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MCB Bank Limited (MCB): Earnings soften amid margin compression and normalization of non-core income – By HMFS Research

Feb 4 2026


HMFS Research


  • MCB Bank Limited (MCB) has announced its consolidated results for the year ended December 31, 2025, reporting profit after tax of PKR 58.8bn, translating into EPS of PKR 49.29 (in line with our expectations), down ~7.6% Y/Y compared to PKR 63.5bn (EPS: PKR 53.35) in CY24. The earnings decline largely reflects pressure on net interest income, higher operating costs, and normalization in non-markup income, partially offset by lower provisioning charges. On the payout front, MCB gave PKR 36/ per share as dividend with PKR 9 distributed in its final quarter (also in line with HMFS expectations).
  • Net markup/interest income declined ~4% Y/Y to PKR 161.2bn, primarily due to, a sharp rise in interest expense (~32% Y/Y). Non-markup income rose trivially by ~0.4% Y/Y to PKR 41.4bn Aided by improved FX income (~13% Y/Y), sharp increase in Dividend income (~52% Y/Y), and Income from derivates (~3x Y/Y).
MCB Bank Limited (MCB): Earnings soften amid margin compression and normalization of non-core income – By HMFS Research

Feb 4 2026


HMFS Research


  • MCB Bank Limited (MCB) has announced its consolidated results for the year ended December 31, 2025, reporting profit after tax of PKR 58.8bn, translating into EPS of PKR 49.29 (in line with our expectations), down ~7.6% Y/Y compared to PKR 63.5bn (EPS: PKR 53.35) in CY24. The earnings decline largely reflects pressure on net interest income, higher operating costs, and normalization in non-markup income, partially offset by lower provisioning charges. On the payout front, MCB gave PKR 36/ per share as dividend with PKR 9 distributed in its final quarter (also in line with HMFS expectations).
  • Net markup/interest income declined ~4% Y/Y to PKR 161.2bn, primarily due to, a sharp rise in interest expense (~32% Y/Y). Non-markup income rose trivially by ~0.4% Y/Y to PKR 41.4bn Aided by improved FX income (~13% Y/Y), sharp increase in Dividend income (~52% Y/Y), and Income from derivates (~3x Y/Y).
MCB Bank Limited (MCB): 4QCY25 EPS clocked in at PKR11.9 – By Insight Research

Feb 4 2026


Insight Securities


  • MCB has announced its 4QCY25 result, wherein it has posted MCB (PKRmn) 4QCY25 4QCY24 3QCY25 YoY QoQ CY25 CY24 YoY consolidated PAT of PKR30.2bn (EPS: PKR11.9) vs. PAT of PKR27.2bn (EPS: PKR8.9) in SPLY. The result came inline with our expectations.
  • Net interest income recorded an increase of 4% YoY, while it remained flat on QoQ basis.
MCB Bank Limited (MCB): 3QCY25 Result Review – By AKD Research

Oct 22 2025


AKD Securities


  • MCB Bank Limited (MCB) announced its 3QCY25 financial results earlier today, wherein the bank posted NPAT of PkR15.2bn (EPS: PkR12.8) for the quarter, down 16%YoY/ up 4%QoQ. The result is slightly above our expectation. In addition to the result, bank announced an interim cash payout of PkR9.0/sh, taking nine month cash payout to PkR27.0/sh.
  • NII was recorded at PkR41.2bn in 3QCY25, down by 7%YoY/up 3%QoQ, with the increase in asset book being offset by the decline in yields.
  • Mark-up earned was recorded at PkR84.2bn, down by 23%YoY/up 2%QoQ, while mark-up expensed was recorded at PkR43bn (down 33%YoY/up 1%QoQ). Notably, the bank’s estimated NIMs declined to 5.5% in 3QCY25 compared to 7.3% in SPLY.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100Dips as Investors Lock Profits Amid Global Tensions – By HMFS Research

