Pakistan Market Wrap: View from the Desk – By JS Research

Nov 17 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 closed at 161,687, down248 points, after swinging in a volatile intraday range after showing an intraday high of 163,602 The decline largely stemmed from profit-taking following recent strong gains, combined with investor caution around macro risks and possible policy headwinds. Looking ahead, the market could remain choppy, while liquidity and reform momentum may support further gains, geopolitical uncertainty and inflation pressures could trigger intermittent pullbacks.
Descon Oxychem Limited (DOL): FY25 Corporate Analyst Briefing – By JS Research

Nov 17 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Descon Oxychem Limited (DOL) held its corporate briefing to review FY25 performance and share its outlook. The company posted an FY25 EPS of Rs4.91, reflecting a 69% YoY increase, primarily due to a 10ppt increase in gross margins during the year. We present key takeaways from the session.
  • The company’s topline grew 5% YoY in FY25, driven by higher Hydrogen Peroxide volumes, which reached 42k MT in FY25 (up 4% YoY), with the plant operating at full capacity.
  • On the cost side, power consumption improved to 532 kWh/ MT from 583 kWh/MT due to better plant efficiency. Combined with lower RLNG prices and other cost optimizations, this resulted in a 10ppt YoY expansion in gross margins to 30% in FY25.
Pakistan Economy: Pakistan’s Current Account swells to USD733mn in 4MFY26 – By AHCML Research

Nov 17 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Pakistan's external sector shows significant strain, with the current account deficit widening to USD733mn in 4MFY26, over 3.5 times the USD206mn deficit of 4MFY25. This deterioration stems from a surging import bill of USD20.72bn (up 10% YoY), which far outpaced export earnings of USD10.63bn (up 2% YoY). While remittances grew 9% YoY to USD12.96bn, providing essential support, they were insufficient to offset the growing trade imbalance. Urgent policy measures are needed to curb imports and boost exports to restore external stability.
  • The current account deteriorated sharply across all periods. On yearly basis, it shifted from a USD296mn surplus in Oct’24 to a USD112mn deficit in Oct’25, a USD408mn negative swing. On Monthly basis, it reversed from an USD83mn surplus in Sep’25 to a USD112mn deficit in Oct’25, worsening by USD195mn. Cumulatively, the 4MFY26 deficit reached USD733mn, significantly higher than the USD206mn in 4MFY25, highlighting persistent external vulnerabilities.
Pakistan Market Wrap: View from the Desk – By JS Research

Nov 17 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 closed at 161,687, down248 points, after swinging in a volatile intraday range after showing an intraday high of 163,602 The decline largely stemmed from profit-taking following recent strong gains, combined with investor caution around macro risks and possible policy headwinds. Looking ahead, the market could remain choppy, while liquidity and reform momentum may support further gains, geopolitical uncertainty and inflation pressures could trigger intermittent pullbacks.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 17 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index remained volatile, touching an intraday high of 163,602 before closing 248.01 points lower (-0.15%) at 161,687, driven by profit-taking. The negative sentiment was primarily triggered by economic data showing Pakistan’s current account deficit widened to USD733mn in the 4MFY26, a sharp increase from the USD206mn recorded in the same period last year.
  • This included a USD112mn deficit for the single month of Oct’25. Offsetting this slightly, the REER index appreciated to 103.95. The key drags on the index were LUCK, UBL, MARI, HUBC, and MLCF, which together subtracted 395.92 points. Market activity was led by KEL, with 296.2 million shares traded, contributing to a total market turnover of 1,214.43 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Rising Early, Recalibrating Late: The KSE-100’s Search for Direction – By HMFS Research

Nov 17 2025


HMFS Research


  • The KSE-100 index opened today’s session on a bullish note, supported by confidence delivered by the market participants. Upbeat sentiment was further reinforced by recent exploration discoveries in the E&P sector, helping the benchmark surge as high as 1,667 points during intraday trading. However, the momentum lost steam as fresh uncertainty emerged. News of a potential ban on Pakistan’s exports to Afghanistan weighed heavily on investor sentiment, given the exposure of several listed companies to that market. Adding to the cautious tone, October trade data revealed a current account deficit of USD 112mn, prompting a brief phase of profit-taking.
  • As a result, the index reversed its early gains and settled at 161,687 level, down 248 points by the close. Trading activity remained robust, with 521mn shares changing hands on the KSE-100 and 1.2bn shares traded across the broader market. The day’s top volume contributors included KEL (296mn), BECO (107mn), and TPLP (73mn). Looking ahead, market direction will be shaped by evolving economic developments, clarity on trade relations with Afghanistan, and the broader trajectory of external accounts. Even so, optimism remains supported by relatively attractive market valuations, which could pave the way for renewed value-driven accumulation. Investors are encouraged to stay alert to shifting dynamics and prioritize fundamentally strong stocks that offer resilient, long-term growth potential.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 161,687 down 248 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Nov 17 2025


