Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research
Feb 3 2026
Vector Securities
Evening Note.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a positive note – By IIS Research
Feb 3 2026
Ismail Iqbal Securities
The benchmark index closed on a positive note opening high
early in the session, with momentum further supported by record monthly exports
of USD 3.06bn. Trading volumes increased to 390mn shares today as compared to
216mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 1,843
points to close at 186,901 level, up by 1.00% DoD. Banks, Fertilizer, and
Technology sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively
adding 1242 points to the index.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research
Feb 3 2026
Al Habib Capital Markets
The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) KSE-100 Index extended
its upward momentum, hitting an intraday high of 187,519 before closing at
186,901, up 1,843 points (+1.00%). The rally was driven by broad-based buying
in Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Technology, Pharmaceuticals, and Textile
composite sectors. Sentiment was further supported by strengthened trade and
investment cooperation between Pakistan and Uzbekistan, Moreover, hopes of a
de-escalation in US-Iran tensions. In terms of index contribution FFC, UBL,
ENGROH, MEBL, and SYS collectively added 734.81 points. On the volume front,
KEL led trading with 99.51 million shares, while total market turnover stood at
846.50 million shares.
Interloop Limited (ILP): Result Preview 2QFY26 – By AHCML Research
Feb 3 2026
Al Habib Capital Markets
Interloop Ltd (ILP) is scheduled to announce its financial
results for 2QFY26 on February 4, 2026. Interloop Ltd (ILP) reports robust
2QFY26 results with PAT surging 124% YoY to PKR2,580mn, driven by strong sales
growth, improved gross margins, and a significant reduction in finance costs.
However, PAT declined 7.8% QoQ due to gross margin compression from lower
international textile prices and adverse currency movements, which outweighed a
sequential sales increase and led to declines in operating and pre-tax profit.
We reiterate our Buy recommendation with Target Price of
PKR115 per share, reflecting confidence in the company's continued execution
and growth prospects.
Oil & Gas Development Company Limited (OGDC): 2QFY26 Result Preview – By Taurus Research
Feb 3 2026
Taurus Securities
2QFY26 EPS: PKR 8.56; 2QFY26 PAT down 4%QoQ.
Net sales for the quarter are expected to arrive at ~PKR
98.9Bn, down 2%YoY. Royalty expenses are expected to be recorded at ~PKR
10.9Bn, down 6%YoY supporting profitability.
Additionally, EPS for 2QFY26 is expected to arrive at PKR
8.56, down 11%YoY and 4%QoQ, mainly due to elevated exploration and operating
expenses arising from dry well outcomes at Jakhro North-1 and Khatian-1, along
with the ongoing drilling and seismic activities, which continue to weigh on
profitability.
Oil Marketing Companies: OMC sales up 10% YoY and 12% MoM in Jan 2026; 7MFY26 sales up 3% YoY – By Topline Research
Feb 3 2026
Topline Securities
Pakistan's Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) recorded sales of
1.52mn tons in Jan 2026, up 10% YoY and 12% MoM.
The YoY increase reflects economic recovery, easing
inflation, and improved control over smuggling, while the MoM rise is driven by
lower petrol and diesel prices in Jan-26 and a low base following the
nationwide strike in Dec 2025 that disrupted sales for around 10 days.
This takes total sales for 7MFY26 to 9.7mn tons, reflecting
a 3% YoY increase compared to 9.4mn tons in 7MFY25.
Lucky Cement Limited (LUCK): Analyst Briefing 2QFY26 Highlights – By AHCML Research
Feb 3 2026
Al Habib Capital Markets
LUCK has held an analyst briefing yesterday to discuss its
financial results and future outlook. Below are the key takeaways from the
briefing.
Pakistan cement domestic demand grew 12.5% YoY in 1HFY26 and
Lucky Cement 1HFY26 sales increased to 3.36mn tons vs. 2.98mn tons in 1HFY25.
Approximately 56 - 57% of Lucky Cement’s energy mix comes
from renewables, comprising 89.3 MW of solar capacity (including a planned 15
MW addition by Mar’26) and 28.8 MW of wind power. The remaining renewable
contribution is generated through WHR systems.
Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK): Cost optimization initiatives continue; Buy – By JS Research
Feb 3 2026
JS Global Capital
Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK) held its corporate briefing
yesterday to discuss 1HFY26 results and outlook. To recall, LUCK reported
standalone EPS of Rs15.86 for 1HFY26, up 68% YoY, driven by stronger core
performance and higher dividend income from subsidiaries. On a consolidated
basis, earnings increased 13% YoY to Rs30.45/ sh.
