Cement, Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Oil & Gas Exploration, OMCs, Power Generation, and Refinery fueled the market’s upward momentum. On the macroeconomic front, Pakistan’s headline inflation for October 2025 came in at 6.2% YoY, according to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) on Monday, slightly above the Ministry of Finance’s projected range of 5–6%. Major contributors to the index included FFC, ENGRO, NBP, HUBC, and TRG, collectively adding 1,131.47 points to the benchmark. HASCOL led the volume chart with 119.51 million shares traded, while overall market turnover stood at 947.85 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a positive note – By IIS Research

Nov 3 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a positive note, with momentum supported by easing rollover week pressure and a relatively stable political backdrop. Trading volumes decreased to 353mn shares today as compared to 409mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 1,171 points to close at 162,803 level, up by 0.72% DoD. Fertilizer, Power Generation & Distribution, and Oil & Gas Exploration Companies sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively adding 751 points to the index.
Pakistan Markets: TEL and TNTPL achieve project completion; HUBC and FFC to be beneficiaries – By AKD Research

Nov 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • Hub Power Company (HUBC) has announced that lenders of Thar Energy Limited (TEL) and ThalNova Power Thar (TN) have formally declared Project Completion Date (PCD) for both 330MW Thar-based coal IPPs as of Oct 31, 2025. With PCD achieved, both projects are now eligible to commence dividend payouts, HUBC holds 60% in TEL and 38.3% in TN. Notably, TEL achieved COD in Oct'22, while TNTPL reached COD in Feb'23, compared to the targeted COD date of Mar'21 for both plants.
  • Notably, we have already incorporated gross dividend assumptions of ~PkR3.0/5.0 per share for both TEL and TNTPL in FY26/27E.
Pakistan Economy: Geo-politics outweigh fundamentals – By JS Research

Nov 3 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index corrected 7% from its recent peak, closing 2.3% lower MoM – its first decline after five months of MoM gains. Profit-taking by insurance companies, mutual funds, and foreign investors led to net selling of US$104mn amid geopolitical unrest. Notably, border tensions with Afghanistan weighed on sentiment, though markets recovered slightly following a ceasefire. Despite strong corporate results and IMF Staff level agreement, external political concerns overshadowed the positive developments. Top gainers included AKBL (+16%), ABL (+8%), ILP (+7%), and FFC (+6%), while trading volumes rose 7% MoM in Oct-2025.
  • Oil prices (WTI) fell to a 5month low in October, closing at US$61/bbl, being the 3rd consecutive monthly decline. The drop was driven by supply-side concerns as OPEC members increased output and US production reached record levels. Meanwhile, the PKR/US$ appreciated by 0.1% MoM, closing at 280.91 – a 6 month high on the back of strong inflows. We believe the continuation of such trend could help in easing pressure on import bill and inflation.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Rebounds amidst good volumes – By AKD Research

Nov 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index opened on a positive note and maintained strong bullish momentum throughout the session. It hit an intraday high of 5,461 points before ending with a substantial gain of 4,899 points at 161,632. Market activity improved modestly, with trading volumes rising by 8% compared to the previous session. A large bullish candle formed on the chart, indicating strong upward sentiment as the index closed significantly above its opening level reinforcing the strength of underlying support. Over the last 10 trading sessions, the index has recorded 3 positive and 7 negative closings, resulting in a net of 4 negative sessions.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 161,100 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 160,700 and 159,700. Conversely, resistance is expected around 161,800, followed by 162,500 and 163,100. It is recommended to accumulate positions near support zone with risk defined closing below it.
Pakistan Cements: Listed Cement Comp Sheet – By Topline Research

