Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): Unfavourable dynamics weigh on earnings – By JS Research

Oct 21 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Engro Fertilizers Ltd. (EFERT) has underperformed the KSE-100 index by 38% CYTD, mainly led by the unfavorable business dynamics that has adversely impacted the company throughout the year. To recall, the company posted earnings of Rs14bn, down 21% YoY led by the slowdown in sales volume, ongoing discounts, and higher financial charges.
  • The company’s Urea inventory remained elevated, currently hovering around 550k tons owing to subdued local demand. This led to discount offerings in the range of Rs250-325/bag in the outgoing quarter which are still in place. The management in its recently held corporate briefing session apprised that industry’s inventory levels are likely to remain at 1mn tons by year end.
Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): Unfavourable dynamics weigh on earnings – By JS Research

Oct 21 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Engro Fertilizers Ltd. (EFERT) has underperformed the KSE-100 index by 38% CYTD, mainly led by the unfavorable business dynamics that has adversely impacted the company throughout the year. To recall, the company posted earnings of Rs14bn, down 21% YoY led by the slowdown in sales volume, ongoing discounts, and higher financial charges.
  • The company’s Urea inventory remained elevated, currently hovering around 550k tons owing to subdued local demand. This led to discount offerings in the range of Rs250-325/bag in the outgoing quarter which are still in place. The management in its recently held corporate briefing session apprised that industry’s inventory levels are likely to remain at 1mn tons by year end.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a negative note – By IIS Research

Nov 4 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a negative note, as selling pressure persisted, with the index remaining volatile throughout the session. Trading volumes decreased to 322mn shares today as compared to 353mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index lost 1,521 points to close at 161,282 level, down by -0.93% DoD. Commercial Banks, Oil & Gas Exploration Companies, and Cement sectors were the major laggards in today's session, cumulatively shedding 1164 points from the index.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 161,282 down 1,521 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Nov 4 2025


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market started off positively but was unable to keep up the momentum. The KSE-100 Index reached an intraday high of 163,385 and a low of 161,159, before settling at 161,282 — a drop of 1,521 points. Market participation remained muted, with total trade volumes of 318.7 million shares and a traded value of around PKR 25 billion.
  • Key drag-factors in the decline included MARI (-2.3%, -147 points), MCB (-2.3%, -128 points), BAHL (-2.2%, -123 points), LUCK (-1.6%, -122 points) and HBL (-1.7%, -110 points). On the activity side, KEL and BOP led the volume charts, trading 70.6 million and 39 million shares respectively.
Pakistan Automobiles: INDU to keep the throne in the auto arena – By AKD Research

Nov 4 2025


AKD Securities


  • INDU’s continues to benefit from strong volumetric growth, diversified product portfolio, extensive dealership network, higher localization, strong brand equity, high presence in rural areas, and superior cash-conversion cycle. Moreover, higher localization would shield against currency devaluation and provide edge over new entrants. We reiterate our ‘Buy’ stance on INDU, with Jun’26 target price of PkR3,681/sh with forward dividend yield of 9.3%, led by sustained earnings, higher-than-anticipated volumetric and margins.
  • Accelerating beyond industry growth: We anticipate sustained volumetric growth primarily supported by i) rising income of farmers (with 50% of sales coming from rural areas), ii) strong brand equity, iii) the company’s extensive dealership network, being the largest in the country with 57 3S dealerships, and iv) strong parent book to be leveraged in case of absence of customer advances. Underpinned by the company’s recent performance, where INDU recorded a 61%YoY rise in volumes during FY25, significantly outperforming the industry’s 43%YoY growth in Passenger cars and LCVs, even amid the entry of multiple new competitors into the market. Against this backdrop, we project volumes to grow at an annual rate of 14% through FY28, reaching 49k units. Subsequently, we expect the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 15.3%, up to FY28. Where, we forecast overall market to expand to 222k units by FY28, driven by i) moderation in prices, ii) increasing model availability, iii) improving per capita income, and iv) lowest per-capita vehicle penetration in the region.
Interloop Limited (ILP): Reinitiating with a BUY — Back in the Fast Lane – By IIS Research

