Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Faces a bullish trading session – By AKD Research

Oct 21 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index started the session on a strong bullish note and sustained its upward momentum throughout the day. It recorded an intraday high of 2,615 points before closing with substantial gains of 2,437 points at 166,243. Market participation strengthened, as trading volumes rose by 41% compared to the previous session. Currently, KSE-100 stands 28.5% above its 200-period moving average, indicating a firm uptrend. Volatility remains significantly higher than the 10-period average, though there is a fair likelihood of it easing and the Index stabilizing in the near term. Volume indicators suggest balanced inflows and outflows (neutral), while trend forecasting oscillators continue to signal a bullish outlook.
  • From a technical standpoint, immediate support lies at 165,800, and a breakdown below this level could trigger further weakness towards 165,300 and 164,500. On the upside, resistance is expected around 167,100, followed by 167,800 and 168,500. Traders are advised to trade with a cautious approach and accumulate positions on weakness.
Interloop Limited (ILP): Reinitiating with a BUY — Back in the Fast Lane – By IIS Research

Nov 4 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We reinitiate coverage on Interloop Limited (ILP) with a ‘BUY’ recommendation. ILP is one of Pakistan’s largest textile exporters and a global leader in socks, supplying renowned brands such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, and H&M. Our positive stance reflects ILP’s strong export driven earnings trajectory, expected recovery in apparel and denim margins, and robust expansion pipeline across the Denim and Yarn segments following the completion of Hosiery Plant 6.
  • Our DCF based target price for ILP is PKR 108/share by June 2026, representing an upside of 38% from the last closing price of PKR 80.6/share. The stock also offers a dividend yield of 4%. Overall, ILP offers a compelling risk reward profile, supported by strong fundamentals, diversified export relationships, and strategic growth initiatives. With a 38% upside to our target price and ongoing expansion in high margin segments, ILP is well positioned to sustain its leadership in global textile exports while delivering attractive shareholder returns.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 testing resistance at the 30-DMA – By JS Research

Nov 4 2025


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index showed positive movement to close at the 162,803 level, up 1,171 points. Volumes stood at 949mn shares versus 953mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to face resistance between 163,490 and 163,940 levels where a break above the said range will target 165,828 and 168,414 levels, respectively. However, any downside will find support within 160,830-161,900 range. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are moving up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below the 50-DMA at 159,566 level. The support and resistance are at 161,819 and 163,861 levels, respectively.
Morning News: Pakistan sets three-year economic plan targeting 5.7% growth – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Nov 4 2025


Alpha Capital


  • The federal government has set ambitious economic targets for the next three years, aiming to raise the GDP growth rate to between 4.2% and 5.7%. Other targets include increasing the size of the national economy to PKR 162,513bn, boosting exports by more than USD 10bn, and increasing remittances to a record USD 44.8bn.
  • Exposing the Power Division’s claims of reforms in the power sector, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has observed that weak regulatory frameworks and governance issues — including lack of transparency and poor performance — continue to prevent power distribution companies (Discos) from accessing commercial borrowing.
Morning News: $636b worth of gold reserves found in Tarbela – By Vector Research

Nov 4 2025


Vector Securities


  • Gold reserves worth $636 billion have been discovered at Tarbela and a briefing on these reserves has been given to the chief of army staff, who responded positively. This revelation was made by Hanif Gohar, Chairman of Air Karachi. He said that the gold reserves found in Tarbela were sufficient to pay off the country's foreign debt and the matter had already been brought to the attention of the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) governor. (ET)
  • Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) Chairman Rashid Mahmood Langrial has ruled out any contingency plan in terms of implementing new taxation measures despite a revenue shortfall of Rs 275 billion during the July-October (2025-26) period. FBR’s shortfall in tax collection stood at Rs 275 billion during the first four months of 2025-26, but noted that no emergency tax measures would be required this year. (BR)
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Nov 3 2025


