Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 12 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 184,439.06 before closing at 182,384.14, down 2,026 points (-1.10%) as profit-taking set in. Selling pressure was evident across key sectors, particularly Commercial Banks, Oil & Gas E&P, Technology & IT Services, and Fertilizer, as investors trimmed exposure at elevated valuations.
  • On the macro front, Prime Minister has said concerted efforts are being made to transform Pakistan into a regional hub for Information Technology. Separately, international Oil prices dipped on Monday, after Iran said it had “total control” following weekend violence, easing some concerns over supply from the OPEC producer, while investors also weighed efforts to resume oil exports from Venezuela. Among major laggards, SYS, UBL, MEBL, ENGROH and FFC, which cumulatively shaved -782.51 points off the benchmark. FFL led trading with 65.62 million shares, as total market turnover reached 1,055.68mn shares.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Expected to trade in a range – By JS Research

Jan 15 2026


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index showed negative movement to close at 182,570 level, down 1,382 points DoD. Volumes stood at 1,034mn shares versus 1,037mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to re-test support at 182,370 (yesterday's low) where a fall below that will target the recent low at 180,590. However, any upside will face resistance between 183,220 and 184,730 range, where a break above that will target 185,111 and 186,340 levels. The indicators are mixed, signaling no clear trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 181,718 and 184,074 levels, respectively.
Morning News: Oil prices sink more than 2% as Trump remarks calm concern about Iran – By Taurus Research

Jan 15 2026


Taurus Securities


  • Oil prices slid more than 2% in early Asian trade on Thursday after U.S. President Donald Trump said killings in Iran’s crackdown on nationwide protests were stopping, tempering concern over military action against Iran and supply disruption. (BR)
  • Iran has temporarily restricted its airspace to permitted international flights only, Flightradar24 reported on Thursday, as Tehran-Washington tensions stay high. (The News)
Morning News: Iran temporarily 'shuts airspace' amid escalating tensions with US – By Shajar Research

Jan 15 2026


Shajar Capital


  • Iran has temporarily restricted its airspace to permitted international flights only, Flightradar24 reported on Thursday, as Tehran-Washington tensions stay high. The advisory is valid for a little more than two hours, Flightradar24 said on its social media profile. (The News)
  • The World Economic Forum (WEF) finds geo-economic confrontation as the top risk for 2026, followed by interstate conflict, extreme weather, societal polarisation, and misinformation and disinformation, its report said on Wednesday. (Dawn)
Morning News: Pakistan signs deal with Trump family-linked crypto firm – By Vector Research

Jan 15 2026


Vector Securities


  • Pakistan said on Wednesday it had signed an agreement with a firm connected to World Liberty Financial, the main crypto business of US President Donald Trump’s family, to explore using World Liberty’s $1 stablecoin for cross-border payments. (BR)
  • The government raised Rs492 billion (both competitive and non-competitive) from the auction of fixed-rate Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs) on Wednesday, with yields falling across all tenors. The target for this auction was Rs450 billion, with total participation reaching Rs2.06 trillion. (The News)
Morning News: Pakistan on list as US suspends immigrant visas – By HMFS Research

