Pakistan Economy: Sequential dip likely for Banks – By JS Research

Feb 11 2026


JS Global Capital


  • We preview 4QCY25 results for Pakistan banks which are expected to broadly report YoY decline in core income due to NIMs contraction amid declining yields.
  • Quarterly profits are likely to face pressure from weaker core income and declining asset yields, though non-interest income should offer partial support. Dividend policies for 4QCY25 are expected to be maintained.
Bank AL Habib (BAHL): Result Review – By Topline Research

Feb 11 2026


Topline Securities


  • Bank AL Habib (BAHL) announced its 4Q2025 result today, where the bank recorded consolidated earnings of Rs5.8bn (EPS of Rs5.20), down 23% YoY and 16% QoQ.
  • The 4Q2025 result came lower than industry expectations due to higher-than-expected operating expenses.
  • We maintain a buy stance on BAHL, with the stock currently trading at a 2026E PE ratio of 7.2x, PBV ratio of 1.2x, and dividend yield of 9.0%.
Pakistan Market Wrap: PSX Ends Higher Despite Choppy Trade – By HMFS Research

Feb 11 2026


HMFS Research


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) experienced a choppy yet decisively positive session, as early selling pressure dragged the index lower before a strong recovery took hold mid-morning. Sentiment improved after the State Bank of Pakistan’s governor signaled confidence in the economic outlook, projecting FY26 growth of up to 4.75%—countering the IMF’s recent downgrade. The SBP has revised its growth range upward to 3.75–4.75%, reflecting improved domestic momentum despite weaker exports and a widening trade gap in the first half of the fiscal year. Additionally, remittance inflows provided further support, rising over 11% YoY to USD 23.2bn during 7MFY26, reinforcing external account stability.
  • Strong accumulation in the final trading hours propelled the benchmark index firmly into positive territory, with the KSE-100 closing at 183,050 level—up 896 points. Market participation remained elevated, with traded volumes reaching 350mn shares on the KSE-100 and 731mn shares on the All-Share Index, reflecting sustained investor engagement. KEL (121mn shares), CNERGY (82mn shares), and FNEL (52mn shares) led the activity chart, dominating turnover for the session. In the short term, the market is likely to move within a limited range as investors assess elevated valuations alongside selective earnings strength and evolving macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape. Given this backdrop, a disciplined, stock-specific strategy remains prudent. Investors should capitalize on intermittent pullbacks to build exposure in fundamentally strong counters, while exercising caution in index-heavy names where valuations appear extended.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 183,050 up 896 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Feb 11 2026


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market commenced the session on a strong footing and remained largely steady throughout the day. However, the KSE-100 Index witnessed notable intraday volatility, fluctuating between a low of 182,055 and a high of 183,802 before settling at 183,050, reflecting a gain of 896 points. Total volumes on the main board reached 349.6 million shares, with an aggregate traded value of PKR 25 billion.
  • Key contributors to the index’s positive performance were ENGROH (4.4%, 412 points), LUCK (2.5%, 172 points), FABL (9.1%, 126 points), MCB (2.1%, 124 points), and BAFL (2.9%, 86 points). In terms of trading activity, KEL and CNERGY led the volumes chart, recording 120.6 million and 81.6 million shares traded, respectively.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a positive note – By IIS Research

Feb 11 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a positive note after an initial dip at the start of the session. Trading activity remained largely stock specific in the absence of any strong positive trigger, as investors positioned themselves ahead of the ongoing results season. Trading volumes decreased to 350mn shares today as compared to 636mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 896 points to close at 183,050 level, up by 0.49% DoD. Banks, Cement, and Power sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively adding 619 points to the index.
Pakistan Chemicals: Profitability to remain muted – By Insight Research

Feb 11 2026


Insight Securities


  • LOTCHEM is expected to post a PAT of PKR263mn (EPS: PKR0.17) in 4QCY25 vs. LAT of PKR19mn (LPS: PKR0.01) in SPLY and PAT of PKR94mn (EPS: PKR0.06) in preceding quarter. To note, International PTA prices plunged by ~4%/2% YoY/QoQ to clock in at ~US$644/ton. Consequently, core delta declined by ~16%/5% YoY/QoQ to clock in at ~US$86/ton. Company’s topline is expected to decrease by 4% YoY/QoQ to clock in at PKR19.6bn in 4QCY25 amid lower product prices. Gross margins of the company are estimated to clock in at 2.6% in 4QCY25, witnessing an increase of ~180bps YoY amid one-off in SPLY.
  • EPCL is expected to post a consolidated LAT of PKR1.2bn (LPS: PKR1.30) in 4QCY25 vs. PAT of PKR3.4bn (EPS: PKR3.75) in SPLY and LAT of PKR0.2bn (LPS: PKR0.24) in preceding quarter. Company’s topline is expected to decrease by 15%/10% YoY/QoQ to clock in at PKR18.0bn in 4QCY25, amid lower product price. Gross margins are estimated to clock in at 6.2% in 4QCY25. To note, International PVC prices decline by ~19%/7% YoY/QoQ to clock in at ~US$649/ton. Consequently, PVC-Ethylene margins witnessed a decline of ~16%/1% YoY/QoQ. Admin expense is expected to increase by 26% YoY amid higher volumetric sales, whereas same is expected to go down by ~10% QoQ. Financial charges are anticipated to decrease by 24%/6% YoY/QoQ to clock in at PKR1.3bn, primarily due to decline in interest rates and debt level.
Pioneer Cement Limited (PIOC): 2QFY26 EPS clocks in at PKR 7.04, down 9% YoY – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Feb 11 2026