Oct 31 2025


Topline Securities


  • The Pakistan cement sector is currently trading at an EV/ton of US$47.6, while on FY26E EV/EBITDA basis, it is valued at 5.7x. Within our coverage, DG Khan Cement (DGKC) is trading at an attractive EV/ton of US$28.6 and EV/EBITDA of 2.8x. Kohat Cement (KOHC) is valued at EV/ton of US$31.6and EV/EBITDA of 3.1x. Maple Leaf Cement (MLCF) is trading at EV/ton of US$34.2 and FY26E EV/EBITDA of 3.0x. In addition, LUCK, PIOC, CHCC, GWLC, ACPL and FECTC are also trading below the industry average EV/ton. Overall, the sector trades at FY26 P/E of 9.5x, P/S of 1.6x, and P/B of 1.7x.
Pak Elektron (PAEL): 9M2025 EPS at Rs3.3, up 64% YoY – By Topline Research

Oct 30 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pak Elektron Limited (PAEL) announced its 3Q2025 result wherein it posted earnings of Rs681mn (EPS of Rs0.74) up by 52% YoY but down 60% QoQ. The result came in line with our expectations.
  • Earnings rose 52% YoY in 3Q2025, mainly on the back of improved gross margins.
  • In 9M2025, earnings rose by 64% YoY to Rs3.05bn, mainly driven by a 13% YoY increase in revenue, improved gross margins and decline in finance cost. The revenue growth stemmed from higher volumetric sales in the Appliance division in 1H2025.
Lucky Cement (LUCK): 1QFY26 EPS at Rs15.0, up by 23% YoY & 12% QoQ – By Topline Research

Oct 28 2025


Topline Securities


  • Lucky Cement (LUCK) announced its 1QFY26 result today, where the company recorded consolidated earnings of Rs21.99bn (EPS of Rs15.0) up by 23% YoY and 12% QoQ, in line with our expectations.
  • Alongside the result, the company did not announce any cash dividend, in-line with our expectations.
  • On consolidated basis, net revenue increased by 11% YoY and by 6% QoQ to Rs123.6bn. Increase in revenue on a YoY basis is due to higher revenue from Local Cement and Lucky Motors (in line with auto industry sales trend), we believe.
Pakistan Market: Local Mobile Manufacturing/Assembly up 55% MoM in Sep-25 – By Topline Research

Oct 27 2025


Topline Securities


  • As per the latest data released by the Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA), local mobile companies manufactured/assembled 3.01mn units during Sep 2025, up 40% YoY and 55% MoM.
  • The YoY growth largely reflects a low base from Sep 2024, when sales remained subdued due to excessive pre-buying in Jun 2024 ahead of expected changes in the budget.
  • The MoM increase, on the other hand, was primarily driven by pent up demand, as consumers delayed purchases in anticipation of new model launches.
Millat Tractors Limited (MTL): Earnings lower than expectation – By Topline Research

Oct 27 2025


Topline Securities


  • Millat Tractors Limited (MTL) announced its 1QFY26 result today, wherein the company recorded unconsolidated profit of Rs514mn (EPS of Rs2.57), down 17% YoY and 61% QoQ.
  • Net sales of the company decreased by 6% YoY and 38% QoQ in 1QFY26, due to lower tractor sales. Millat’s tractor sales dropped by 15% YoY and 46% QoQ to 2,177 units in 1QFY26, compared to 2,556 units in 1QFY25 and 4,062 units in 4QFY25.
  • We maintain a SELL call on MTL which is currently trading at a FY26E/27F PE of 17.7/11.9x.
Systems Limited (SYS): 3Q2025 EPS at Rs1.90, up 28% YoY – By Topline Research

Oct 27 2025


Topline Securities


  • Systems Limited (SYS) announced its 3Q2025 result, posting a consolidated PAT of Rs2.8bn (EPS: Rs1.90) up 28% YoY and 5% QoQ.
  • The growth in earnings is primarily driven by an improvement in gross margins to 29.7% in 3Q2025 (from 25.3% in 3Q2024), supported by enhanced operational efficiency. Gross margins during 2Q2025 were 25.4%, taking 9M2025 gross margins to 26.9% (vs. 24.0% in 9M2024).
  • The company also reported a 20% YoY increase in revenue during 3Q2025, likely reflecting sustained growth in IT exports, which were up 25% YoY.
The Searle Company Limited (SEARL): 1QFY26 EPS at Rs1.45 (Earnings higher than expectations) – By Topline Research