Jan 15 2026


HMFS Research


  • The US State Department announced on Wednesday that it will suspend immigrant visa processing for Pakistan and 74 other countries, amid concerns that immigrants from these nations often rely on public welfare programmes, or fail security vetting. The freeze will begin on January 21, with no set time for it to end. According to AFP, the latest move does not affect tourist, business or other visas, including for soccer fans seeking to visit for this year’s World Cup, although the Trump administration has vowed to vet all applicants’ social media histories.
  • Oil prices slid more than 2% in early Asian trade on Thursday after U.S. President Donald Trump said killings in Iran’s crackdown on nationwide protests were stopping, tempering concern over military action against Iran and supply disruption. Brent futures were down $1.67, or 2.5%, at $64.85 a barrel at 0109 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude slipped $1.54, or 2.5%, to $60.48 a barrel.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 14 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 184,726.60 before closing at 182,569.81, down 1,382 points (-0.75%) as profit-taking set in. Selling pressure was evident across key sectors, particularly Commercial Banks, accounting for nearly half of total index losses, while cement and fertilizer names also saw heavy selling. Power and telecom sectors contributed to broader downside, showing risk-off sentiment across cyclical and defensive sectors alike.
  • On the macro front, the World Bank projects Pakistan’s GDP growth at 3% in FY25–26, rising to 3.4% in FY26–27, supported by agricultural recovery and post-flood reconstruction. However, the current account deficit is expected to widen in FY26–27 due to rising import demand and normalization of remittances. Among major laggards, UBL, MCB, FFC, LUCK and HUBC, which cumulatively shaved -897.26 points off the benchmark. KEL led trading with 56.27 million shares, as total market turnover reached 1,031.36 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Correction Persists Amid Geopolitical Overhangs – By HMFS Research

Jan 14 2026


HMFS Research


  • The KSE-100 Index remained under correction phase, extending its decline amid heightened geopolitical tensions that continued to weigh on investor sentiment. The cautious environment dragged the benchmark to close at 182,570, marking a decline of 1,382 points from the previous session. Despite the broader weakness, improving domestic economic fundamentals and the anticipation of upcoming corporate earnings provided selective support, with pockets of buying observed across specific sectors. Trading activity remained steady, with 444mn shares exchanged on the KSE-100 Index and 1.03bn shares traded in the broader market.
  • Volume leadership was dominated by KEL (56mn), WTL (56mn), and PIBTL (48mn), reflecting sustained participation despite the corrective phase. While near-term sentiment remains sensitive to geopolitical developments, potential strategic tailwinds are emerging. Prospective defence agreements with Turkey, possible defence exports to Indonesia, and advancing discussions around a minerals partnership with Saudi Arabia could strengthen foreign inflows and reinforce investor confidence, providing upside catalysts for the equity market. However, any further escalation in global or regional tensions may prolong profit taking activity. In this environment, investors are advised to maintain a vigilant and disciplined approach, focusing on fundamentally strong stocks that offer durable long-term growth potential.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 182,570 down 1,382 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Jan 14 2026


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market opened on a positive footing but remained volatile throughout the session, eventually closing in negative territory. The KSE-100 Index touched an intraday high of 184,727 and a low of 182,370 before settling at 182,570, posting a decline of 1,382 points. Total volumes on the main board stood at 443.3 million shares, with a traded value of PKR 48.9 billion.
  • The index's downturn was primarily driven by selling pressure in UBL (-2.1%, -300 points), MCB (-2.7%, -170 points), FFC (-1%, -164 points), LUCK (-2%, -151 points), and HUBC (-1.2%, -89 points). On the activity front, KEL and PIBTL dominated volumes, recording 56.3 million and 47.5 million shares, respectively.
Pakistan Cement: Profitability to drop 5% YoY in 2QFY26 – By Foundation Research

Jan 14 2026


Foundation Securities


  • FSL Cement universe profitability is forecasted to slide 5% YoY in 2QFY26 despite uptick in domestic sales and easing coal prices. This suppression in the profitability is mainly accredited to (1) normalization of gross margins, (2) higher energy cost, (3) lower exports due to Afghan border closure along with 23% YoY dip in South exports, and (4) weak prices (down 6% YoY).
  • On a quarterly basis, profitability is estimated to recede 19% QoQ in 2QFY26 owing to (1) weak domestic prices in North, (2) shift in energy mix, (3) slump in exports by 21% QoQ, and (4) attrition in other income.
Pakistan Textiles: Cotton arrivals flat YoY; remain short of target – By JS Research

