Pakistan Market Wrap: Investor Caution Pulls KSE-100 Lower Amid E&P and Banking Pressure – By HMFS Research

Feb 9 2026


HMFS Research


  • The equity market traded in negative territory for the majority of today’s session after a brief green start. The KSE-100 index experienced a sharp intra-day decline of 3,137 points before gradually recovering to close at 182,340, down by 1,789 points from the previous session. The primary driver of today’s sell-off was Moody’s revision of the banking sector outlook from positive to stable, which weighed heavily on investor sentiment. Profit-taking was also observed in the E&P sector, contributing to the downward pressure.
  • Trading activity remained robust, with 598mn shares exchanged on the KSE100 index and 928mn shares traded across the broader market. Top volume contributors included KEL (302mn), BOP (53mn), and AGHA (47mn). Looking ahead, the market is expected to remain sensitive to international developments and geopolitical tensions. However, supportive macroeconomic indicators could help restore bullish momentum in the near term. Investors are advised to maintain vigilance, monitor evolving market conditions, and focus on fundamentally strong stocks with long-term growth potential.
Pakistan Economy: 7MFY26 Remittances clock in at US$23.2bn; +11% YoY – By JS Research

Feb 10 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Pakistan recorded monthly remittance inflow of US$3.5bn in Jan-2026, reflecting a 15% YoY increase. Cumulatively, during 7MFY26, overseas Pakistanis remitted US$23.2bn, marking an 11% YoY growth.
  • UAE remittances have regained momentum in recent months, with their share at 20% in Jan-2026 from a low of 17% in 1HFY24. Combined inflows from KSA and the UAE accounted for 41% of total remittances in Jan-2026, although KSA inflows recorded a slight dip during the month.
  • Remittances have played a pivotal role in stabilizing Pakistan’s external account, consistently offsetting the trade deficit. Their role has become even more important as external pressures resurface.
AGP Limited (AGP): At record high – By JS Research

Feb 10 2026


JS Global Capital


  • AGP is gaining momentum as it has closed at its all-time high level. The nearest resistance is at 247 as a break above that will target 272 in the short term. Though, we believe, the stock has potential to rise towards 328 in the medium term which is a return of 40% from current rate. The support is present at 206, while the key risk is defined below the 200-DMA that is currently at 196 level. Meanwhile, a bullish candle on daily and monthly chart with MACD Buy signal adds support to the bullish view. Also, the stock is trading above the key averages keeping the overall trend bullish.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 fall below the 30-DMA; cautious – By JS Research

Feb 10 2026


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index extended the decline to close at 182,340 level, down 1,789 points. Volumes stood at 931mn shares versus 1,273mn shares traded previously. The index has dropped below the 30-DMA which will now restrict upside at 183,848; a break above this level will resume the uptrend. Meanwhile, a fall below 180,993 (yesterday's low) will target the 50-DMA at 178,067 level. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are heading down, supporting a negative view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side. The support and resistance are at 180,339 and 184,996 levels, respectively.
Morning News: govt expenses rise sharply to Rs. 10.14 trillion in first half of fy26 – By WE Research

Feb 10 2026



  • The federal government’s expenditure during July–December fy26 surged to Rs. 10.141 trillion, marking a sharp rise compared to the first quarter. Spending increased by Rs. 606.1 billion in q2, leading to deterioration in the budget balance, which fell from Rs. 2.119 trillion to Rs. 541 billion. Despite this, the government recorded a primary surplus of Rs. 4.105 trillion, indicating fiscal consolidation before debt servicing costs.
  • The government has renegotiated agreements with independent power producers (IPPs), which could reduce electricity costs by Rs. 1.4 trillion over the coming years. The revised deals aim to lower capacity payments and tariffs, easing the burden on consumers and the national exchequer. This move is expected to improve the financial sustainability of the power sector and reduce circular debt accumulation.
Askari Bank Limited (AKBL): 4QCY25 Result Review – By AKD Research

Feb 9 2026


AKD Securities


  • Askari Bank Limited (AKBL) announced its 4QCY25 financial results earlier today, wherein the bank posted NPAT of PkR4.8bn (EPS: PkR3.3) for the quarter, down 32% YoY/36%QoQ. The result is below our expectation due to higher provisioning and non markup expenses. In addition to the result, bank announced a final cash payout of PkR1.75/sh, taking full-year CY25 cash payout to PkR5.0/sh.
  • NII was recorded at PkR22.2bn in 4QCY25, up by 14%YoY/down by 3%QoQ, due to increase in asset book despite decline in yields.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a negative note – By IIS Research

