Morning News: KSE-100: Making a higher high – By AKD Research

Dec 16 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index opened on a strong note and witnessed increased volatility during the session, touching an intraday high of 1,137 points. It ultimately settled at 170,741, registering its highest-ever close with a gain of 877 points. Market participation strengthened, as trading volumes jumped by 33% compared to the previous session. The Index is currently trading 22.5% above its 200-period moving average, indicating a clear upward trend. There is a likelihood of rising volatility and sharp price swings in the near term. Volume indicators show moderate in flows into the Index, suggesting a mildly bullish undertone. Trend forecasting oscillators remain bullish and have maintained this stance for the past 13 trading sessions.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 170,200 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 169,700 and 169,300. Conversely, resistance is expected around 171,100, followed by 171,500 and 172,000. It is recommended to accumulate positions on weakness with risk defined below support zone.
Oil Marketing Companies (OMC): OMC sales up 6% YoY and down 5% MoM in Dec 2025;1HFY26 sales up 2% YoY – By Topline Research

Jan 2 2026


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan's Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) recorded sales of 1.35mn tons in Dec 2025, up 6% YoY and down 5% MoM.
  • The YoY increase is due to economic recovery, lower inflation, and control of smuggling, whereas the MoM decrease in sales is attributable to the strike by transporters. To highlight, Transporters went on a nationwide strike on Dec 08, 2025 which continued for 10 days.
  • This takes total sales for 1HFY26 to 8.2mn tons, reflecting a 2% YoY increase compared to 8.02mn tons in 1HFY25.
Pakistan Fertilizers: Pakistan’s Urea sales for Dec 2025 at all time high of 1,356k tons; Inventory at 0.31mn tons – By Topline Research

Jan 2 2026


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan Urea sales in Dec 2025 is anticipated to clock in at all time high of 1,356k tons, up by 65% MoM and 37% YoY amid push sales from company/dealers through higher discounts offerings. This takes 2025 urea offtakes to 6.73mn tons, up 2% YoY compared to 6.57mn tons in 2024, respectively. To note, in 11M2025, urea sales was down 4%.
  • As per our checks, EFERT has maintained discount around Rs400/bag during the month of Dec 2025. However, this discount was rolled back to Rs150 /bag at the start of the new year. Similarly, FFC also offered discount of Rs 150–200 per bag during the same period.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside to continue – By JS Research

Jan 2 2026


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index showed positive movement to close at 176,355 level, up 2,301 points. Volumes stood at 1,403mn shares versus 957mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to revisit yesterday's high of 176,658 where a break above that will continue the uptrend towards 180,500 level. However, any downside will find support between 174,430 and 175,820 levels, respectively. The RSI and the MACD have moved up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below 174,437 level. The support and resistance are at 174,976 and 177,197 levels, respectively.
Morning News: Oil edges higher following biggest annual loss since 2020 - By Shajar Research

Jan 2 2026


Shajar Capital


  • Oil prices edged up on the first day of trade in 2026 after last year posting their biggest annual loss since 2020, as Ukrainian drones targeted Russian oil facilities and a U.S. blockade pressured Venezuela's exports. (Reuters)
  • Stocks kicked off the new year on a positive note, with Asian shares and US equity-index futures advancing, while precious metals rebounded after a soft finish to 2025. (Bloomberg)
Morning News: Urgent need to fast-track govt’s ambitious economic reforms: PM - By Alpha-Akseer Research

Jan 2 2026


Alpha Capital


  • In a forceful kick-off to 2026, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Thursday directed that ministries take immediate and decisive action, underscoring the urgent need to fast-track the government’s ambitious economic reforms aimed at steering the country’s faltering economy back on track.
  • In a bold move to tackle the country’s crippling energy crisis, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Thurs day called for an urgent and aggressive push to explore and extract new oil and gas reserves, warning that continued reliance on costly petroleum imports is unsustainable.
Morning News: T-bills attract $20m in net foreign inflows - By Vector Research