Alpha Capital


  • PIOC announced its 2QFY26 results today wherein the company reported an EPS of PKR 7.04, down 9% YoY. This takes cumulative earnings for 1HFY26 to PKR 12.65/share, up 4% YoY. Contrary to expectations, no dividend was announced along with the results.
  • Net sales for 2QFY26 clock in at PKR 10.3bn, up 15% YoY from PKR 8.9bn SPLY, driven by a 28% YoY increase in local dispatches to ~0.7mn tons, outpacing the North’s 12% YoY growth and offsetting a 4% YoY decline in net retention.
  • Gross margins for 2QFY26 clocked in at 30%, down 12 ppts YoY primarily reflecting the effect of increased royalty charge on 6% of ex-factory price instead of net retention. The compression in margins also reflect upward pressure on fuel cost driven by Afghan border closure.
Pakistan Economy: Sequential dip likely for Banks – By JS Research

Feb 11 2026


JS Global Capital


  • We preview 4QCY25 results for Pakistan banks which are expected to broadly report YoY decline in core income due to NIMs contraction amid declining yields.
  • Quarterly profits are likely to face pressure from weaker core income and declining asset yields, though non-interest income should offer partial support. Dividend policies for 4QCY25 are expected to be maintained.
Lucky Core Industries Limited (LCI): Corporate Briefing Notes – By Chase Research

Feb 13 2026



  • Lucky Core Industries Limited reported earnings per share (EPS) of PKR 120.62 in FY24, compared to PKR 149.12 in FY23. In 1QFY25, the company posted an EPS of PKR 28.10, slightly higher than PKR 27.21 in the same period last year.
  • The polyester and pharmaceutical segments performed well during the year, driving improved operating performance.
Pakistan Economy: MSCI Feb’26 Quarterly Index Review – By Foundation Research

Feb 11 2026


Foundation Securities


  • MSCI, the leading global provider of research-based indexes and analytics, earlier today announced the results of its Feb’26 Frontier Markets Quarterly Index Review. All changes will be implemented from 27th February 2026.
  • We believe the slightly decreased weight of Pakistan in MSCI Frontier Market Indices after the above deletions would have a mildly negative impact on foreign flows. To highlight, foreigners have been net sellers of US$337.0Mn FY26TD against foreign selling of US$304.4Mn in FY25.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; 30-DMA to restrict upside – By JS Research

Feb 11 2026


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index witnessed a volatile session to close at 182,154 level, down 187 points. Volumes stood at 1,062mn shares versus 931mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test support at 181,499 (yesterday's low) where a fall below that will target the 50-DMA at 178,377 level. However, any upside will face resistance at the 30-DMA that is currently at 184,123 level. A break above that will cause the uptrend to resume. The RSI and the MACD are moving down, supporting a negative view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side. The support and resistance are at 181,363 and 183,080 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Economy: Sequential dip likely for Banks – By JS Research

Feb 11 2026


JS Global Capital


  • We preview 4QCY25 results for Pakistan banks which are expected to broadly report YoY decline in core income due to NIMs contraction amid declining yields.
  • Quarterly profits are likely to face pressure from weaker core income and declining asset yields, though non-interest income should offer partial support. Dividend policies for 4QCY25 are expected to be maintained.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100; 30-DMA to restrict upside – By JS Research

Feb 11 2026


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index witnessed a volatile session to close at 182,154 level, down 187 points. Volumes stood at 1,062mn shares versus 931mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test support at 181,499 (yesterday's low) where a fall below that will target the 50-DMA at 178,377 level. However, any upside will face resistance at the 30-DMA that is currently at 184,123 level. A break above that will cause the uptrend to resume. The RSI and the MACD are moving down, supporting a negative view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side. The support and resistance are at 181,363 and 183,080 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Market Wrap: View from the Desk – By JS Research

Feb 10 2026


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index witnessed a volatile session today, losing 187 points to close at 182,153 level. Investor sentiment was ignited by the State Bank of Pakistan’s upward revision of the FY26 GDP growth forecast to arrange of 3.75% – 4.75%, coupled with robust January remittance inflows of US$ 3.5 billion. Declining inflation and easing monetary policy suggest further upside, though the index may face technical resistance near the 185,000mark.
Pakistan Economy: 7MFY26 Remittances clock in at US$23.2bn; +11% YoY – By JS Research