Nov 4 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We reinitiate coverage on Interloop Limited (ILP) with a ‘BUY’ recommendation. ILP is one of Pakistan’s largest textile exporters and a global leader in socks, supplying renowned brands such as Nike, Adidas, Puma, and H&M. Our positive stance reflects ILP’s strong export driven earnings trajectory, expected recovery in apparel and denim margins, and robust expansion pipeline across the Denim and Yarn segments following the completion of Hosiery Plant 6.
  • Our DCF based target price for ILP is PKR 108/share by June 2026, representing an upside of 38% from the last closing price of PKR 80.6/share. The stock also offers a dividend yield of 4%. Overall, ILP offers a compelling risk reward profile, supported by strong fundamentals, diversified export relationships, and strategic growth initiatives. With a 38% upside to our target price and ongoing expansion in high margin segments, ILP is well positioned to sustain its leadership in global textile exports while delivering attractive shareholder returns.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 testing resistance at the 30-DMA – By JS Research

Nov 4 2025


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index showed positive movement to close at the 162,803 level, up 1,171 points. Volumes stood at 949mn shares versus 953mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to face resistance between 163,490 and 163,940 levels where a break above the said range will target 165,828 and 168,414 levels, respectively. However, any downside will find support within 160,830-161,900 range. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are moving up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below the 50-DMA at 159,566 level. The support and resistance are at 161,819 and 163,861 levels, respectively.
Morning News: Pakistan sets three-year economic plan targeting 5.7% growth – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Nov 4 2025


Alpha Capital


  • The federal government has set ambitious economic targets for the next three years, aiming to raise the GDP growth rate to between 4.2% and 5.7%. Other targets include increasing the size of the national economy to PKR 162,513bn, boosting exports by more than USD 10bn, and increasing remittances to a record USD 44.8bn.
  • Exposing the Power Division’s claims of reforms in the power sector, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has observed that weak regulatory frameworks and governance issues — including lack of transparency and poor performance — continue to prevent power distribution companies (Discos) from accessing commercial borrowing.
Morning News: $636b worth of gold reserves found in Tarbela – By Vector Research

Nov 4 2025


Vector Securities


  • Gold reserves worth $636 billion have been discovered at Tarbela and a briefing on these reserves has been given to the chief of army staff, who responded positively. This revelation was made by Hanif Gohar, Chairman of Air Karachi. He said that the gold reserves found in Tarbela were sufficient to pay off the country's foreign debt and the matter had already been brought to the attention of the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) governor. (ET)
  • Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) Chairman Rashid Mahmood Langrial has ruled out any contingency plan in terms of implementing new taxation measures despite a revenue shortfall of Rs 275 billion during the July-October (2025-26) period. FBR’s shortfall in tax collection stood at Rs 275 billion during the first four months of 2025-26, but noted that no emergency tax measures would be required this year. (BR)
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Nov 3 2025


Vector Securities


  • Evening Note.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 3 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index extended its bullish momentum from the previous session, reaching an intraday high of 162,803.15 before settling at 161,631.73, up by 1,171.42 points (0.72%).
  • Investor confidence strengthened amid easing rollover week pressure and a calmer political environment. Sustained buying interest across key sectors including Automobile Assemblers, Cement, Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Oil & Gas Exploration, OMCs, Power Generation, and Refinery fueled the market’s upward momentum. On the macroeconomic front, Pakistan’s headline inflation for October 2025 came in at 6.2% YoY, according to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) on Monday, slightly above the Ministry of Finance’s projected range of 5–6%. Major contributors to the index included FFC, ENGRO, NBP, HUBC, and TRG, collectively adding 1,131.47 points to the benchmark. HASCOL led the volume chart with 119.51 million shares traded, while overall market turnover stood at 947.85 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a positive note – By IIS Research

