Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Feb 12 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The benchmark KSE-100 Index witnessed a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 182,757 before closing at 180,513 down 2,537 points (-1.39%) amid profit-taking. Broad-based selling was observed across key sectors, particularly Banks, Oil & Gas Exploration, Technology & Communication, Cement, and Power Generation & Distribution. Market sentiment remained under pressure due to EFERT’s below expected results. Additionally, Barrick Gold Corporation’s Reko Diq copper-gold project in Balochistan faces uncertainty as the company reviews its development timeline and capital budget amid escalating security risks. Among major laggards, PPL, EFERT, HUBC, SYS, and OGDC collectively erased 902 points from the index. On the volume front, K-Electric (KEL) led with 176.91 million shares traded, while total market turnover stood at 868.95 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Feb 12 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The benchmark KSE-100 Index witnessed a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 182,757 before closing at 180,513 down 2,537 points (-1.39%) amid profit-taking. Broad-based selling was observed across key sectors, particularly Banks, Oil & Gas Exploration, Technology & Communication, Cement, and Power Generation & Distribution. Market sentiment remained under pressure due to EFERT’s below expected results. Additionally, Barrick Gold Corporation’s Reko Diq copper-gold project in Balochistan faces uncertainty as the company reviews its development timeline and capital budget amid escalating security risks. Among major laggards, PPL, EFERT, HUBC, SYS, and OGDC collectively erased 902 points from the index. On the volume front, K-Electric (KEL) led with 176.91 million shares traded, while total market turnover stood at 868.95 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Profit-Taking Storm Hits Market, Benchmark Closes Lower – By HMFS Research

Feb 12 2026


HMFS Research


  • The KSE-100 index opened in the red today, setting the stage for a profittaking session as investors adopted a cautious stance. Significant selling pressure was observed, with the E&P and Fertilizer sectors bearing the brunt of the declines. The index touched an intra-day low of 4324.56 points before gradually recovering to close at 180,512.64 level, down 2,537.16 points. The downward pressure was largely influenced by rising inflation projections for Q4, estimated at 8%, which diminished expectations of a policy rate cut, creating a tense market environment.
  • Political uncertainties further added to the bearish sentiment. Trading volumes remained healthy, with 448mn shares exchanged on the KSE-100 index and 869mn shares traded across the broader market. Key volume leaders included KEL (177mn), CNERGY (52mn), and AMTEX (40mn). Looking ahead, the market’s direction will remain sensitive to regional developments and domestic economic trends. Upcoming results from blue-chip companies and dividend-yielding stocks are expected to provide support over the longer term. Investors are advised to maintain vigilance, focusing on fundamentally strong stocks with long-term growth potential.
The Hub Power Company Limited (HUBC): Steady Earnings Despite Mixed Generation Trends – By IIS Research

Feb 12 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • As per NEPRA, total power generation in the country during 1HFY26 stood at 67,357 GWh, reflecting a 1.1% YoY increase. This growth was primarily driven by lower consumer tariffs following major PPA revisions and suspensions last year, along with government efforts to bring consumers back onto the national grid.
  • Within HUBCO’s portfolio, plant wise generation showed a mixed trend during the quarter. TEL’s load factor improved to 64% (from 58% SPLY), while Narowal’s utilization increased to 2% (from 0.1%). In contrast, CPHGC and TNPTL recorded lower utilization, declining to 1% (from 5%) and 51% (from 59%), respectively. Laraib’s generation declined to 101 GWh, reflecting seasonal trend. On the automobile front, PAMA data indicates consistent growth in auto sales, and we expect a similar trend for mega motors. The company has also launched two new models Sealion 7 and Atto 2 in Jan ‘26, profit contributions are expected to materialize going forward.
Pakistan Cements: 2QFY26 result previews – By JS Research

Feb 12 2026


JS Global Capital


  • We present 2QFY26 earnings expectations for D.G. Khan Cement Ltd (DGKC), Cherat Cement Ltd (CHCC), and Kohat Cement Ltd (KOHC).
  • We expect DGKC to report EPS of Rs6.98 in 2QFY26E, up 13% YoY, supported by improved margins on the back of softer coal prices and a significant reduction in financial charges amid aggressive deleveraging and monetary easing.
  • In contrast, CHCC and KOHC are expected to witness earnings decline of 20% and 22% YoY in 2QFY26E, with EPS projected at Rs9.4 and Rs2.91, respectively, primarily due to margin compression amid lower YoY retention prices in the North and relatively higher coal costs owing to the Afghan border closure.
Bank of Punjab Limited (BOP): Company Update – By Taurus Research