Jan 14 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Pakistan Cotton Ginner’s Association (PCGA) reported flat YoY cotton production at 5.43mn bales as of Dec-2025. At the current run-rate, we expect the annual output to remain close to last year’s level of 7mn bales, implying a ~30% shortfall from the govt target of 10mn bales for FY26.
  • Sindh province reported a 3.6% YoY growth in cotton arrivals while output is down 4.4% YoY in Punjab, primarily reflecting loss of crop from floods.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 14 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 184,726.60 before closing at 182,569.81, down 1,382 points (-0.75%) as profit-taking set in. Selling pressure was evident across key sectors, particularly Commercial Banks, accounting for nearly half of total index losses, while cement and fertilizer names also saw heavy selling. Power and telecom sectors contributed to broader downside, showing risk-off sentiment across cyclical and defensive sectors alike.
  • On the macro front, the World Bank projects Pakistan’s GDP growth at 3% in FY25–26, rising to 3.4% in FY26–27, supported by agricultural recovery and post-flood reconstruction. However, the current account deficit is expected to widen in FY26–27 due to rising import demand and normalization of remittances. Among major laggards, UBL, MCB, FFC, LUCK and HUBC, which cumulatively shaved -897.26 points off the benchmark. KEL led trading with 56.27 million shares, as total market turnover reached 1,031.36 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 13 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The benchmark KSE-100 Index posted a strong rebound, surging to an intraday high of 184,304.86 before closing at 183,951.50, registering a gain of 1,567.36 points (0.86%). The rally was driven by broad-based buying, led primarily by Commercial Banks, Cement, oil & gas exploration alongside selective strength in Telecommunication.
  • On the macro front, the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) invited budget proposals from the business community, seeking recommendations on new taxation measures aimed at increasing the tax incidence on affluent segments ahead of the upcoming fiscal year. In terms of index contribution, UBL, NBP, MCB, LUCK, & MEBL, emerged as key drivers, collectively adding 937.23 to the benchmark. On the volumes front, BOP led activity with 73.89 million shares; while overall market turnover stood at 1,033.26 million shares, reflecting healthy participation.
Power Generation & Distribution: Power Sector Revenue Requirement Reduced to PKR 3.38trn – By AHCML Research