Vector Securities


  • Evening Note.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 3 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index extended its bullish momentum from the previous session, reaching an intraday high of 162,803.15 before settling at 161,631.73, up by 1,171.42 points (0.72%).
  • Investor confidence strengthened amid easing rollover week pressure and a calmer political environment. Sustained buying interest across key sectors including Automobile Assemblers, Cement, Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Oil & Gas Exploration, OMCs, Power Generation, and Refinery fueled the market’s upward momentum. On the macroeconomic front, Pakistan’s headline inflation for October 2025 came in at 6.2% YoY, according to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) on Monday, slightly above the Ministry of Finance’s projected range of 5–6%. Major contributors to the index included FFC, ENGRO, NBP, HUBC, and TRG, collectively adding 1,131.47 points to the benchmark. HASCOL led the volume chart with 119.51 million shares traded, while overall market turnover stood at 947.85 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a positive note – By IIS Research

Nov 3 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a positive note, with momentum supported by easing rollover week pressure and a relatively stable political backdrop. Trading volumes decreased to 353mn shares today as compared to 409mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 1,171 points to close at 162,803 level, up by 0.72% DoD. Fertilizer, Power Generation & Distribution, and Oil & Gas Exploration Companies sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively adding 751 points to the index.
Pakistan Markets: TEL and TNTPL achieve project completion; HUBC and FFC to be beneficiaries – By AKD Research

Nov 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • Hub Power Company (HUBC) has announced that lenders of Thar Energy Limited (TEL) and ThalNova Power Thar (TN) have formally declared Project Completion Date (PCD) for both 330MW Thar-based coal IPPs as of Oct 31, 2025. With PCD achieved, both projects are now eligible to commence dividend payouts, HUBC holds 60% in TEL and 38.3% in TN. Notably, TEL achieved COD in Oct'22, while TNTPL reached COD in Feb'23, compared to the targeted COD date of Mar'21 for both plants.
  • Notably, we have already incorporated gross dividend assumptions of ~PkR3.0/5.0 per share for both TEL and TNTPL in FY26/27E.
Pakistan Economy: Geo-politics outweigh fundamentals – By JS Research

Nov 3 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index corrected 7% from its recent peak, closing 2.3% lower MoM – its first decline after five months of MoM gains. Profit-taking by insurance companies, mutual funds, and foreign investors led to net selling of US$104mn amid geopolitical unrest. Notably, border tensions with Afghanistan weighed on sentiment, though markets recovered slightly following a ceasefire. Despite strong corporate results and IMF Staff level agreement, external political concerns overshadowed the positive developments. Top gainers included AKBL (+16%), ABL (+8%), ILP (+7%), and FFC (+6%), while trading volumes rose 7% MoM in Oct-2025.
  • Oil prices (WTI) fell to a 5month low in October, closing at US$61/bbl, being the 3rd consecutive monthly decline. The drop was driven by supply-side concerns as OPEC members increased output and US production reached record levels. Meanwhile, the PKR/US$ appreciated by 0.1% MoM, closing at 280.91 – a 6 month high on the back of strong inflows. We believe the continuation of such trend could help in easing pressure on import bill and inflation.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Rebounds amidst good volumes – By AKD Research

Nov 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index opened on a positive note and maintained strong bullish momentum throughout the session. It hit an intraday high of 5,461 points before ending with a substantial gain of 4,899 points at 161,632. Market activity improved modestly, with trading volumes rising by 8% compared to the previous session. A large bullish candle formed on the chart, indicating strong upward sentiment as the index closed significantly above its opening level reinforcing the strength of underlying support. Over the last 10 trading sessions, the index has recorded 3 positive and 7 negative closings, resulting in a net of 4 negative sessions.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 161,100 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 160,700 and 159,700. Conversely, resistance is expected around 161,800, followed by 162,500 and 163,100. It is recommended to accumulate positions near support zone with risk defined closing below it.
Pakistan Markets: TEL and TNTPL achieve project completion; HUBC and FFC to be beneficiaries – By AKD Research