Feb 19 2026


HMFS Research


  • The KSE-100 index endured intense selling pressure today as investors aggressively moved to lock in gains, resulting in a sharp and broad-based correction across the equity market. The benchmark plunged to an intra-day low of 7,206 points, with heavyweights from the fertilizer, banking, and E&P sectors leading the downturn. Escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran dampened investor sentiment, triggering widespread profit-taking and amplifying volatility. By the close of the session, the index settled at 172,170, marking a record decline of 6,683 points (down 3.74%) from the previous day’s close.
  • Trading activity remained relatively moderate, with volumes recorded at 229mn shares on the KSE-100 index and 540mn shares in the overall market. The day’s volume leaders included WTL (84mn), KEL (62mn), and TSBLR1 (46mn). Going forward, market direction is likely to remain contingent upon geopolitical developments and evolving domestic economic indicators. Additionally, forthcoming result announcements from blue-chip companies could provide selective support to the benchmark. In this environment, investors are advised to remain vigilant, carefully assess market dynamics, and focus on fundamentally strong stocks offering sustainable long-term growth potential.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a sharply negative note – By IIS Research

Feb 19 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a sharply negative note, declining from the outset amid global uncertainty and rising oil prices, which weighed on investor sentiment. Trading volumes decreased to 229mn shares today as compared to 425mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index lost 6,683 points to close at 172,170 level, down by -3.74% DoD. Banks, Cement, and E&Ps sectors were the major laggards in today's session, cumulatively shedding 3506 points from the index.
Oil & Gas Development Co. (OGDC): Expanding frontier footprint; BUY reiterated – By Topline Research

Feb 19 2026


Topline Securities


  • We reiterate our BUY stance on Oil and Gas Development Company (OGDC), with a Mar-27 Target Price (TP) of Rs419/share, implying a total return of 48% (including dividend yield of 5%). The stock was highlighted as a top pick in our 2026 strategy report released on Nov 08, 2025. Since then, OGDC has delivered a return of 19%, outperforming the benchmark by 11%.
  • This is despite a recent correction of 12.1% in the stock price over the last one month, amid concerns surrounding the Reko Diq project, which we believe have overplayed.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 172,170 down 6,683 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Feb 19 2026


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market commenced the session on a negative footing and remained under sustained selling pressure throughout the day. The KSE-100 Index witnessed significant intraday volatility, fluctuating between 171,647 and 179,280 before settling at 172,170—down 6,683 points at close. Total traded volume on the main board reached 215.5 million shares, with an aggregate value of PKR 21.2 billion.
  • Key contributors to the index decline included FFC (-3.3%, - 539 points), ENGROH (-3.8%, -350 points), UBL (-2.4%, -347 points), OGDC (-4.7%, -302 points), and PPL (-5.5%, -298 points). On the activity front, KEL and BOP dominated volumes, with 58.8 million and 28.1 million shares traded, respectively.
Faysal Bank Ltd (FABL): 4QCY25 Result Review – By AKD Research

Feb 19 2026


AKD Securities


  • Faysal Bank Ltd (FABL) announced its 4QCY25 financial results earlier today, wherein the bank posted NPAT of PkR6.7bn (EPS: PkR4.4) for the quarter, up 105%YoY/34% QoQ. The result is above our expectations due to higher than anticipated gain on sale of securities. In addition to the result, bank announced a final cash payout of PkR2.0/ sh, below our expectations of PkR2.5/sh, taking CY25 cash payout to PkR6.5/sh.
  • Net spread earned was recorded at PkR17.6bn in 4QCY25, down by 13%YoY/1% QoQ due to reduction in yields along with impact of MDR introduction on saving accounts.
D.G. Khan Cement Company Limited (DGKC): Result Preview 2QFY26 – By AHCML Research

Feb 19 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • D.G. Khan Cement Company Limited is scheduled to announce its 2QFY26 results on 23 February 2026 and is expected to report a PAT of PKR 2,652 million (EPS: PKR 6.05), down 2.5% YoY.
  • Quarterly sales are projected at PKR 19,932mn, down 8.1% YoY, mainly due to lower exports after the Afghan border closure.
Attock Cement Pakistan Limited (ACPL): Result Preview 2QFY26 – By AHCML Research

Feb 19 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Attock Cement Pakistan Limited is scheduled to announce its 2QFY26 results on 23 February, 2026 and is expected to report a PAT of PKR 1,027 million (EPS: PKR 7.48), up 76.8% YoY, driven by higher retention prices, volumetric growth, and the addition of a 4.8MW wind mill.
  • Sales revenue for the quarter is expected to reach PKR 11,622 mn, up 30.20% YoY.
Faysal Bank Limited (FABL): 4QCY25 Result Review – By Taurus Research