Jan 2 2026


Vector Securities


  • Pakistan’s short-term local government bonds saw net foreign inflows of $20 million in December, compared with $42.2 million in outflows recorded in the previous month. Overseas investors poured $77.29 million in treasury bills as of December 25 but divested $57.27 million, data from the State Bank of Pakistan showed on Thursday. (The News)
  • Pakistan will benefit from a technical assistance approved by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) that will support member countries in systematically shaping future sustainable transport investments. (Dawn)
Morning News: Inflation in Pakistan clocks in at 5.6% in December 2025: - By HMFS Research

Jan 2 2026


HMFS Research


  • Pakistan’s headline inflation clocked in at 5.6% on a year-on-year (YoY) basis in December 2025, showed Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data on Thursday, a reading in line with the Ministry of Finance estimate of 5.5-6.5%. The consumer price index (CPI) was recorded at 6.1% in November 2025. The CPI stood at 4.1% in December 2024. On a month-on-month basis, it decreased by 0.4% in December 2025, as compared to an increase of 0.4% in the previous month and an increase of 0.1% in December 2024. This takes the 6MFY26 inflation reading at 5.15% against 7.22% in 6MFY25.
  • In a bold move to tackle the country’s crippling energy crisis, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Thursday called for an urgent and aggressive push to explore and extract new oil and gas reserves, warning that continued reliance on costly petroleum imports is unsustainable. harif made it clear that Pakistan must shift its focus towards domestic energy production or risk deeper economic challenges. “We can no longer afford to rely on expensive imports,” he stated, underscoring the need for swift action. He also called for a digital overhaul of the oil and gas supply chain, from importation to the end consumer, highlighting how this will not only increase efficiency but also tackle the rampant smuggling of petroleum products. The meeting was briefed on recent developments in the oil and gas sector, with officials highlighting a significant discovery by the Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd. (OGDCL), with an estimated 4,100 barrels of oil set to be extracted daily.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Jan 1 2026


Vector Securities


  • Evening Note.
Pakistan Market Wrap: New Year, New Highs: Bulls Carry Momentum into 2026 – By HMFS Research

Jan 1 2026


HMFS Research


  • The KSE-100 Index scaled fresh highs at the start of the new calendar year, extending its bullish run as the benchmark touched an intra-day peak of 176,658. Momentum remained firmly intact throughout the session, underpinned by easing inflationary pressures—December 2025 CPI came in at 5.6%—alongside a reduction in petroleum prices, which collectively supported risk appetite across equities. The index ultimately closed at 176,355, marking a solid gain of 2,301 points for the day. Sectoral leadership came from Banking and E&P stocks, which provided the bulk of the upward thrust.
  • Market participation was notably strong, with volumes rising to 799mn shares on the KSE-100 and 1.40bn shares across the broader market. Activity was concentrated in KEL (373mn), PIBTL (140mn), and BOP (55mn). Looking ahead, the government’s reform-driven policy framework is anticipated to enhance economic resilience, underpinning investor confidence and supporting equity market expansion. While the prevailing trend remains constructive, elevated valuations at current levels may invite intermittent profit-taking. Nonetheless, sustained interest from investors seeking strategic positioning suggests the market’s broader trajectory remains intact. Investors are advised to remain composed amid short-term fluctuations and focus on fundamentally strong names with long-term growth visibility.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 1 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The benchmark KSE-100 Index posted a strong rebound, surging to an intraday high of 176,658.38 before closing at an all-time high of 176,355.49 and registering a gain of 2,301.17 points (1.32%). The rally was driven by broad- based buying, led primarily by Commercial Banks and Oil & Gas stocks, alongside selective strength in cement, fertilizer, and power sectors.
  • Positive sentiment prevailed on the eve of the new year, with fresh fund allocations for investment plans contributing to the momentum. On the macroeconomic front, headline inflation eased to 5.6%YoY in Dec’25, within the Ministry of Finance’s projected range, while the FBR’s provisional tax collection for the 1HFY26 stood at PKR 6,154 billion, falling short of the target by PKR 336 billion. In terms of index contribution, UBL, OGDC, ENGRO, HBL, and MEBL emerged as key drivers, collectively adding 1,086.27 points to the benchmark. On the volumes front, KEL led activity with 372.71 million shares, while overall market turnover stood at 1,399.85 million shares, reflecting healthy participation
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Range bound activity witnessed – By AKD Research