Feb 9 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a negative note, facing selling pressure from early morning. Although a slight recovery from the day’s low was observed toward the end of the session Trading volumes decreased to 598mn shares today as compared to 799mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index lost 1,789 points to close at 182,340 level, down by -0.97% DoD. Banks, E&Ps, and Cement sectors were the major laggards in today's session, cumulatively shedding 1499 points from the index.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Investor Caution Pulls KSE-100 Lower Amid E&P and Banking Pressure – By HMFS Research

Feb 9 2026


HMFS Research


  • The equity market traded in negative territory for the majority of today’s session after a brief green start. The KSE-100 index experienced a sharp intra-day decline of 3,137 points before gradually recovering to close at 182,340, down by 1,789 points from the previous session. The primary driver of today’s sell-off was Moody’s revision of the banking sector outlook from positive to stable, which weighed heavily on investor sentiment. Profit-taking was also observed in the E&P sector, contributing to the downward pressure.
  • Trading activity remained robust, with 598mn shares exchanged on the KSE100 index and 928mn shares traded across the broader market. Top volume contributors included KEL (302mn), BOP (53mn), and AGHA (47mn). Looking ahead, the market is expected to remain sensitive to international developments and geopolitical tensions. However, supportive macroeconomic indicators could help restore bullish momentum in the near term. Investors are advised to maintain vigilance, monitor evolving market conditions, and focus on fundamentally strong stocks with long-term growth potential.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 182,340 down 1,789 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Feb 9 2026


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market began the session on a firm footing but failed to maintain momentum at higher levels. The KSE-100 Index remained volatile, trading within a range of 180,993 to an intraday high of 185,717, before settling at 182,340, reflecting a decline of 1,789 points. Total volumes on the main board reached 597.7 million shares, with an aggregate traded value of PKR 50.6 billion.
  • The downturn in the index was largely driven by OGDC (-3.5%, contributing -243 points), MEBL (-2.3%, -178 points), PPL (-2.9%, -173 points), UBL (-1.2%, -172 points), and LUCK (-2.4%, -166 points). On the activity front, KEL and BOP dominated trading volumes, recording 302 million and 53 million shares, respectively.
Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): 4QCY25 Result Review – By Insight Research

Feb 9 2026


Insight Securities


  • Profit earned fell by ~7% YoY, amid falling yields, while same is up by 6% QoQ, possibly attributable to volumetric growth. To highlight, bank’s deposit inch up ~4% QoQ. Similarly, net spread earned inch up by ~3% QoQ.
  • Other income recorded a decline of 36%/27% YoY/QoQ. The YoY decline is attributable to absence of gain on securities during 4QCY25, compared to PKR3.2bn gain in SPLY. While QoQ decline is mainly attributable to loss of ~PKR500mn on FX income coupled with flattish fee income.
Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL): 4QCY25 Result Review – By Taurus Research

Feb 9 2026


Taurus Securities


  • 4QCY25 EPS: PKR 11.9. 4QCY25 PAT down 16%YoY. CY25 PAT down 11%YoY. Further, MEBL has also announced a final cash dividend of PKR 7.00/sh., taking the CY25 dividend payout to PKR 28.0/sh. – in-line with expectations.
  • Net Spread Earned (NSE): Down 12%YoY/Up 3%QoQ. Wherein, the sequential uptick can be attributed to higher yields on earning assets, and surge in OMO related borrowings leading to higher arbitrage gains overall.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Investor Caution Pulls KSE-100 Lower Amid E&P and Banking Pressure – By HMFS Research

Feb 9 2026


HMFS Research


  • The equity market traded in negative territory for the majority of today’s session after a brief green start. The KSE-100 index experienced a sharp intra-day decline of 3,137 points before gradually recovering to close at 182,340, down by 1,789 points from the previous session. The primary driver of today’s sell-off was Moody’s revision of the banking sector outlook from positive to stable, which weighed heavily on investor sentiment. Profit-taking was also observed in the E&P sector, contributing to the downward pressure.
  • Trading activity remained robust, with 598mn shares exchanged on the KSE100 index and 928mn shares traded across the broader market. Top volume contributors included KEL (302mn), BOP (53mn), and AGHA (47mn). Looking ahead, the market is expected to remain sensitive to international developments and geopolitical tensions. However, supportive macroeconomic indicators could help restore bullish momentum in the near term. Investors are advised to maintain vigilance, monitor evolving market conditions, and focus on fundamentally strong stocks with long-term growth potential.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Market Under Pressure: Geopolitical Uncertainty Sparks Sharp KSE-100Decline – By HMFS Research