Nov 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • Hub Power Company (HUBC) has announced that lenders of Thar Energy Limited (TEL) and ThalNova Power Thar (TN) have formally declared Project Completion Date (PCD) for both 330MW Thar-based coal IPPs as of Oct 31, 2025. With PCD achieved, both projects are now eligible to commence dividend payouts, HUBC holds 60% in TEL and 38.3% in TN. Notably, TEL achieved COD in Oct'22, while TNTPL reached COD in Feb'23, compared to the targeted COD date of Mar'21 for both plants.
  • Notably, we have already incorporated gross dividend assumptions of ~PkR3.0/5.0 per share for both TEL and TNTPL in FY26/27E.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Rebounds amidst good volumes – By AKD Research

Nov 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index opened on a positive note and maintained strong bullish momentum throughout the session. It hit an intraday high of 5,461 points before ending with a substantial gain of 4,899 points at 161,632. Market activity improved modestly, with trading volumes rising by 8% compared to the previous session. A large bullish candle formed on the chart, indicating strong upward sentiment as the index closed significantly above its opening level reinforcing the strength of underlying support. Over the last 10 trading sessions, the index has recorded 3 positive and 7 negative closings, resulting in a net of 4 negative sessions.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 161,100 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 160,700 and 159,700. Conversely, resistance is expected around 161,800, followed by 162,500 and 163,100. It is recommended to accumulate positions near support zone with risk defined closing below it.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Pullback inside the band is likely – By AKD Research

Oct 31 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index started the session on a positive note but quickly turned volatile, encountering persistent selling pressure throughout the day. It recorded an intraday high of 1,042 points and a low of 2,137 points before closing sharply lower by 1,732 points at 156,733. Market participation eased slightly, with trading volumes falling by 3% from the prior session. KSE100 settled below the lower Bollinger Band by 6.0%. This, coupled with the ongoing downtrend, indicates that bearish momentum may persist, though a short-term rebound toward the bands cannot be ruled out. Bollinger Bands are currently 17.99% wider than usual, signaling heightened volatility compared to the average of the past 10 sessions. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) stands at 37.72, suggesting weakening momentum.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 156,600 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 155,900 and 155,400. Conversely, resistance is expected around 158,500, followed by 159,100 and 159,800. A cautious trading approach is advised, with opportunities to accumulate on dips.
Fatima Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FATIMA): 3QCY25 Result Review – By AKD Research

Oct 30 2025


AKD Securities


  • Fatima Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FATIMA) announced its 3QCY25 financial results, reporting consolidated earnings of PkR12.0bn (EPS: PkR5.7), up 30%YoY. Earnings came in higher-than-expectations, mainly due to stronger-than-anticipated other income.
  • Revenue clocked in at PkR62.9bn from PkR62.6bn in SPLY, flat YoY, where impact of 8%/64% YoY increase in urea and CAN sales is offset by 9%/77% decline in NP and DAP offtakes, respectively.
Engro Holdings Ltd. (ENGROH): 3QCY25 Result Review – By AKD Research

Oct 30 2025


AKD Securities


  • Engro Holdings Ltd. (ENGROH) announced its 3QCY25 results, reporting consolidated earnings of PkR6.4bn (EPS: PkR5.35) compared to PkR5.7bn (EPS: PkR4.75) in SPLY, up 13%YoY. Earnings came in lower-than-expectations due to higher-than-anticipated finance cost and taxation.
  • Segment wise, energy portfolio i.e., Engro Energy Ltd. (EEL) has contributed PkR5.0bn (PkR4.1/sh) during 3QCY25, as per our estimates.
Nishat Chunian Limited (NCL): 1QFY26 Result Review – By AKD Research

