Morning News: FBR misses out on tax collection target for 6 months by Rs. 321 billion – By WE Research

Jan 1 2026



  • The federal board of revenue (FBR) reported a shortfall of Rs. 321 billion in tax collection during the first six months of fy26. Against a target of Rs. 5.42 trillion, actual collections stood at Rs. 5.1 trillion. The shortfall is attributed to weaker-than-expected direct tax receipts and slower growth in customs duties. This underperformance raises concerns about fiscal consolidation and Pakistan’s commitments under IMF programs.
  • The government announced a significant reduction in petrol and diesel prices effective January 1, 2026. Petrol prices were cut by Rs. 14 per liter, while diesel prices dropped by Rs. 12 per liter. The decision was made in response to declining global oil prices and aims to provide relief to consumers amid inflationary pressures. This move is expected to lower transportation costs and ease inflationary trends in the economy.
Oil Marketing Companies (OMC): OMC sales up 6% YoY and down 5% MoM in Dec 2025;1HFY26 sales up 2% YoY – By Topline Research

Jan 2 2026


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan's Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) recorded sales of 1.35mn tons in Dec 2025, up 6% YoY and down 5% MoM.
  • The YoY increase is due to economic recovery, lower inflation, and control of smuggling, whereas the MoM decrease in sales is attributable to the strike by transporters. To highlight, Transporters went on a nationwide strike on Dec 08, 2025 which continued for 10 days.
  • This takes total sales for 1HFY26 to 8.2mn tons, reflecting a 2% YoY increase compared to 8.02mn tons in 1HFY25.
Pakistan Fertilizers: Pakistan’s Urea sales for Dec 2025 at all time high of 1,356k tons; Inventory at 0.31mn tons – By Topline Research

Jan 2 2026


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan Urea sales in Dec 2025 is anticipated to clock in at all time high of 1,356k tons, up by 65% MoM and 37% YoY amid push sales from company/dealers through higher discounts offerings. This takes 2025 urea offtakes to 6.73mn tons, up 2% YoY compared to 6.57mn tons in 2024, respectively. To note, in 11M2025, urea sales was down 4%.
  • As per our checks, EFERT has maintained discount around Rs400/bag during the month of Dec 2025. However, this discount was rolled back to Rs150 /bag at the start of the new year. Similarly, FFC also offered discount of Rs 150–200 per bag during the same period.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Upside to continue – By JS Research

Jan 2 2026


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index showed positive movement to close at 176,355 level, up 2,301 points. Volumes stood at 1,403mn shares versus 957mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to revisit yesterday's high of 176,658 where a break above that will continue the uptrend towards 180,500 level. However, any downside will find support between 174,430 and 175,820 levels, respectively. The RSI and the MACD have moved up, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below 174,437 level. The support and resistance are at 174,976 and 177,197 levels, respectively.
Morning News: Oil edges higher following biggest annual loss since 2020 - By Shajar Research

Jan 2 2026


Shajar Capital


  • Oil prices edged up on the first day of trade in 2026 after last year posting their biggest annual loss since 2020, as Ukrainian drones targeted Russian oil facilities and a U.S. blockade pressured Venezuela's exports. (Reuters)
  • Stocks kicked off the new year on a positive note, with Asian shares and US equity-index futures advancing, while precious metals rebounded after a soft finish to 2025. (Bloomberg)
Morning News: Urgent need to fast-track govt’s ambitious economic reforms: PM - By Alpha-Akseer Research

Jan 2 2026


Alpha Capital


  • In a forceful kick-off to 2026, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Thursday directed that ministries take immediate and decisive action, underscoring the urgent need to fast-track the government’s ambitious economic reforms aimed at steering the country’s faltering economy back on track.
  • In a bold move to tackle the country’s crippling energy crisis, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Thurs day called for an urgent and aggressive push to explore and extract new oil and gas reserves, warning that continued reliance on costly petroleum imports is unsustainable.
Morning News: T-bills attract $20m in net foreign inflows - By Vector Research

Jan 2 2026


Vector Securities


  • Pakistan’s short-term local government bonds saw net foreign inflows of $20 million in December, compared with $42.2 million in outflows recorded in the previous month. Overseas investors poured $77.29 million in treasury bills as of December 25 but divested $57.27 million, data from the State Bank of Pakistan showed on Thursday. (The News)
  • Pakistan will benefit from a technical assistance approved by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) that will support member countries in systematically shaping future sustainable transport investments. (Dawn)
Morning News: Inflation in Pakistan clocks in at 5.6% in December 2025: - By HMFS Research