Feb 12 2026


Taurus Securities


  • We upgrade our Dec’26 target price for the Bank of Punjab Lim ited (BOP) to PKR 50/sh. (PKR 46/sh. earlier) following the slight revision in our valuation assumptions, as well as incorporating the Bank’s upcoming 4QCY25 results (scheduled for February 17, 2026); maintaining our ’BUY’ stance offering an upside of 31% over the LDCP, coupled with a CY26E dividend yield of 8% - translating into a total return of 39%.
  • 4QCY25 consolidated earnings to arrive at PKR 7.1Bn (EPS PKR 2.2/sh.). Wherein, we anticipate the Bank’s Net Interest Margin to showcase QoQ improvement on account of the declining cost of funds mainly, attributable to the re-pricing of a substantial portion of the Bank’s term deposits i.e. 66% of the TDR portfolio, as per the management guidance.
Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): 4Q2025 EPS at Rs6.26, down 19% YoY – By Topline Research

Feb 12 2026


Topline Securities


  • Engro Fertilizers (EFERT) announced its 4Q2025 financial result today, wherein the company recorded consolidated quarterly profit of Rs8.4bn (EPS: Rs6.26), down 19% YoY and up 44% QoQ. The result came lower than the industry’s expectations due to lower-than-expected gross margins along with the one-time recognition of super tax charge amounting to ~Rs2bn in 4Q2025.
  • This takes 2025 earnings to Rs22.6bn (EPS: Rs16.95), down 20% YoY.
  • Net sales of the company increased by 20% YoY and 86% QoQ at Rs102bn in 4Q2025 due to the surge in Urea and DAP offtakes.
Engro Fertilizers Limited (EFERT): 4QCY25 EPS clocked in at PKR6.26 – By Insight Research

Feb 12 2026


Insight Securities


  • EFERT has announced its 4QCY25 result, wherein company has posted consolidated PAT of PKR8.4bn (EPS: PKR6.26) vs. PAT of PKR10.2bn (EPS: PKR7.70) in SPLY. The result is below our expectation, mainly due to lower than estimated gross margins and higher ETR.
  • Revenue for the quarter witness an increase of ~20%/86% YoY/QoQ to clock in at PKR101.7bn, attributable to higher volumetric sales.
  • Gross margins decreased by ~7ppts/5ppts YoY/QoQ, to clock in at ~28% in 4QCY25, possibly due to higher than estimated discounts on urea.
Morning News: SBP chief expects broader recovery than IMF forecast – By HMFS Research

Feb 12 2026


HMFS Research


  • Central bank chief expects the economy to grow as much as 4.75 percent this fiscal year, pushing back against a recent downgrade by the International Monetary Fund. Governor Jameel Ahmad, in written responses to Reuters, argued the recovery is broader and more durable than headline export data suggest. The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) raised its FY26 growth forecast to 3.75–4.75 percent at its January meeting, 0.5 percentage point higher than its previous range, despite a contraction in exports in the first half of the year and a widening trade deficit.
  • The Finance Minister welcomed Pommersheim, Deputy Assistant Secretary, and appreciated the longstanding support and engagement of the United States in Pakistan’s economic development, particularly cooperation in multilateral financial frameworks. Both sides exchanged views on Pakistan’s economic outlook, reform agenda, and avenues for enhancing bilateral economic cooperation. The Finance Minister also highlighted growing investor confidence, citing recent indigenous investment initiatives and increased private-sector participation.
Morning News: Saudi Arabia eyes Pakistan’s rice sector – By IIS Research

Feb 12 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Saudi Arabia has shown interest in investing in corporate farming in Pakistan’s rice sector to ensure a stable, reliable supply of rice through structured, long-term arrangements between the two countries.
  • The Saudi government has dispatched a high-level delegation to Pakistan to explore avenues of cooperation in various sectors, apparently to finalise a priority agenda ahead of the expected visit of Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman.
Bank AL Habib (BAHL): Result Review – By Topline Research