Dec 24 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index opened on a strong note but moved within a narrow range throughout the session, posting an intraday high of 663 points and a low of 236 points. It ultimately closed 130 points lower at 171,074. Investor participation weakened, with trading volumes dropping by 27% compared to the previous session. The MACD remains bullish as it continues to trade above its signal line, having crossed above it 25 sessions ago. Since the MACD moved above its moving average, the Index has gained 6.30%, fluctuating between a high of 172,674.66 and a low of 160,564.84. Meanwhile, the daily Parabolic SAR is positioned below the current index level, indicating a continuation of the prevailing uptrend.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 170,900 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 170,300 and 169,800. Conversely, resistance is expected around 171,800, followed by 172,500 and 173,000. It is recommended to accumulate positions on weakness with risk defined below support zone.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Upward ride continues – By AKD Research

Dec 19 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index began the session on a strong footing and maintained its bullish bias throughout the day, reaching an intraday high of 1,935 points. It eventually closed with a hefty gain of 1,647 points at 171,961. Investor participation eased, as trading volumes slipped by 10% compared to the previous session. KSE100 ended the day 11.1% below the upper Bollinger Band, while the bands themselves are 3.36% wider than normal. The MACD remains bullish, trading above its signal line, which it crossed 22 sessions ago. Since that crossover, the Index has advanced 6.85%, moving within a range of 172,249 on the upside and 160,565 on the downside.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 171,500 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 170,800 and 170,300. Conversely, resistance is expected around 172,500, followed by 173,100 and 173,900. It is recommended to accumulate positions on weakness with risk defined below support zone.
Morning News: KSE-100: Making a higher high – By AKD Research

Dec 16 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index opened on a strong note and witnessed increased volatility during the session, touching an intraday high of 1,137 points. It ultimately settled at 170,741, registering its highest-ever close with a gain of 877 points. Market participation strengthened, as trading volumes jumped by 33% compared to the previous session. The Index is currently trading 22.5% above its 200-period moving average, indicating a clear upward trend. There is a likelihood of rising volatility and sharp price swings in the near term. Volume indicators show moderate in flows into the Index, suggesting a mildly bullish undertone. Trend forecasting oscillators remain bullish and have maintained this stance for the past 13 trading sessions.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 170,200 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 169,700 and 169,300. Conversely, resistance is expected around 171,100, followed by 171,500 and 172,000. It is recommended to accumulate positions on weakness with risk defined below support zone.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Closed at historic high – By AKD Research

Dec 10 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index opened on solid ground and carried its bullish momentum through the session, touching an intraday high of 1,298 points. It wrapped up the day with a strong gain of 1,153 points, closing at 169,456. Investor interest strengthened noticeably, as trading volumes jumped 32% from the previous session. A long lower shadow emerged on the candle, a typically bullish signal. Over the last 10 sessions, the market has posted 6 positive and 4 negative closings, signaling a mild upside bias. The index also opened with an upside gap on healthy volumes which is an indication that raises the likelihood of a runaway gap, often indicative of a sustained continuation in trend.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 169,000 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 168,300 and 167,800. Conversely, resistance is expected around 170,000, followed by 170,700 and 171,500. It is recommended to accumulate positions on weakness with risk defined below support zone.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Bullish session amid improved volumes – By AKD Research

Dec 8 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index began the day on a strong footing and stayed bullish throughout the previous session, reaching an intraday high of 1,640 points. It eventually closed with a mild gain of 802 points at 167,086. Market participation strengthened, as trading volumes rose by 35% from the prior session. KSE100 is currently trading 21.4% above its 200-period moving average, indicating a continued upward trend. Volatility remains extremely low relative to the average over the last 10 sessions. Volume indicators show moderate inflows into the Index, reflecting a mildly bullish tone. Trend-forecasting oscillators also remain bullish and have maintained this stance for seven consecutive periods.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 166,500 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 165,800 and 165,100. Conversely, resistance is expected around 167,800, followed by 168,500 and 169,100. It is recommended to accumulate positions on weakness with risk defined below support zone.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Low volumes given little price action – By AKD Research