Jan 13 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • NEPRA has announced the consumer-end electricity tariff for CY26 following its public hearing. Under the determination, the Government has projected electricity sales of 113.58 billion kWh to DISCOs, revised downward from the earlier estimate of 116.4 billion kWh, while the allowed system losses for CY26 have been set at 10.87%, compared to the previously projected 11.04%.
  • Energy Charges: Estimated at PKR 924bn (PKR 9.12/KWh), down from PKR 1,125bn (PKR 10.87/KWh), primarily due to lower energy prices and a stable PKR exchange rate.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 12 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 184,439.06 before closing at 182,384.14, down 2,026 points (-1.10%) as profit-taking set in. Selling pressure was evident across key sectors, particularly Commercial Banks, Oil & Gas E&P, Technology & IT Services, and Fertilizer, as investors trimmed exposure at elevated valuations.
  • On the macro front, Prime Minister has said concerted efforts are being made to transform Pakistan into a regional hub for Information Technology. Separately, international Oil prices dipped on Monday, after Iran said it had “total control” following weekend violence, easing some concerns over supply from the OPEC producer, while investors also weighed efforts to resume oil exports from Venezuela. Among major laggards, SYS, UBL, MEBL, ENGROH and FFC, which cumulatively shaved -782.51 points off the benchmark. FFL led trading with 65.62 million shares, as total market turnover reached 1,055.68mn shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 9 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The benchmark KSE-100 Index saw a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 186,180.32 before closing at 184,409.67 down 1,133 points (-0.61%) amid profit-taking. Selling pressure was evident across key sectors, particularly Cement, Commercial Banks, OMC, and Oil & Gas E&P. As investors trimmed exposure at elevated valuations. However, sentiment found some support from positive developments, including Pakistan receiving USD 3.6bn in remittances in December 2025 and the PM’s approval of a national policy framework aimed at unlocking USD 450bn in gemstone potential. Among major laggards HUBC, LUCK,ENGROH, NBP, and EFERT collectively shaved 529 points off the index. On the volumes chart, FFL led activity with 75.81mn shares, while total market turnover stood at 1026.61mn shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 8 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 187,905 before closing at 185,543, down 9756 points (-0.52%) as profit-taking set in. Selling pressure was evident across key sectors, particularly Commercial Banks, Holding Companies, Technology & IT Services, and Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, as investors trimmed exposure at elevated valuations. On the macro front, Visa reiterated its commitment to expanding digital payments and enhancing financial inclusion in Pakistan, with initiatives focused on supporting small and nano businesses and extending QR and tap-to-phone solutions to Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. Separately, a Senate body expressed concern over cartelization within the pharmaceutical sector. Among major laggards, ENGROH, UBL, MEBL, SYS and PPL, which cumulatively shaved -985.86 points off the benchmark. AGHA led trading with 131.88 million shares, as total market turnover reached 1,421.07mn shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 6 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 Index extended its upward momentum, reaching an intraday high of 185,481.45 points before closing at a new all-time high of 185,062.10, up 2,653.87 points (+1.45%). Market sentiment remained strong, supported by net buying over the last seven sessions from Banks (USD 44mn), Companies (USD 18mn), Brokers (USD 6.5mn), and Mutual Funds (USD 5.2mn). Moreover, a PKR345bn decline in government debt stocks over the past five months, the Prime Minister’s call for greater access to loans for SMEs and PKR820bn weekly increase in M2 were also supported the positive activity in the stock market. Heavyweights, including MCB, UBL, MEBL, HBL, and LUCK were the key index drivers, collectively contributing 1,898.22 points. KEL led trading volumes with 109.62 million shares, while overall market participation reached 1,300.56 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 5 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 Index continued its upward momentum, surging to a intraday high of 183,964.37 points before settling at a new all-time high of 182,408.23, up 3,373.30 points (1.88%). Market sentiment remained firmly positive, supported by strong fertilizer off-take data and expectations of a policy rate cut in the upcoming SBP Monetary Policy Committee meeting. On the macro front, Pakistan and China held the seventh round of their Strategic Dialogue, reaffirming bilateral cooperation, while the Prime Minister directed authorities to accelerate bank lending to SMEs. Heavyweights including UBL, HBL, ENGROH, MCB, and EFERT were the key index drivers, collectively contributing 1,676.53 points. BOP led volumes with 95.46 million shares; as overall market participation reached 1,377.51 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Jan 1 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The benchmark KSE-100 Index posted a strong rebound, surging to an intraday high of 176,658.38 before closing at an all-time high of 176,355.49 and registering a gain of 2,301.17 points (1.32%). The rally was driven by broad- based buying, led primarily by Commercial Banks and Oil & Gas stocks, alongside selective strength in cement, fertilizer, and power sectors.
  • Positive sentiment prevailed on the eve of the new year, with fresh fund allocations for investment plans contributing to the momentum. On the macroeconomic front, headline inflation eased to 5.6%YoY in Dec’25, within the Ministry of Finance’s projected range, while the FBR’s provisional tax collection for the 1HFY26 stood at PKR 6,154 billion, falling short of the target by PKR 336 billion. In terms of index contribution, UBL, OGDC, ENGRO, HBL, and MEBL emerged as key drivers, collectively adding 1,086.27 points to the benchmark. On the volumes front, KEL led activity with 372.71 million shares, while overall market turnover stood at 1,399.85 million shares, reflecting healthy participation
Pakistan Economy: Pakistan’s Economy Update 1QFY26 – By AHCML Research

Dec 31 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Pakistan's economy showed vigorous improvement in the 1QFY26, achieving GDP growth of 3.71%YoY. This represents a notable uptick compared to the 1.56% growth observed in the corresponding period of the prior fiscal year. The revival was largely fueled by a robust 9.38% rise in the industrial sector, accompanied by moderate agricultural growth of 2.89% and a stable 2.35% expansion in services.
  • The annual GDP growth rate for FY25 has been adjusted upward to 3.09%, a slight increase from the 3.04% approved in the 114th National Accounts Committee meeting. This revision underscores a marginally stronger economic performance than initially assessed.