Feb 19 2026


Taurus Securities


  • 4QCY25 EPS: PKR 4.6. 4QCY25 PAT up 95%YoY. CY25 PAT down 6%YoY. Further, FABL has also announced a final cash dividend of PKR 2.00/sh., taking the CY25 dividend payout to PKR 6.5/sh.
  • Net Spread Earned (NSE): Remained flattish compared to the previous quarter on account of pressure on margins due to plateauing asset yields and slight uptick in the cost of funds. Overall, NSE declined 1%QoQ.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 expected to test resistance at the 50-DMA – By JS Research

Feb 19 2026


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index showed sharp recovery to close at 178,853 level, up 5,703 points DoD. Volumes stood at 698mn shares versus 716mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance at 179,699 (50-DMA) where a break above that will target the 30-DMA currently at 184,064 level. However, any downside will find support between 175,800 and 177,385 levels, respectively. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator have moved up, supporting a recovery view. Investors are recommended to 'Buy on dips', with risk defined below 175,796 level. The support and resistance are at 175,796 and 180,442 levels, respectively.
Morning News: IT exports rise 20pc in 7MFY26 – By IIS Research

Feb 19 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Information technology (IT) exports surged 20 per cent year-on year (YoY) to reach $2.6 billion in the first seven months of FY26, according to a Topline Research report issued on Wednesday.
  • Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Pakistan fell sharply 51 percent during the first seven months of the current fiscal year (FY26).
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100Dips as Investors Lock Profits Amid Global Tensions – By HMFS Research

Feb 19 2026


HMFS Research


  • The KSE-100 index endured intense selling pressure today as investors aggressively moved to lock in gains, resulting in a sharp and broad-based correction across the equity market. The benchmark plunged to an intra-day low of 7,206 points, with heavyweights from the fertilizer, banking, and E&P sectors leading the downturn. Escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran dampened investor sentiment, triggering widespread profit-taking and amplifying volatility. By the close of the session, the index settled at 172,170, marking a record decline of 6,683 points (down 3.74%) from the previous day’s close.
  • Trading activity remained relatively moderate, with volumes recorded at 229mn shares on the KSE-100 index and 540mn shares in the overall market. The day’s volume leaders included WTL (84mn), KEL (62mn), and TSBLR1 (46mn). Going forward, market direction is likely to remain contingent upon geopolitical developments and evolving domestic economic indicators. Additionally, forthcoming result announcements from blue-chip companies could provide selective support to the benchmark. In this environment, investors are advised to remain vigilant, carefully assess market dynamics, and focus on fundamentally strong stocks offering sustainable long-term growth potential.
Morning News: Govt eyes over $300m from spectrum sale – By HMFS Research

Feb 19 2026


HMFS Research


  • The government is likely to receive between $300 and $ 700 million from the upcoming spectrum auction scheduled for March 10. The Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA) on Wednesday apprised the media that no changes are likely to be made in the auction schedule. The regulator expects that the auction will eventually help increase telcos’ earnings.
  • Oil prices rose by more than 3 per cent on Wednesday as traders priced in potential supply disruptions amid concerns of conflict between the United States and Iran, and after talks between Ukraine and Russia in Geneva ended without a breakthrough. Brent crude oil futures were up $2.38, or 3.53pc, at $69.80 a barrel at 12:09pm EDT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained $2.39, or 3.83pc, to $64.72. Both contracts fell to two-week lows on Tuesday.
Pakistan Fertilizers: Demand Slump Masks Strong Cumulative Rabi Performance; Urea Surpluses Persist – By HMFS Research

Feb 18 2026


HMFS Research


  • January's sharp offtake declines — while jarring on a standalone basis — should be contextualized against the unusually strong frontloading seen in Oct–Dec 2025, which inflated the base. Cumulative Rabi urea offtake of 2,744K tones is running 12% ahead of last season, a constructive signal for fertilizer companies' top lines. The structural concern remains DAP demand destruction, now down 23% on a Rabi cumulative basis, likely reflecting farmer affordability pressures and substitution toward cheaper nitrogen sources. We believe elevated closing urea stocks (~602K tones) cap near-term upside on pricing but support volume visibility into Kharif.
  • In product terms, urea offtake of 218K tones was down 51.1% Y/Y and DAP at 39K tones declined 35.8% Y/Y. Both miss comfortably on any historical comparison, though we flag that the January 2025 base was itself elevated relative to seasonal norms
Pakistan Market Wrap: Bearish Momentum Persists as Market Tests Lower Levels – By HMFS Research