Feb 6 2026


HMFS Research


  • The KSE-100 Index witnessed a sharp correction during today’s trading session, as investor sentiment weakened amid heightened geopolitical concerns, profit-taking at elevated valuations, and a broader risk-off environment. Rising uncertainty and cautious positioning triggered broad based selling across key sectors, exerting sustained pressure on market performance throughout the session. Consequently, the benchmark index closed at 184,129.58 points, registering a steep decline of 3,702.5 points from the previous close.
  • Despite the negative close, trading activity remained robust, with 799mn shares traded on the KSE-100 Index and 1.3bn shares exchanged across the All-Share Index, indicating sustained investor participation and active portfolio rebalancing. KEL (518mn shares) led volumes, followed by NBP (51mn shares) and FNEL (50mn shares). Looking ahead, market direction is expected to remain volatile in the near term, with sentiment likely to be shaped by geopolitical developments, macroeconomic signals, and the ongoing corporate earnings season. While short-term pressure may persist, medium-term fundamentals remain supportive, with selective opportunities likely to emerge in fundamentally strong stocks.
MCB Bank Limited (MCB): Earnings soften amid margin compression and normalization of non-core income – By HMFS Research

Feb 4 2026


HMFS Research


  • MCB Bank Limited (MCB) has announced its consolidated results for the year ended December 31, 2025, reporting profit after tax of PKR 58.8bn, translating into EPS of PKR 49.29 (in line with our expectations), down ~7.6% Y/Y compared to PKR 63.5bn (EPS: PKR 53.35) in CY24. The earnings decline largely reflects pressure on net interest income, higher operating costs, and normalization in non-markup income, partially offset by lower provisioning charges. On the payout front, MCB gave PKR 36/ per share as dividend with PKR 9 distributed in its final quarter (also in line with HMFS expectations).
  • Net markup/interest income declined ~4% Y/Y to PKR 161.2bn, primarily due to, a sharp rise in interest expense (~32% Y/Y). Non-markup income rose trivially by ~0.4% Y/Y to PKR 41.4bn Aided by improved FX income (~13% Y/Y), sharp increase in Dividend income (~52% Y/Y), and Income from derivates (~3x Y/Y).
Pakistan Market Wrap: Bullish Momentum Holds Firm – By HMFS Research

Feb 4 2026


HMFS Research


  • The KSE-100 Index maintained its bullish trajectory during today’s trading session, supported by strengthening economic indicators, optimism surrounding the potential inclusion of Pakistani equities in the JP Morgan Frontier Markets Index, expanding export volumes to China, and improving bilateral trade relations with key partner economies. The positive sentiment kept investor participation buoyant, enabling the benchmark to close at 187,832, marking a gain of 931 points from the previous session.
  • Trading activity remained robust, with 768mn shares exchanged on the KSE-100 Index and 1.19bn shares traded across the broader market. KEL (591mn shares) emerged as the top volume leader, followed by WAVESAPP (36mn shares) and FNEL (33mn shares). Market momentum is expected to remain constructive, supported by the ongoing corporate results season as investors recalibrate portfolios in response to earnings announcements. While elevated valuations may trigger intermittent profit-taking spells, the overall market outlook remains favourable. Investors are advised to remain vigilant, closely monitor evolving developments, and focus on fundamentally strong stocks offering sustainable long-term growth potential.
Interloop Limited (ILP): Strong Earnings Beat and Enhanced Shareholder Returns – By HMFS Research

Feb 4 2026


HMFS Research


  • Interloop Limited reported earnings well above HMFS expectations of PKR 1.9/share, delivering an EPS of PKR 2.47, marking an impressive 201% year-on-year growth. The company also declared a dividend of PKR 2/share, reinforcing shareholder value.
  • Revenue increased modestly by 3%, while gross profit expanded by 22%, supported by stable cost of sales. Operating and selling expenses declined, further strengthening operational efficiency.
Morning News: JPMorgan plans frontier bond index – By HMFS Research