Oct 24 2025


Topline Securities


  • Searle Company (SEARL) announced its 1QFY26 result today, where the company recorded unconsolidated profit of Rs854mn (EPS of Rs1.45) vs. profit of Rs301mn in 1QFY25, up by 2.8x YoY and 5.2x mainly led by higher sales growth. Earning is higher than our expectation due to higher than estimated sales.
  • Net sales of the company increased by 28% YoY and 51% QoQ to Rs8.6bn in 1QFY26, exceeding our expectation of Rs7.0 bn. According to our channel checks, the sales increase was driven by both higher prices and volumes. In the previous quarter, volumetric sales were impacted by supply constraints, which have since been resolved.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Bulls Regain Control as Optimism Returns to the Bourse – By Topline Research

Oct 20 2025


Topline Securities


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) witnessed a strong bullish rally on the KSE-100 index, as renewed optimism lifted investor sentiment across the board. The benchmark surged 2,615 points intraday, driven by improving geopolitical conditions and encouraging macroeconomic signals. Investor confidence strengthened as Pak–Afghan border tensions eased, following the peace talks held in Doha, while positive economic developments added further momentum. Additionally, the Finance Minister’s projection of 3.5–4% GDP growth for FY25— despite the challenges posed by recent monsoon floods—further reinforced market optimism.
  • Amid this upbeat sentiment, the benchmark KSE-100 Index gained 2,356 points over the previous close, settling at 166,242 level. Trading activity remained robust, with 704mn shares changing hands on the KSE-100 and 1.47bn shares traded in the broader market. KEL (229mn), WTL (223mn), and BOP (184mn) emerged as the top volume leaders for the session. Looking ahead, favourable macroeconomic indicators, coupled with the anticipated IMF tranche disbursement, are expected to sustain the market’s positive trajectory. Moreover, the ongoing quarterly earnings season may attract investors toward value-oriented and fundamentally strong stocks. That said, intermittent profit-taking cannot be ruled out as the index consolidates at higher levels. Investors are advised to remain vigilant, monitor market dynamics closely, and focus on stocks offering long-term growth potential.
Pakistan Textiles: Textile Exports down 2% YoY while up 3% MoM in Sep-2025 to US$1.6bn – By Topline Research

Oct 16 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan Textile exports clocked in at US$1.6bn in Sep 2025, down 2% YoY while up 3% MoM. In 1QFY26 Textile Exports reach US$4.8bn up 6% from US$4.5bn in 1QFY25.
  • The 2% YoY decline in exports in Sep 2025 was primarily driven by a 25% YoY drop in cotton cloth exports, which fell to US$150mn from US$200mn in Sep 2024.
  • The 3% MoM increase in Sep 2025 exports was primarily driven by a 4% MoM rise in the value added segment, led by 4% growth in knitwear and 7% growth in bedwear.
Pakistan Economy: Pakistan and IMF reaches staff level agreement – By Topline Research

Oct 15 2025


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan and IMF have reached a Staff Level Agreement (SLA) for the Second Review for the 37-month Extended Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and a first review of the new 28-month Arrangement Under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) on Oct 14, 2025.
  • Pakistan has managed to get this agreement within 6 days of the completion of IMF team visit to Pakistan from Sep 24 to Oct 08, 2025 and there seems to be no strings attached to board approval for the second consecutive review i.e. completion of any prior actions or seeking financing assurances etc. In the past we have seen conditions like confirmation of necessary financing assurance from Pakistan’s development and bilateral partners linked with board approval (Jul 2024 staff level agreement condition) and some other conditions in recent staff level agreements of Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.