Feb 17 2026


HMFS Research


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange extended its downward trajectory today, as selling pressure persisted amid cautious investor sentiment. The KSE-100 Index fell sharply, reaching an intraday low 2,761 points below yesterday’s close, before recovering slightly to close at 173,150, marking a decline of 1,304 points for the session. Despite the late rebound, the market remained under pressure, reflecting ongoing profit-taking and risk aversion among institutional participants.
  • Trading activity remained active, with 425mn shares exchanged on the KSE-100, while the broader market recorded volumes of 709mn shares. Among the most actively traded stocks, KEL led with 123mn shares, followed by BOP at 80mn and WTL at 36mn shares. Looking ahead, market direction is likely to remain sensitive to macroeconomic developments and overall investor sentiment. Additionally, uncertainty arising from ongoing geopolitical tensions may weigh on market confidence. In this environment of elevated volatility and valuations, a disciplined investment approach is recommended, with selective focus on fundamentally strong companies offering sustainable growth potential.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Valuation Reality Check: Bulls Retreat Amid Intense Profit Taking – By HMFS Research

Feb 16 2026


HMFS Research


  • The main bourse at the Pakistan Stock Exchange witnessed persistent selling pressure, extending the ongoing market downturn as investors gravitated towards profit-taking. Heightened offloading by institutional funds further accelerated the decline, with elevated valuations prompting investors to lock in gains accumulated during the recent rallies on the KSE-100 Index. The benchmark experienced a sharp intraday decline of 6,029 points before settling at 174,454, closing lower by 5,150 points at the end of the trading session. The prevailing bearish trend resulted in relatively subdued trading activity, with volumes clocking in at 379mn shares for the KSE-100 Index and 768mn shares in the overall market.
  • Volume leaders for the day included KEL (64mn), WTL (62mn), and BOP (56mn). Looking ahead, market direction is expected to remain contingent upon the country’s broader macroeconomic trajectory and evolving geopolitical developments. Potential policy measures, including the government’s consideration of tax relief for the property sector and a support package for the textile industry, may provide some stability to the index. Nonetheless, in the current volatile environment, investors are advised to maintain a cautious and disciplined approach, avoiding panic-driven decisions while capitalizing on dip buying opportunities in fundamentally strong companies with sustainable growth potential.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Market Tests 180K Level: From 2,200-Point Plunge to 909- Point Loss – By HMFS Research

Feb 13 2026


HMFS Research


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) came under significant pressure on Friday, as aggressive early-session selling dragged the benchmark KSE-100 Index down by more than 2,200 points intraday. The sharp decline reflected heightened geopolitical and domestic political uncertainties, which dampened investor risk appetite at the outset. However, value hunting and selective accumulation in the latter half of the session helped the index recover a substantial portion of its losses. The KSE-100 ultimately closed at 179,604 level, down 909 points day-on-day, signaling resilience despite elevated volatility. Despite the volatility, market activity remained robust.
  • Trading volumes on the KSE-100 reached 380mn shares, while total market volumes stood at 706mn shares—indicating continued participation and liquidity. Among volume leaders, KEL (131mn shares), PIBTL (35mn shares), and WTL (34mn shares) dominated turnover. Going forward, market direction will remain highly sensitive to regional geopolitical developments and evolving domestic macroeconomic landscape. Inflation trajectory and clarity on monetary policy will be key determinants of short-term sentiment. That said, upcoming corporate earnings announcements—particularly from index-heavy blue-chip names—along with attractive dividend yields in select sectors, are expected to offer valuation support at lower levels. Investors are advised to adopt a selective and disciplined strategy, prioritizing fundamentally strong companies with earnings visibility, stable cash flows, and resilient balance sheets. In the current environment, prudence and portfolio quality will remain critical to navigating volatility while positioning for medium-term recovery.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Profit-Taking Storm Hits Market, Benchmark Closes Lower – By HMFS Research