Feb 11 2026


Topline Securities


  • Bank AL Habib (BAHL) announced its 4Q2025 result today, where the bank recorded consolidated earnings of Rs5.8bn (EPS of Rs5.20), down 23% YoY and 16% QoQ.
  • The 4Q2025 result came lower than industry expectations due to higher-than-expected operating expenses.
  • We maintain a buy stance on BAHL, with the stock currently trading at a 2026E PE ratio of 7.2x, PBV ratio of 1.2x, and dividend yield of 9.0%.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Feb 12 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The benchmark KSE-100 Index witnessed a volatile session, hitting an intraday high of 182,757 before closing at 180,513 down 2,537 points (-1.39%) amid profit-taking. Broad-based selling was observed across key sectors, particularly Banks, Oil & Gas Exploration, Technology & Communication, Cement, and Power Generation & Distribution. Market sentiment remained under pressure due to EFERT’s below expected results. Additionally, Barrick Gold Corporation’s Reko Diq copper-gold project in Balochistan faces uncertainty as the company reviews its development timeline and capital budget amid escalating security risks. Among major laggards, PPL, EFERT, HUBC, SYS, and OGDC collectively erased 902 points from the index. On the volume front, K-Electric (KEL) led with 176.91 million shares traded, while total market turnover stood at 868.95 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Feb 10 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The benchmark KSE-100 Index witnessed a volatile session, touching an intraday high of 183,217 before closing at 182,154, down 187 points (-0.10%) amid profit-taking. Broad-based selling was observed across key sectors, particularly Banks, Technology & Communication, Oil & Gas Exploration, Power Generation, and Textile Composite.
  • On the macro front, remittances surged 15.4% to $3.5 billion in January, while an IMF review mission is expected in the last week of this month to initiate talks for the third review under the $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the potential release of a $1 billion fourth tranche. Among major laggards, HBL, TRG, KEL, AKBL, and BAFL collectively shaved 460.03 points off the index. In terms of volume, K-Electric (KEL) led activity with 253.68 million shares, while total market turnover stood at 1,057.65 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Feb 6 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The benchmark KSE-100 Index witnessed a volatile session, touching an intraday high of 188,036 before closing at 184,310 down 3,703 points, or (-1.93% ) amid profit taking. The announcement of the Supreme Court case regarding NBP’s pension funds triggered selling pressure, as investors anticipated lower dividend payouts following potential cash outflows for pension fund payments. Furthermore, Barrick Gold’s board is reviewing all aspects of a gold and copper project in the Balochistan region due to security concerns, including capital allocation, as CEO Mark Hill stated during a post-earnings call. Additionally, the upcoming third IMF review at the end of the current month exerted pressure, reflecting concerns over slower progress on required economic reforms.
  • The uncertain geopolitical climate also dampened investor sentiment. Selling pressure was concentrated in Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, and Exploration & Production (E&P) stocks, due to a lack of fresh positive catalysts. High stakes Iran US negotiations over Tehran’s nuclear program commenced in Oman, with lingering disagreements raising fears of prolonged Middle East tensions. Major laggards such as NBP, FFC, PPL, UBL, and MEBL collectively dragged the index down by 1,573.11 points. On the volume front, K-Electric KEL led trading activity with 517.82 million shares, while the total market turnover stood at 1,266.28 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Feb 4 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The benchmark KSE-100 Index continued its upward momentum, surging to an intraday high of 188,312 before settling at a new all-time high of 187,832, registering a gain of 931 points (0.50%). Gains were driven by broad-based buying, led by Commercial Banks with selective strength in Power Generation & Distribution.
  • On the macro front, Pakistan and Kazakhstan signed 36 agreements and MoUs across multiple sectors, including petroleum, mining, and maritime affairs, with the Prime Minister reiterating the $1bn bilateral trade target. In terms of index contribution, MEBL, ENGROH, NBP, UBL, & HMB, emerged as key drivers, collectively adding 739.61 to the benchmark. On the volumes front, KEL led activity with 590.87 million shares; while overall market turnover stood at 1,193.66 million shares, reflecting healthy participation.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Feb 3 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) KSE-100 Index extended its upward momentum, hitting an intraday high of 187,519 before closing at 186,901, up 1,843 points (+1.00%). The rally was driven by broad-based buying in Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Technology, Pharmaceuticals, and Textile composite sectors. Sentiment was further supported by strengthened trade and investment cooperation between Pakistan and Uzbekistan, Moreover, hopes of a de-escalation in US-Iran tensions. In terms of index contribution FFC, UBL, ENGROH, MEBL, and SYS collectively added 734.81 points. On the volume front, KEL led trading with 99.51 million shares, while total market turnover stood at 846.50 million shares.
Interloop Limited (ILP): Result Preview 2QFY26 – By AHCML Research