Feb 10 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Pakistan recorded monthly remittance inflow of US$3.5bn in Jan-2026, reflecting a 15% YoY increase. Cumulatively, during 7MFY26, overseas Pakistanis remitted US$23.2bn, marking an 11% YoY growth.
  • UAE remittances have regained momentum in recent months, with their share at 20% in Jan-2026 from a low of 17% in 1HFY24. Combined inflows from KSA and the UAE accounted for 41% of total remittances in Jan-2026, although KSA inflows recorded a slight dip during the month.
  • Remittances have played a pivotal role in stabilizing Pakistan’s external account, consistently offsetting the trade deficit. Their role has become even more important as external pressures resurface.
AGP Limited (AGP): At record high – By JS Research

Feb 10 2026


JS Global Capital


  • AGP is gaining momentum as it has closed at its all-time high level. The nearest resistance is at 247 as a break above that will target 272 in the short term. Though, we believe, the stock has potential to rise towards 328 in the medium term which is a return of 40% from current rate. The support is present at 206, while the key risk is defined below the 200-DMA that is currently at 196 level. Meanwhile, a bullish candle on daily and monthly chart with MACD Buy signal adds support to the bullish view. Also, the stock is trading above the key averages keeping the overall trend bullish.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100 fall below the 30-DMA; cautious – By JS Research

Feb 10 2026


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 index extended the decline to close at 182,340 level, down 1,789 points. Volumes stood at 931mn shares versus 1,273mn shares traded previously. The index has dropped below the 30-DMA which will now restrict upside at 183,848; a break above this level will resume the uptrend. Meanwhile, a fall below 180,993 (yesterday's low) will target the 50-DMA at 178,067 level. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are heading down, supporting a negative view. We recommend investors to stay cautious on the higher side. The support and resistance are at 180,339 and 184,996 levels, respectively.
Pakistan Autos: Sales poised for strongest month in ~3.5 years – By JS Research

Feb 9 2026


JS Global Capital


  • We expect, the three major auto players including Indus Motor Company Ltd (INDU), Honda Atlas Cars Ltd (HCAR) and Pak Suzuki Motor Company Ltd to post a cumulative growth of 43% YoY to ~19.7k units in Jan-2026, taking volumes to their highest level since Jun-22.
  • On a MoM basis, volumes are expected to surge 82%, largely due to the January effect as consumers defer purchases in Dec-25 to buy the new year's model. In 7MFY26, volumes have grown 42% YoY, with broad-based recovery across all three players, led by HCAR and INDU at 68% and 61%, respectively.
Pakistan Economy: Exports boost Jan-2026 cement dispatches – By JS Research

Feb 6 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Cement dispatches stood at 4.54mn tons in Jan-2026, up 13% YoY, primarily driven by a 61% YoY surge in export dispatches, led by a 79% YoY increase from the South, while North exports remained nil for the 3rd consecutive month. Local dispatches, meanwhile, saw a slowdown in momentum, with growth moderating to 4% YoY during the month.
  • In 7MFY26, total cement dispatches rose 11% YoY, supported by a 12% YoY increase in local dispatches. Export growth, however, remained muted at 3% YoY, as a 10% YoY rise in South exports was largely offset by a 23% YoY decline in North exports owing to the Afghan border closure.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Formation suggests further upside – By JS Research

Feb 6 2026


JS Global Capital


  • KSE-100 index extended the gain to close at 187,832 level, up 931 points DoD. Volumes stood at 1,195mn shares versus 849mn shares traded previously. The index is expected to test resistance at 188,312 (Wednesday's high) where a break above that will target the all-time high at 191,033 level. However, any downside will find support between 186,420 and 187,130 levels, respectively. The RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator have continued to rise, supporting a positive view. We recommend investors to 'Buy on dips', keeping stoploss below 186,428 level. The support and resistance are at 187,130 and 188,423 levels, respectively.
Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK): Cost optimization initiatives continue; Buy – By JS Research

Feb 3 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK) held its corporate briefing yesterday to discuss 1HFY26 results and outlook. To recall, LUCK reported standalone EPS of Rs15.86 for 1HFY26, up 68% YoY, driven by stronger core performance and higher dividend income from subsidiaries. On a consolidated basis, earnings increased 13% YoY to Rs30.45/ sh.
  • Management shared that UC 3.0 technology has been commissioned on two production lines at the Karachi plant at a cost of Rs3-3.5bn, with plans to expand it to the two remaining lines. The technology is expected to improve cost efficiency by reducing coal consumption per ton of clinker produced and allowing the use of lower-cost, high-sulphur coal, with an estimated payback of 5 to 7 years.