Feb 12 2026


HMFS Research


  • The KSE-100 index opened in the red today, setting the stage for a profittaking session as investors adopted a cautious stance. Significant selling pressure was observed, with the E&P and Fertilizer sectors bearing the brunt of the declines. The index touched an intra-day low of 4324.56 points before gradually recovering to close at 180,512.64 level, down 2,537.16 points. The downward pressure was largely influenced by rising inflation projections for Q4, estimated at 8%, which diminished expectations of a policy rate cut, creating a tense market environment.
  • Political uncertainties further added to the bearish sentiment. Trading volumes remained healthy, with 448mn shares exchanged on the KSE-100 index and 869mn shares traded across the broader market. Key volume leaders included KEL (177mn), CNERGY (52mn), and AMTEX (40mn). Looking ahead, the market’s direction will remain sensitive to regional developments and domestic economic trends. Upcoming results from blue-chip companies and dividend-yielding stocks are expected to provide support over the longer term. Investors are advised to maintain vigilance, focusing on fundamentally strong stocks with long-term growth potential.
Morning News: SBP chief expects broader recovery than IMF forecast – By HMFS Research

Feb 12 2026


HMFS Research


  • Central bank chief expects the economy to grow as much as 4.75 percent this fiscal year, pushing back against a recent downgrade by the International Monetary Fund. Governor Jameel Ahmad, in written responses to Reuters, argued the recovery is broader and more durable than headline export data suggest. The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) raised its FY26 growth forecast to 3.75–4.75 percent at its January meeting, 0.5 percentage point higher than its previous range, despite a contraction in exports in the first half of the year and a widening trade deficit.
  • The Finance Minister welcomed Pommersheim, Deputy Assistant Secretary, and appreciated the longstanding support and engagement of the United States in Pakistan’s economic development, particularly cooperation in multilateral financial frameworks. Both sides exchanged views on Pakistan’s economic outlook, reform agenda, and avenues for enhancing bilateral economic cooperation. The Finance Minister also highlighted growing investor confidence, citing recent indigenous investment initiatives and increased private-sector participation.
Pakistan Market Wrap: PSX Ends Higher Despite Choppy Trade – By HMFS Research

Feb 11 2026


HMFS Research


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) experienced a choppy yet decisively positive session, as early selling pressure dragged the index lower before a strong recovery took hold mid-morning. Sentiment improved after the State Bank of Pakistan’s governor signaled confidence in the economic outlook, projecting FY26 growth of up to 4.75%—countering the IMF’s recent downgrade. The SBP has revised its growth range upward to 3.75–4.75%, reflecting improved domestic momentum despite weaker exports and a widening trade gap in the first half of the fiscal year. Additionally, remittance inflows provided further support, rising over 11% YoY to USD 23.2bn during 7MFY26, reinforcing external account stability.
  • Strong accumulation in the final trading hours propelled the benchmark index firmly into positive territory, with the KSE-100 closing at 183,050 level—up 896 points. Market participation remained elevated, with traded volumes reaching 350mn shares on the KSE-100 and 731mn shares on the All-Share Index, reflecting sustained investor engagement. KEL (121mn shares), CNERGY (82mn shares), and FNEL (52mn shares) led the activity chart, dominating turnover for the session. In the short term, the market is likely to move within a limited range as investors assess elevated valuations alongside selective earnings strength and evolving macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape. Given this backdrop, a disciplined, stock-specific strategy remains prudent. Investors should capitalize on intermittent pullbacks to build exposure in fundamentally strong counters, while exercising caution in index-heavy names where valuations appear extended.
Morning News: Pakistan receives $3.5bn in remittances in January 2026 – By HMFS Research

Feb 11 2026


HMFS Research


  • The inflow of overseas workers’ remittances into Pakistan stood at $3.46 billion in January 2026, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) data showed on Tuesday. Remittances increased by nearly 15.4% year-on-year (YoY), compared to $3.0 billion recorded in the same month last year. Monthly remittances were down 4% from $3.59 billion in December. During the first seven months of the fiscal year (7MFY26), remittance inflows stood at $23.2 billion, up from $20.9 billion in 7MFY25, a jump of 11.3%.
  • Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Tuesday said Pakistan and Kuwait share strong brotherly relations, which were set to further strengthen through bilateral economic, investment and trade cooperation. He made the remarks while addressing a ceremony in Islamabad in connection with the issuance of a digital licence to Raqami Islamic Digital Bank. The prime minister congratulated Raqami Islamic Digital Bank on becoming the third licenced digital retail bank in Pakistan. He expressed hope that the bank would not only be Sharia-compliant but would also offer features that would significantly support and promote the growth of banking in the country. “This development will go a long way in further enhancing bilateral economic relations between Pakistan and Kuwait,” the prime minister said.
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