Nov 3 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a positive note, with momentum supported by easing rollover week pressure and a relatively stable political backdrop. Trading volumes decreased to 353mn shares today as compared to 409mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 1,171 points to close at 162,803 level, up by 0.72% DoD. Fertilizer, Power Generation & Distribution, and Oil & Gas Exploration Companies sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively adding 751 points to the index.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 testing resistance at the 30-DMA – By JS Research

Nov 4 2025


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index showed positive movement to close at the 162,803 level, up 1,171 points. Volumes stood at 949mn shares versus 953mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to face resistance between 163,490 and 163,940 levels where a break above the said range will target 165,828 and 168,414 levels, respectively. However, any downside will find support within 160,830-161,900 range. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are moving up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below the 50-DMA at 159,566 level. The support and resistance are at 161,819 and 163,861 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Economy: Geo-politics outweigh fundamentals – By JS Research

Nov 3 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index corrected 7% from its recent peak, closing 2.3% lower MoM – its first decline after five months of MoM gains. Profit-taking by insurance companies, mutual funds, and foreign investors led to net selling of US$104mn amid geopolitical unrest. Notably, border tensions with Afghanistan weighed on sentiment, though markets recovered slightly following a ceasefire. Despite strong corporate results and IMF Staff level agreement, external political concerns overshadowed the positive developments. Top gainers included AKBL (+16%), ABL (+8%), ILP (+7%), and FFC (+6%), while trading volumes rose 7% MoM in Oct-2025.
  • Oil prices (WTI) fell to a 5month low in October, closing at US$61/bbl, being the 3rd consecutive monthly decline. The drop was driven by supply-side concerns as OPEC members increased output and US production reached record levels. Meanwhile, the PKR/US$ appreciated by 0.1% MoM, closing at 280.91 – a 6 month high on the back of strong inflows. We believe the continuation of such trend could help in easing pressure on import bill and inflation.
Pakistan Cements: 1QFY26 in pictures – By JS Research

Oct 31 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We review 1QFY26 performance of the Cement sector in this report with our sample size of 8 companies.
  • Our sample posted a 56% YoY surge in standalone earnings during the quarter, driven by a 17% YoY rise in dispatches, better export prices, and a 56% YoY decline in financial charges amid lower interest rates and deleveraging efforts owing to improved cashflows for cement players.
  • On a QoQ basis, standalone profitability rose 27%, primarily driven by a 7% QoQ increase in dispatches and higher dividend income, e.g. LUCK receiving ~Rs6bn from LEPCL.
Interloop Limited (ILP): Management foresees earnings rebound to continue in FY26-27 – By JS Research

Oct 30 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Interloop Ltd (ILP) management conducted its CBS yesterday where the management discussed the financial performance of 1QFY26/FY25 and the outlook for the company.
  • To recall, the company posted EPS of Rs2.00 for 1QFY26 compared to mere break-even levels of Rs0.16 recorded during 1QFY25, mainly led by decline in losses reported by Apparels plant, improvement in hosiery margins and drop in financial charges.
Engineering: 1QFY26 result previews – By JS Research

Oct 29 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We preview earnings estimates for Mughal Iron and Steel Ltd. (MUGHAL) and Amreli Steels Ltd. (ASTL).
  • We expect MUGHAL to post earnings of Rs455mn, translating in to an EPS of Rs1.4 in 1QFY26 compared to earnings of Rs7mn mainly led by the significant reduction in finance cost amid lower interest rates and borrowing. We do not expect the company to announce any cash dividend.
  • ASTL’s earnings are likely to remain in the negative zone, with an LPS of Rs2.4 during the 1QFY26 compared to a loss of Rs3.3 per share during the same period last year, owing to weak capacity utilization amid working capital constraints.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to test support at the 50-DMA – By JS Research