Management shared that UC 3.0 technology has been
commissioned on two production lines at the Karachi plant at a cost of
Rs3-3.5bn, with plans to expand it to the two remaining lines. The technology
is expected to improve cost efficiency by reducing coal consumption per ton of
clinker produced and allowing the use of lower-cost, high-sulphur coal, with an
estimated payback of 5 to 7 years.
Commercial Banks: Flat Earnings; Payouts Intact – By IIS Research
Feb 3 2026
Ismail Iqbal Securities
We preview the IIS Banking Universe’s 4QCY25 results, where
aggregate earnings are expected to remain largely flat QoQ at PKR 100bn, while
delivering a 16.5% YoY growth. Despite continued pressure on net interest
margins amid a declining interest-rate environment, earnings remained
resilient, supported by balance-sheet expansion, contained credit costs, and
disciplined expense management.
Net interest income is expected to increase 3.6% QoQ to PKR
340.5bn and 11.7% YoY, even as reinvestment yields remained under pressure.
Margin compression was partially offset by volumetric growth, with deposits
rising 20% YoY and 5.7% QoQ, supporting earning asset expansion. An improving
deposit mix further helped cushion margins. On a full-year basis, CY25E NII is
projected to grow 15.4% YoY, reflecting the sector’s ability to navigate a
softer rate cycle.
Commercial Banks: 4QCY25 Previews: Stable earnings; Payouts intact – By Insight Research
Feb 3 2026
Insight Securities
We estimate profitability of ISL coverage banks to inch up
by 16% YoY, while same is expected to decline by 2% QoQ. The YoY increase is
mainly driven by lower ETR for the quarter compared to SPLY, further aided by
volumetric expansion. While, QoQ decline is attributable to slight moderation
in NIMs. Net Interest Income of the sector is likely to decline as impact of
lower policy rate translates into asset yields.
However, some of the impact is likely to offset by balance
sheet expansion as deposits grew by ~2.7% QoQ. We estimate
HBL/UBL/MCB/MEBL/BAFL to post EPS of PKR11.0/13.8/11.9/12.5/3.5, respectively.
We expect dividend payouts to remain robust amid healthy profits and decent
buffer on adequacy ratios and expect HBL/UBL/MCB/ MEBL/BAFL to announce DPS of
PKR5.0/8.0/9.0/7.0/2.5, respectively.
Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK): Cost optimization initiatives continue; Buy – By JS Research
Feb 3 2026
JS Global Capital
Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK) held its corporate briefing
yesterday to discuss 1HFY26 results and outlook. To recall, LUCK reported
standalone EPS of Rs15.86 for 1HFY26, up 68% YoY, driven by stronger core
performance and higher dividend income from subsidiaries. On a consolidated
basis, earnings increased 13% YoY to Rs30.45/ sh.
Management shared that UC 3.0 technology has been
commissioned on two production lines at the Karachi plant at a cost of
Rs3-3.5bn, with plans to expand it to the two remaining lines. The technology
is expected to improve cost efficiency by reducing coal consumption per ton of
clinker produced and allowing the use of lower-cost, high-sulphur coal, with an
estimated payback of 5 to 7 years.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to consolidate above 30-DMA – By JS Research
Feb 3 2026
JS Global Capital
The KSE-100 index extended the gain to close at 185,058
level, up 883 points. Volumes stood at 740mn shares versus 805mn shares traded
previously. The index is expected to test resistance at yesterday's high of
185,612 where a break above that will resume the uptrend with 187,567 and
191,033 as the upside targets. However, any downside will find support between
181,990 and 182,800 levels, respectively. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator
have moved up, supporting a recovery view. We recommend investors to stay
cautious on the higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are
at 183,363 and 186,182 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Economy: KSE-100 stays above 180k, highest monthly ADTO since Jun-08 – By JS Research
Feb 2 2026
JS Global Capital
Fresh inflows continue to re-rate KSE100, rallying to a new
high of 189k during the month of Jan-2026. However, escalating tensions between
the US and Iran led to some correction towards the end of the month, closing
the market at 184k, still implying decent monthly return of 5.8%. Average
trading volumes were up 25% MoM in terms of shares traded while in terms of
value (US$224mn) recorded the highest levels seen since Jun-2008. Banks rallied
during the month as SBP maintained policy rate and reduced CRR by 100bps to 5%,
whereas FFC corrected 13% from its high on weaker than expected earnings and
dividend announcement. Mutual funds, corporates and retailers recorded a
combined net inflow of US$194mn, comfortably absorbing the net outflow by
foreigners, banks and insurance companies.