Feb 3 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Interloop Ltd (ILP) is scheduled to announce its financial results for 2QFY26 on February 4, 2026. Interloop Ltd (ILP) reports robust 2QFY26 results with PAT surging 124% YoY to PKR2,580mn, driven by strong sales growth, improved gross margins, and a significant reduction in finance costs. However, PAT declined 7.8% QoQ due to gross margin compression from lower international textile prices and adverse currency movements, which outweighed a sequential sales increase and led to declines in operating and pre-tax profit.
  • We reiterate our Buy recommendation with Target Price of PKR115 per share, reflecting confidence in the company's continued execution and growth prospects.
Lucky Cement Limited (LUCK): Analyst Briefing 2QFY26 Highlights – By AHCML Research

Feb 3 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • LUCK has held an analyst briefing yesterday to discuss its financial results and future outlook. Below are the key takeaways from the briefing.
  • Pakistan cement domestic demand grew 12.5% YoY in 1HFY26 and Lucky Cement 1HFY26 sales increased to 3.36mn tons vs. 2.98mn tons in 1HFY25.
  • Approximately 56 - 57% of Lucky Cement’s energy mix comes from renewables, comprising 89.3 MW of solar capacity (including a planned 15 MW addition by Mar’26) and 28.8 MW of wind power. The remaining renewable contribution is generated through WHR systems.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Feb 2 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 Index extended its upward momentum, touching an intraday high of 185,612 before closing at 185,058, up 883 points (+0.48%). The rally was driven by broad-based buying, led by Commercial Banks, Oil & Gas Exploration, Automobiles, Technology, and Power Generation stocks.
  • Sentiment was further supported by the Prime Minister’s acknowledgment of the World Bank’s role in advancing Pakistan’s economic development, along with Wafi Energy’s plan to invest up to US$100 million in Pakistan over the next 2–3 years. In terms of index contribution, UBL, ENGROH, SYS, FATIMA, and SAZEW collectively added 893.66 points. On the volume front, FNEL led trading with 191.18 million shares, while total market turnover stood at 737.64 million shares.
Morning News: Govt, Standard Chartered Bank hold virtual roadshow to woo investors – By AHCML Research

Jan 30 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The virtual investor roadshow arranged by Standard Chartered Bank, in collaboration with the Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance and Revenue, marked a historic and unprecedented level of engagement with Pakistan’s investment narrative, said Advisor to the Federal Finance Minister Khurram Schehzad.
  • High-lighting the government’s long-term vision, Federal Minister for Planning, Development and Special Initiatives Ahsan Iqbal said that under the “URAAN Pakistan” initiative, the national target has been set to transform Pakistan into a one-trillion-dollar economy by 2035. The Minister expressed these views while chairing the mid-year review meeting of the Annual Plan 2025–26.
Pakistan Economy: MPC Jan’26 - 50 bps Cut to Signal Pro-Growth Shift – By AHCML Research

Jan 23 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The State Bank of Pakistan is projected to cut its policy rate by 50 bps to 10.0% in its January 2026 meeting. This move is primarily driven by a sustained ease in inflation, a marked improvement in external buffers, continued stability in the currency, and a market-led decline in government bond yields, which together create a compelling case for further monetary easing.
  • Headline CPI inflation for Dec’25 stood at 5.6% YoY, maintaining its position within the SBP’s 5-7% medium-term target for the sixth consecutive month. More importantly, the CPI contracted by 0.4%MoM, signaling strengthening near-term disinflationary momentum.