Oct 29 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Bears continued to dominate the session as KSE-100 index declined by 2,063 points to close at 160,101 level. Volumes stood at 1,019mn shares versus 1,007mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test support at the 50-DMA that is currently at 158,736 where a fall below that will target the recent low at 157,678 level. Meanwhile, any upside will be restricted at the 30-DMA standing at 163,163 level. The RSI and the MACD have continued to decline, supporting a negative view. We recommend investors to stay cautious at current level. The support and resistance are at 158,810 and 162,386 levels, respectively.
Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): Unfavourable dynamics weigh on earnings – By JS Research

Oct 21 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Engro Fertilizers Ltd. (EFERT) has underperformed the KSE-100 index by 38% CYTD, mainly led by the unfavorable business dynamics that has adversely impacted the company throughout the year. To recall, the company posted earnings of Rs14bn, down 21% YoY led by the slowdown in sales volume, ongoing discounts, and higher financial charges.
  • The company’s Urea inventory remained elevated, currently hovering around 550k tons owing to subdued local demand. This led to discount offerings in the range of Rs250-325/bag in the outgoing quarter which are still in place. The management in its recently held corporate briefing session apprised that industry’s inventory levels are likely to remain at 1mn tons by year end.
Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK): 1QFY26 result previews – By JS Research

Oct 16 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We present 1QFY26 earnings expectations for Maple Leaf Cement Factory Ltd (MLCF) and Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK).
  • MLCF is expected to post standalone EPS of Rs2.36 in 1QFY26, reflecting a 2.4x YoY increase, driven by a 17% rise in domestic dispatches, a 5.5ppt improvement in gross margins, and a substantial reduction in finance costs. On a consolidated basis, EPS is projected at Rs2.67, up 2.1x YoY.
  • LUCK, on the other hand, is expected to post 17% YoY growth in standalone profitability in 1QFY26, with EPS estimated at Rs5.25/share, supported by a 10% increase in dispatches and a 2.4ppt YoY improvement in gross margins amid lower coal prices and continued cost efficiencies. On a consolidated basis, EPS is projected at Rs14.65, reflecting a 20% YoY increase.
Maple Leaf Cement Factory Ltd (MLCF): 1QFY26 result previews – By JS Research

Oct 16 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We present 1QFY26 earnings expectations for Maple Leaf Cement Factory Ltd (MLCF) and Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK).
  • MLCF is expected to post standalone EPS of Rs2.36 in 1QFY26, reflecting a 2.4x YoY increase, driven by a 17% rise in domestic dispatches, a 5.5ppt improvement in gross margins, and a substantial reduction in finance costs. On a consolidated basis, EPS is projected at Rs2.67, up 2.1x YoY.
  • LUCK, on the other hand, is expected to post 17% YoY growth in standalone profitability in 1QFY26, with EPS estimated at Rs5.25/share, supported by a 10% increase in dispatches and a 2.4ppt YoY improvement in gross margins amid lower coal prices and continued cost efficiencies. On a consolidated basis, EPS is projected at Rs14.65, reflecting a 20% YoY increase.
Tariq Glass Industries Limited (TGL): FY25 Corporate Analyst Briefing – By JS Research

Oct 15 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Tariq Glass Industries Limited (TGL) conducted its corporate briefing today to discuss the FY25 results and outlook. To recall, TGL announced FY25 EPS of Rs27.75, reflecting a 9% YoY increase. The company announced a cash dividend of Rs4/sh alongside the results. We present key takeaways from the briefing session.
  • TGL reported a 9% YoY increase in net earnings during FY25, mainly due to improved pricing, recovery in margins and 31% YoY decline in financial charges. We highlight, TGL recorded Rs915mn one-time gain led by the acquisition of Baluchistan Glass (BGL) last year, thus excluding the impact of this, the recurring PBT is up 37% YoY in FY25.
  • During the year, MMM Holding (50% owned by TGL) converted its long-term debt given to BGL, into equity thus increasing its stake in the company to 94% from 84% and thereby increasing TGL’s indirect stake to 47% from 42% earlier.
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