Pakistan Economy: Pakistan’s Current Account swells to USD733mn in 4MFY26 – By AHCML Research
Nov 17 2025
Al Habib Capital Markets
- Pakistan's external sector shows significant strain, with the current account deficit widening to USD733mn in 4MFY26, over 3.5 times the USD206mn deficit of 4MFY25. This deterioration stems from a surging import bill of USD20.72bn (up 10% YoY), which far outpaced export earnings of USD10.63bn (up 2% YoY). While remittances grew 9% YoY to USD12.96bn, providing essential support, they were insufficient to offset the growing trade imbalance. Urgent policy measures are needed to curb imports and boost exports to restore external stability.
- The current account deteriorated sharply across all periods. On yearly basis, it shifted from a USD296mn surplus in Oct’24 to a USD112mn deficit in Oct’25, a USD408mn negative swing. On Monthly basis, it reversed from an USD83mn surplus in Sep’25 to a USD112mn deficit in Oct’25, worsening by USD195mn. Cumulatively, the 4MFY26 deficit reached USD733mn, significantly higher than the USD206mn in 4MFY25, highlighting persistent external vulnerabilities.