Jan 2 2026


HMFS Research


  • Pakistan’s headline inflation clocked in at 5.6% on a year-on-year (YoY) basis in December 2025, showed Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data on Thursday, a reading in line with the Ministry of Finance estimate of 5.5-6.5%. The consumer price index (CPI) was recorded at 6.1% in November 2025. The CPI stood at 4.1% in December 2024. On a month-on-month basis, it decreased by 0.4% in December 2025, as compared to an increase of 0.4% in the previous month and an increase of 0.1% in December 2024. This takes the 6MFY26 inflation reading at 5.15% against 7.22% in 6MFY25.
  • In a bold move to tackle the country’s crippling energy crisis, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Thursday called for an urgent and aggressive push to explore and extract new oil and gas reserves, warning that continued reliance on costly petroleum imports is unsustainable. harif made it clear that Pakistan must shift its focus towards domestic energy production or risk deeper economic challenges. “We can no longer afford to rely on expensive imports,” he stated, underscoring the need for swift action. He also called for a digital overhaul of the oil and gas supply chain, from importation to the end consumer, highlighting how this will not only increase efficiency but also tackle the rampant smuggling of petroleum products. The meeting was briefed on recent developments in the oil and gas sector, with officials highlighting a significant discovery by the Oil and Gas Development Company Ltd. (OGDCL), with an estimated 4,100 barrels of oil set to be extracted daily.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Jan 1 2026


Vector Securities


  • Evening Note.
Pakistan Market Wrap: New Year, New Highs: Bulls Carry Momentum into 2026 – By HMFS Research

Jan 1 2026


HMFS Research


  • The KSE-100 Index scaled fresh highs at the start of the new calendar year, extending its bullish run as the benchmark touched an intra-day peak of 176,658. Momentum remained firmly intact throughout the session, underpinned by easing inflationary pressures—December 2025 CPI came in at 5.6%—alongside a reduction in petroleum prices, which collectively supported risk appetite across equities. The index ultimately closed at 176,355, marking a solid gain of 2,301 points for the day. Sectoral leadership came from Banking and E&P stocks, which provided the bulk of the upward thrust.
  • Market participation was notably strong, with volumes rising to 799mn shares on the KSE-100 and 1.40bn shares across the broader market. Activity was concentrated in KEL (373mn), PIBTL (140mn), and BOP (55mn). Looking ahead, the government’s reform-driven policy framework is anticipated to enhance economic resilience, underpinning investor confidence and supporting equity market expansion. While the prevailing trend remains constructive, elevated valuations at current levels may invite intermittent profit-taking. Nonetheless, sustained interest from investors seeking strategic positioning suggests the market’s broader trajectory remains intact. Investors are advised to remain composed amid short-term fluctuations and focus on fundamentally strong names with long-term growth visibility.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 1 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The benchmark KSE-100 Index posted a strong rebound, surging to an intraday high of 176,658.38 before closing at an all-time high of 176,355.49 and registering a gain of 2,301.17 points (1.32%). The rally was driven by broad- based buying, led primarily by Commercial Banks and Oil & Gas stocks, alongside selective strength in cement, fertilizer, and power sectors.
  • Positive sentiment prevailed on the eve of the new year, with fresh fund allocations for investment plans contributing to the momentum. On the macroeconomic front, headline inflation eased to 5.6%YoY in Dec’25, within the Ministry of Finance’s projected range, while the FBR’s provisional tax collection for the 1HFY26 stood at PKR 6,154 billion, falling short of the target by PKR 336 billion. In terms of index contribution, UBL, OGDC, ENGRO, HBL, and MEBL emerged as key drivers, collectively adding 1,086.27 points to the benchmark. On the volumes front, KEL led activity with 372.71 million shares, while overall market turnover stood at 1,399.85 million shares, reflecting healthy participation
Morning News: FBR misses out on tax collection target for 6 months by Rs. 321 billion – By WE Research