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market opened on a positive note but failed to sustain gains at higher levels. The KSE-100 Index touched an intraday high of 163,602 and a low of 161,482, before settling at 161,687 — down 248 points. Overall activity on the KSE-100 amounted to 253 million shares, with a traded value of roughly PKR 25 billion.
  • Major draggers on the index included LUCK (-2.2%, -146 points), UBL (-0.7%, -78 points), MARI (-1.1%, -64 points), HUBC (-0.9%, -56 points) and MLCF (-3%, -51 points). In terms of volume, KEL and PIBTL led the market with 296 million and 35.9 million shares traded, respectively.
Dynea Pakistan Limited (DYNO): Corporate Briefing Takeaways – By Chase Research

Nov 17 2025



  • DYNO has reported earnings per share of PKR 45.97 in FY25 (FY24: PKR 63.14). Furthermore, in 1QFY26 the company reported EPS of PKR 10.13 (EPS 1QFY25: PKR 8.05).
  • Exports to Afghanistan rose to 44% in FY25 to approximately PKR 1 billion. After the border closure, the export to Afghanistan is completely closed. The company is seeking other routes and other markets for exports.
Morning News: Barrick Mining considers splitting into two entities, sources say – By Vector Research

Nov 17 2025


Vector Securities


  • The board of Canada's Barrick Mining (ABX.TO), opens new tab has raised the possibility of splitting the company into two separate entities, one focused on North America and the other on Africa and Asia, four sources familiar with the company's thinking told. (Reuters)
  • Pakistan and Jordan on Saturday reaffirmed their resolve to deepen bilateral cooperation, with both sides expressing a strong desire to broaden engagement across economic, trade, investment, health, science and technology, education and defence sectors. (BR)
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Resistance test at the 30-DMA – By JS Research

Nov 17 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index extended the gain to close at 161,935 level, up 1,278 points DoD. Volumes stood at 673mn shares versus 797mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance at the 30-DMA that is currently at 162,478 level. A break above that will target the recent high at 163,935 level. However, any downside will find support at the 50-DMA standing at 161,321. The RSI and the MACD have moved up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below 50-DMA. The support and resistance are at 161,112 and 162,439 levels, respectively.
Morning News: Oil falls after loadings resume at key Russian export hub – By Shajar Research

Nov 17 2025


Shajar Capital


  • Oil prices fell in early Asian trade on Monday, erasing last week's gains, as loadings resumed at the key Russian export hub of Novorossiysk after a two-day suspension at the Black Sea port that had been hit by a Ukrainian attack. (Reuters)
  • Asian shares fluctuated at the start of the week, with US economic data and earnings from AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. expected to shape the market narrative. (Bloomberg)
Descon Oxychem Limited (DOL): FY25 Corporate Analyst Briefing – By JS Research

Nov 17 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Descon Oxychem Limited (DOL) held its corporate briefing to review FY25 performance and share its outlook. The company posted an FY25 EPS of Rs4.91, reflecting a 69% YoY increase, primarily due to a 10ppt increase in gross margins during the year. We present key takeaways from the session.
  • The company’s topline grew 5% YoY in FY25, driven by higher Hydrogen Peroxide volumes, which reached 42k MT in FY25 (up 4% YoY), with the plant operating at full capacity.
  • On the cost side, power consumption improved to 532 kWh/ MT from 583 kWh/MT due to better plant efficiency. Combined with lower RLNG prices and other cost optimizations, this resulted in a 10ppt YoY expansion in gross margins to 30% in FY25.
Pakistan Market Wrap: View from the Desk – By JS Research

Nov 17 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 closed at 161,687, down248 points, after swinging in a volatile intraday range after showing an intraday high of 163,602 The decline largely stemmed from profit-taking following recent strong gains, combined with investor caution around macro risks and possible policy headwinds. Looking ahead, the market could remain choppy, while liquidity and reform momentum may support further gains, geopolitical uncertainty and inflation pressures could trigger intermittent pullbacks.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Resistance test at the 30-DMA – By JS Research

Nov 17 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index extended the gain to close at 161,935 level, up 1,278 points DoD. Volumes stood at 673mn shares versus 797mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance at the 30-DMA that is currently at 162,478 level. A break above that will target the recent high at 163,935 level. However, any downside will find support at the 50-DMA standing at 161,321. The RSI and the MACD have moved up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below 50-DMA. The support and resistance are at 161,112 and 162,439 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Textile Sector: 1QFY26 in pictures – By JS Research