Oct 29 2025


AKD Securities


  • Nishat Chunian Ltd. (NCL) announced its 1QFY26 results, reporting earnings of PkR522mn (EPS: PkR2.18) compared to PkR35mn (EPS: PkR0.15) in SPLY, up 15x YoY. The said improvement is attributable to the increase in gross margins and decline in f inance cost. Result came in line with our expectations.
  • Revenue declined by 2%YoY to PkR22.9bn in 1QFY26 compared to PkR23.3bn in SPLY, due to 11%YoY lower domestic sales. However, exports increased by 23%YoY to PkR11.1bn (US$39.4mn) from PkR9.1bn (US$32.6mn) in SPLY.
Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL): Result Review – By AKD Research

Oct 29 2025


AKD Securities


  • Pakistan Petroleum Limited (PPL) reported 1QFY26 financial results earlier today, with consolidated earnings clocking in at PkR20bn for the first quarter (EPS: PkR7.36), down 12% YoY — in-line with expectations. Alongside the earnings, company also announced a final cash dividend of PkR2.0/sh (payout ratio: 27%).
  • Net Sales stood at PkR57.4bn during 1QFY26, down 14%YoY, largely led by reduced hydrocarbon production alongside lower average oil prices (Arab light: US$71.5/bbl during 4Q, down 11%YoY).
Askari Bank Limited (AKBL): 3QCY25 Result Review – By AKD Research

Oct 29 2025


AKD Securities


  • Askari Bank Limited (AKBL) announced its 3QCY25 financial results earlier today, wherein the bank posted NPAT of PkR7.5bn (EPS: PkR5.1) for the quarter, up 24%YoY/112%QoQ. The result is above our expectation given higher than anticipated non-mark up income mainly stemming from gain on sale of securities. In addition to the result, bank announced an interim cash payout of PkR1.25/sh, taking 9MCY25 cash payout to PkR3.25/sh.
  • NII was recorded at PkR22.9bn in 3QCY25, up by 21%YoY/11%QoQ, with the increase in asset book being offset by the decline in yields.
  • Mark-up earned was recorded at PkR76.6bn, down by 27%YoY/up 5%QoQ, while mark up expensed was recorded at PkR53.7bn (down 38%YoY/up 3%QoQ). Notably, the bank’s estimated NIMs improved to 3.73% in 3QCY25 compared to 3.65% in SPLY.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Remains under pressure – By AKD Research

Oct 29 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index started the session on a mildly positive note but turned volatile and came under selling pressure as the day progressed. It reached an intraday high of 1,217 points and a low of 2,359 points before closing with a sharp loss of 2,063 points at 160,101. Market participation showed a slight improvement, as trading volumes increased by 3% over the previous session. The Index broke below its upward trendline at 162,164 in the prior session, suggesting potential downside pressure in the near term. This trendline, now ending near 163,497, may act as immediate resistance. The breakout occurred on average volume, providing limited confirmation regarding its strength. The daily Parabolic SAR (Stop & Reverse) indicator is currently positioned above the Index level, reinforcing a bearish tone.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 159,400, and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 158,600 and 157,800. Conversely, resistance is expected around 161,500, followed by 162,300 and 163,500. A cautious trading approach is advised, with opportunities to accumulate on dips.
Ghandhara Tyre & Rubber Company Ltd. (GTYR): FY25 and 1QFY26 Analyst Briefing Takeaways – By AKD Research

Oct 28 2025


AKD Securities


  • To recall, company posted a topline of PkR17.8bn in FY25, compared to PkR20.5bn in the SPLY, down 13%YoY. The decline was mainly attributable to lower farm tyre sales, driven by weakening farm economics.
  • Company reported a loss of PkR970mn (LPS: PkR3.00) for the year, compared to a profit of PkR241mn (EPS: PkR1.88) in FY24, primarily due to gross margin attrition.
  • Going forward, management expects gross margin in FY26 to grow marginally from current level.