Feb 4 2026


HMFS Research


  • JPMorgan is finalizing plans for a new index to track frontier market local currency bonds, investors consulted on the details told Reuters, as the bank looks to satisfy a growing appetite for riskier and more diversified high-yield debt. The move, which comes 15 years after the Wall Street bank launched its hard-currency Next Generation Markets Index (NEXGEM) frontier index, coincides with the year-long slump in the dollar and some extraordinary recent rallies in markets like Argentina, Ecuador and Uganda.
  • JPMorgan declined to comment on the plans. Six leading money managers who spoke to Reuters on condition of anonymity said the bank’s engagements with them reached an advanced stage in the second half of last year. The proposed index includes 20 to 25 countries, with Egypt, Vietnam, Kenya, Morocco, Kazakhstan, Pakistan, Nigeria, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh having the largest “weightings”, three of the managers said.
Ghani Dairies Limited IPO: Capitalizing on Pakistan’s Growing Dairy Market – By HMFS Research

Jan 30 2026


HMFS Research


  • Ghani Dairies Limited (GDL) is preparing for an Initial Public Offering (IPO), providing investors exposure to Pakistan’s formalized dairy supply chain, in contrast to traditional commodity-based milk businesses. The company operates a fully mechanized corporate dairy farm, supplying premium-quality raw milk to leading processors, including Nestlé Pakistan, Fauji Foods, and IRC Dairy Products.
  • The IPO is priced at a floor of PKR 24.00 per share, translating into a P/E of 17.56x on FY25 earnings. Applying the same multiple to the post-IPO forecasted FY27 EPS of PKR 3.80 yields a fair value of ~PKR 67 per share, representing ~178% upside from the floor price and ~98.6% from the maximum book building cap of PKR 33.60. The projected FY27 earnings growth is underpinned by near-term capacity expansion, which is expected to nearly double milk production, secured recurring supply contracts with leading processors providing predictable revenue streams, and operational leverage from scale, which should enhance margins further. By funding herd expansion.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Bulls Regain Control as Market Breaks Higher – By HMFS Research

Jan 30 2026


HMFS Research


  • The equity market traded firmly in the green today, with the benchmark index surging to an intra-day high of 4,281 points. Sentiment was underpinned by improving economic indicators alongside the conclusion of the rollover week, which helped restore risk appetite across the board. The KSE-100 ultimately closed at 184,174, marking a gain of 1,836 points from the previous session.
  • Trading activity remained robust, with volumes of 344mn shares on the KSE-100 and 802mn shares across the broader market. Volume leaders included KEL (81mn), HASCOL (66mn), and WTL (54mn). Going forward, market direction will be shaped by upcoming earnings announcements from blue-chip companies, key macroeconomic developments, and evolving geopolitical dynamics—particularly on the US–Iran front. In this backdrop, investors are advised to remain vigilant and focus on fundamentally sound stocks offering long-term growth potential.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Risk-Off Sentiment Triggers Sharp Correction – By HMFS Research

Jan 29 2026


HMFS Research


  • Pakistan’s equity market witnessed a sharp correction on Wednesday, with the benchmark KSE-100 Index shedding over 6,000 points as escalating US–Iran tensions triggered a broad risk-off move across assets. The index closed at 182,338, down 6,042 points (-3.21% d/d). Selling pressure was concentrated in index-heavy names, particularly across the fertilizer and banking sectors, as investors moved to lock in gains after the recent rally. Market participation weakened, with volumes coming off prior levels. The KSE-100 and All-Share indices recorded traded volumes of 414mn and 926mn shares, respectively. Activity was largely confined, with KEL (104mn shares), WTL (48mn), and BOP (31mn) emerging as the most actively traded stocks.
  • Looking ahead, near-term volatility is likely to persist, as global geopolitical developments continue to dominate sentiment, while the local market grapples with stretched valuations and profit-taking pressures following the recent sharp run-up. In the absence of a clear positive catalyst, further downside or consolidation cannot be ruled out. Investors are advised to remain selective and avoid chasing momentum, with a preference for high-quality, fundamentally sound stocks offering earnings visibility and balance sheet strength. Any further weakness may be better utilised to gradually build positions, rather than adopting an aggressive risk-on stance at current levels.
Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited (FFC): 4QCY25E – By HMFS Research

Jan 28 2026


HMFS Research


  • Fauji Fertilizer Company Limited (FFC) is expected to report an unconsolidated EPS of PKR ~17.5/ per share, along with a final dividend of PKR 12.5/ per share, in its Board Meeting scheduled for tomorrow, announcing year end results. We base the improvement in bottom-line on the back of improved farm economics post floods and inclement weather conditions, and most importantly recovery in the DAP business of the Company followed closely by Urea.