Commercial Banks: 4QCY25 Result Previews – By Taurus Research
Feb 2 2026
Taurus Securities
- We expect 4QCY25 TSL Banking Universe earnings to post a dip of 2% on a sequential basis on account of flattish margins overall, including the impact of slightly lower cost of funds and uptick in expected credit losses and operating expenses for the quarter. Ac cordingly, CY25 PAT for our coverage banks is expected to grow 5%YoY, arriving at ~PKR 513Bn.
- Relatively stagnant asset yields (declining in some cases) coupled with slightly lower cost of funds, we expect net-interest income to grow 3%QoQ only. Wherein, the 50bps cut in the policy rate to wards the year-end and the build-up in current accounts as well as the re-pricing of costly deposits in case of some of the banks, are the major factors likely to contribute to lower cost of funds.