Jan 1 2026



  • The federal board of revenue (FBR) reported a shortfall of Rs. 321 billion in tax collection during the first six months of fy26. Against a target of Rs. 5.42 trillion, actual collections stood at Rs. 5.1 trillion. The shortfall is attributed to weaker-than-expected direct tax receipts and slower growth in customs duties. This underperformance raises concerns about fiscal consolidation and Pakistan’s commitments under IMF programs.
  • The government announced a significant reduction in petrol and diesel prices effective January 1, 2026. Petrol prices were cut by Rs. 14 per liter, while diesel prices dropped by Rs. 12 per liter. The decision was made in response to declining global oil prices and aims to provide relief to consumers amid inflationary pressures. This move is expected to lower transportation costs and ease inflationary trends in the economy.
Indus Motor Company Limited (INDU): Automobile Assembler – By WE Research

Dec 29 2025



  • We initiate coverage on Indus Motor Company Limited (INDU) with a recommendation. Our preference for INDU is underpinned by its sustained leadership in key automotive segments, robust operational strengths, and friendly policies for shareholders.
  • INDU remains a dominant player in Pakistan’s automotive industry, particularly in the car segment (~6.47% of total vehicle sales) and jeeps and pickups segment (~2.32% of total vehicle sales), which rank second and third respectively after two/three-wheeler category (~89.40% of total vehicles sales).
Morning News: IMF Sees 6.5% GDP Upside If Pakistan Fixes Corruption, Governance – By WE Research

Nov 21 2025



  • The IMF has released a diagnostic report stating that Pakistan’s GDP could grow by 5–6.5% over five years if corruption and governance issues are addressed. The report highlights weaknesses in taxation, procurement, and oversight of the federal board of revenue (FBR), alongside risks from state-owned enterprises. It calls for reforms in tax policy, restructuring of the FBR, and stronger audits to improve transparency. The IMF also flagged political interference, opaque budgeting, and weak contract enforcement as barriers to investment.
  • The IMF has highlighted that elite capture in Pakistan—where influential groups secure preferential access to subsidies, tax breaks, and policy exemptions—costs the economy billions annually. The report points to energy subsidies, tax concessions, and regulatory loopholes that disproportionately benefit politically connected businesses and wealthy individuals. It stresses that such practices undermine fiscal capacity, widen inequality, and reduce resources available for public investment. The IMF recommends curbing preferential treatment and strengthening transparency in fiscal policy.
Morning News: Gold Price Per Tola Sheds Rs3,500 In Pakistan – By WE Research

Nov 5 2025



  • Gold prices in Pakistan dropped by rs3,500 per tola, bringing the local rate to rs420,362. Similarly, 10-gram gold fell by rs3,001 to rs360,392. The decline followed a fall in international gold prices, which slipped by $35 per ounce to $3,980 (with a $20 premium). Silver prices also decreased by rs130 per tola to rs5,022.
  • Pakistan and Iran have agreed to strengthen agricultural trade, with Iran set to import 350,000 livestock from Pakistan. The move is part of broader bilateral cooperation in food security and trade. This agreement is expected to enhance Pakistan’s livestock exports and provide new opportunities for farmers and exporters.
Morning News: Pakistan Seeks Peace but Won’t Tolerate Cross-Border Terrorism – By WE Research

Oct 31 2025



  • The chief of army staff (COAS) stated that Pakistan desires regional peace but will not compromise on national security in the face of cross-border terrorism. He emphasized that Pakistan reserves the right to respond firmly to any aggression. The remarks came during a high-level meeting with military officials, underscoring the country’s stance on maintaining internal stability while addressing external threats.
  • Prime minister Shehbaz sharif inaugurated the youth laptop scheme 2025, aimed at distributing laptops to students across Pakistan. He emphasized that the government will significantly increase investment in education and technology to empower youth and strengthen the digital economy. The initiative is part of broader efforts to enhance skills, promote innovation, and expand access to digital tools for students nationwide.
Morning News: Pakistan, Saudi Arabia agree to launch economic cooperation framework – By WE Research

Oct 29 2025



  • Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have signed an agreement to establish a structured framework for economic cooperation. The framework aims to expand collaboration in energy, trade, investment, and infrastructure projects. It is expected to pave the way for Saudi investments in Pakistan’s energy and industrial sectors, while also strengthening bilateral trade ties. The agreement signals a deepening of economic relations between the two countries.
  • According to a report, the state bank of Pakistan bought $7.15 billion from the interbank market during the past year. The purchases were part of efforts to strengthen foreign exchange reserves and manage external account pressures. While this helped shore up reserves, it also absorbed dollar liquidity from the market, impacting importers and businesses reliant on foreign currency. The move reflects SBP’s strategy to maintain currency stability amid external financing challenges.