Secondary market T-bill yields fell to single digits on
rate-cut expectations for the first time in four years, but later reversed
after the central bank kept the policy rate unchanged at 10.5%. In its MPC
meeting, SBP cited sticky core inflation, a wide trade deficit, and
stronger-than-expected domestic growth as reasons for maintaining the status
quo. Banking stocks remained favored, as stable rates support sustainable
yields, while a CRR cut improves the availability of income generating assets.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; Consolidation expected above 30-DMA – By JS Research
Feb 2 2026
JS Global Capital
The KSE-100 index showed positive movement to close at
184,174 level, up 1,836 points DoD. Volumes stood at 805mn shares versus 933mn
shares traded previously. The index is trading above the 30-DMA which will
provide support at 181,536 level. However, a fall below that will target the
50-DMA at 175,829. Meanwhile, any upside will face resistance between 184,380
and 186,620 levels, respectively. The indicators are mixed, signaling no clear
trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side and
wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 182,141 and 186,414 levels,
respectively.
Interloop Limited (ILP): Earnings recovery to extend into 2QFY26; Buy – By JS Research
Jan 30 2026
JS Global Capital
Interloop Ltd (ILP) is scheduled to announce its 2QFY26
results on 4th Feb 2026. We expect the company to post an EPS of Rs1.49 for
2QFY26E, reflecting a 1.8x YoY increase, taking 1HFY26E EPS to Rs3.49 (+3.6x
higher YoY).
Our estimates incorporate a gradual decline in Apparel
segment’s operating losses, expected increase in Hosiery segment revenues from
capacity addition completed earlier this year, YoY expansion in margins and 35%
YoY drop in financial charges.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 reaching the 30-DMA support – By JS Research
Jan 30 2026
JS Global Capital
The KSE-100 index showed negative movement to close at
182,338 level, down 6,042 points DoD. Volumes stood at 933mn shares versus
954mn shares traded previously. The index is reaching the 30-DMA support
currently at 181,129 level. However, a fall below this level will target the
50-DMA at 175,404 level. Meanwhile, any upside will face resistance between
184,400 and 186,850 levels, respectively. The RSI and the MACD are heading
down, supporting a negative view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the
higher side and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 179,891 and
186,854 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Economy: Jan-2026: CPI likely to arrive at 5.7% - By JS Research
Jan 29 2026
JS Global Capital
Pakistan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to clock
in at 5.7% for Jan-2026. For 7MFY26E, average inflation is likely to clock in
at ~5.2%, compared to 6.6% during same period last year.
We expect food inflation to clock in at 4.7% YoY; on MoM
basis, an 80bp increase is expected, driven by increase in wheat, chicken and
fresh vegetable prices.
State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) maintained the policy rate at
10.5% in the recent MPC meeting, citing risks from sticky core inflation, wide
trade deficit, and better than anticipated domestic growth, reducing the need
for monetary easing.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to trade in a range – By JS Research
Jan 29 2026
JS Global Capital
Range bound activity continued as KSE-100 closed the session
at 188,380 level, up 178 points DoD. Volumes stood at 954mn shares versus 749mn
shares traded previously. The current pattern suggests further consolidation
ahead. Meanwhile, a fall below 188,180 (yesterday's low) will initiate a
corrective trend with 187,044 and 184,579 as the downside targets. However, any
upside will face resistance between 188,580 and 189,190 levels, followed by
191,033. The RSI has improved, while the MACD is heading down signaling no
clear trading view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side
and wait for dips. The support and resistance are at 187,978 and 188,983
levels, respectively.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By JS Research
Jan 28 2026
Vector Securities
Evening Note.
Pakistan Market Wrap: View from the Desk – By JS Research
Jan 28 2026
JS Global Capital
Buying interest in oil stocks kept sentiment positive at the
PSX today, with the benchmark KSE-100 Index closing up 177 points at 188,380. Key
oil & gas stocks - PPL, PSO, and OGDC - remained in the limelight, driving
the index to an intraday high of 189,183 points (+981). However, profit-taking
emerged at higher levels as investors preferred to stay cautious amid ongoing
tensions in the Middle East.