Dec 5 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index started the day on a strong note but became volatile as trading progressed, hitting an intraday high of 672 points and a low of 259 points. It ultimately closed with a modest gain of 138 points at 166,284. Market participation declined, with trading volumes falling by 35% compared to the previous session. Over the past 10 sessions, the market has seen 4 positive closes and 6 negative closes, resulting in a net of 2 negative sessions. Volume indicators show moderate inflows into the Index, reflecting a slightly bullish tone. Trend forecasting oscillators remain bullish and have maintained this stance for the past six sessions.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 165,800 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 165,200 and 164,500. Conversely, resistance is expected around 166,800, followed by 167,500 and 168,100. It is recommended to accumulate positions on weakness with risk defined below support zone.
Pakistan Cements: Cement offtakes fall on weaker exports – By AKD Research

Dec 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • Cement offtakes declined by 3%YoY to 4.14mn tons during Nov’25, driven by 27%YoY fall in exports.
  • Industry-wide utilization declined to 60% (-2.0ppts YoY), compared to 62% in SPLY.
  • We expect domestic cement dispatches to increase by 7.3%YoY in FY26 and 8.4% YoY in FY27, mainly driven by a revival in domestic activity, given the fall in interest rates.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Profit taking witnessed – By AKD Research

Dec 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index began the session on a strong note but turned volatile as the day progressed, registering an intraday high of 1,227 points and a low of 616 points. It eventually reversed earlier gains and closed with a decline of 420 points at 167,642. Market participation softened slightly, with trading volumes falling by 5% from the previous session. The Index touched a two-month high where profit-taking kicked in, erasing all intraday gains at one stage. It closed 1.3% below the upper Bollinger Band, while the Bands themselves are just 0.13% wider than usual. Over the last 10 sessions, the market has posted 6 positive and 4 negative closings. The MACD remains bullish, trading above its signal line since the last 10 sessions. Since turning bullish, the Index has gained 4.17% and moved between 169,289 and 160,565.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 167,100 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 166,800 and 166,300. Conversely, resistance is expected around 168,200, followed by 168,800 and 169,600. It is recommended to accumulate positions on weakness with risk defined below support zone.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Continues to surge – By AKD Research

Dec 2 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index started the session on a strong note and saw volatility throughout the day, marking an intraday high of 1,569 points and a low of 653 points. It eventually closed with a robust gain of 1,384 points at 168,062. Market participation ticked up slightly, with trading volumes increasing by 4% compared to the previous session. The Index remains 23.1% above its 200-period moving average, maintaining its broader uptrend. There are signs that volatility may pick up ahead, potentially bringing sharper price swings. Volume indicators suggest balanced inflows and outflows, while trend forecasting oscillators remain bullish, a stance they have maintained for the past three sessions.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 167,700 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 167,100 and 166,800. Conversely, resistance is expected around 168,400, followed by 168,800 and 169,600. It is recommended to accumulate positions on weakness with risk defined below support zone.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Strong bullish continuation – By AKD Research

Dec 1 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index opened strongly and maintained its upward trajectory throughout the session, hitting an intraday high of 1,632 points. It ultimately finished with a solid increase of 1,304 points at 166,678. Market activity strengthened notably, with trading volumes jumping 69% from the previous session. A rising window was formed, typically indicating continued bullish momentum. With 5 rising windows recorded in the last 50 sessions, this latest one further reinforces the bullish outlook. Among momentum indicators, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently showing a reading of 63.35.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 166,500 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 166,100 and 165,600. Conversely, resistance is expected around 167,000, followed by 167,700 and 168,400. It is recommended to accumulate positions on weakness with risk defined below support zone.