Nov 13 2025


JS Global Capital


  • Our sample of eight textile companies reported 1% YoY decline in revenues, however, earnings growth remained robust at 41% YoY, driven by lower cotton prices, energy cost optimization, and lower financial charges (mainly led by ILP– being one of the largest player).
  • Interloop Ltd (ILP) posted highest revenue growth (+5% YoY), gross margin expansion (+3.8ppts), and a sharp earnings turnaround. We witnessed mix earnings trends across companies where ILP, NCL, and KTML recorded YoY earnings growth, while others saw declines.
  • Going forward, operating conditions are expected to remain challenging for the sector amid weak global demand and pricing pressure. However, easing domestic cotton prices and tariff clarity should support both intermediate (yarn, cloth) and value-added exporters (knitwear, garments). Continued focus on vertical integration and energy cost optimization will be key to maintaining global competitiveness.
Maple Leaf Cement Factory Limited (MLCF): Solid core, value from diversification; Buy – By JS Research

Nov 10 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We reiterate our Buy rating for Maple Leaf Cement (MLCF), despite a downward revision of 14-15% in FY26E/FY27F EPS estimates to Rs11.08/12.94, reflecting softer North region cement prices. Meanwhile, we maintain our SOTP based TP of Rs140, where a drop-in core value is offset by rise in the portfolio value to Rs32/share (vs Rs26 earlier) and rolling forward of TP to Dec-2026.
  • MLCF management expects a turnaround in Agritech Ltd (AGL) post-restructuring, with Fauji Fertilizer’s (FFC) dealership network and expertise likely to further support AGL’s outlook, as shared in its recently held analyst briefing session.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Resistance at the 50-DMA – By JS Research

Nov 10 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index showed positive movement on Friday to close at 159,593 level, up 496 points DoD. Volumes stood at 769mn shares versus 957mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to re-test resistance at the 50-DMA that currently stands at 160,520 level. A break above that will target the 30-DMA at 163,554 level. However, any downside will find support between 158,240 and 159,010 range. The momentum indicators are mixed, signaling no clear trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side. The support and resistance are at 158,920 and 160,350 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Automobiles: Volumetric growth to continue its momentum – By JS Research

Nov 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We expect, the three major auto players including Indus Motors Company Ltd (INDU), Honda Atlas Cars Ltd (HCAR) and Pak Suzuki Motor Company Ltd to post a cumulative growth of 28% YoY to ~14.5k units in Oct-2025. On a MoM basis, volumes are likely to remain flat weighed down by a drop in Pak Suzuki sales.
  • INDU and HCAR are expected to drive the YoY surge in volumes, rising 79% and 72% YoY, respectively, while PSMC volumes are likely to remain flat. Overall, auto sales for our sample companies are projected to post 45% YoY growth in 4MFY26, with broad-based strength across all three OEMs.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside restricted at the 50-DMA – By JS Research

Nov 7 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index declined for another session to close at 159,097 level, down 481 points DoD. Volumes stood at 957mn shares versus 860mn shares traded previously. The index is trading below the 50-DMA that will restrict upside at 160,300 level where a break above that will target the 30-DMA at 163,643 level. However, a fall below 158,253 (yesterday's low) will extend the decline towards the recent low at 156,328. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are moving down, supporting a negative view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side. The support and resistance are at 158,036 and 160,374 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Fertilizers: Urea off-take likely to see a marginal dip in Oct-2025 – By JS Research

Nov 6 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The YoY decline in cumulative urea off-take is likely to ease to 7.6% during 10MCY25, as monthly volumes in Oct-2025 are expected to remain stable with a marginal dip on a YoY basis. To close industry off-take above 6mn tons during CY25, Urea off-take has to cross 1.4mn tons during Nov-Dec 2025, implying softening of closing inventory position from current levels.
  • Notably, Urea off-take during Oct-2025 is likely to clock in at 351k tons (-2%YoY). Specifically, FFC is likely to report a sales volume of 166k tons, down 7% YoY which includes 25k tons of granular Urea. EFERT, on the other hand, is likely to report sales of 122k tons (+22%YoY). While FATIMA is likely to report a volume of 43k tons, down 27% YoY.
  • DAP off-take for the month of Oct-2025 is expected at 140k tons (-55%YoY/+44%MoM), the sequential rise is mainly led by seasonal impacts. Albeit, the volumes remained under pressure led by significantly higher prices and sub-optimal farm economics.
National Foods Limited (NATF): Strong footings at home, unlocking valuations for foreign investment; Buy – By JS Research

Nov 5 2025


JS Global Capital


  • We reinitiate coverage on one of Pakistan’s leading food products company, National Foods Ltd (NATF) with a Buy rating, arriving at a DCF-based Target Price (TP) of Rs485, implying a 28% upside.
  • With over 90% of NATF’s consol. earnings derived from its Pakistan operations, where it enjoys strong brand footing, we expect the company’s Standalone earnings to grow at a 5-yr. CAGR of 28%. while also contributing 76% to our TP.
  • Growing demand for convenience food ingredients in Pakistan with evolving demographics & distribution network, coupled with NATF’s effective brand positioning & pricing power is expected to result in a 5-yr. sales CAGR of 15%.