Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 3 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index extended its bullish momentum from the previous session, reaching an intraday high of 162,803.15 before settling at 161,631.73, up by 1,171.42 points (0.72%).
  • Investor confidence strengthened amid easing rollover week pressure and a calmer political environment. Sustained buying interest across key sectors including Automobile Assemblers, Cement, Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Oil & Gas Exploration, OMCs, Power Generation, and Refinery fueled the market’s upward momentum. On the macroeconomic front, Pakistan’s headline inflation for October 2025 came in at 6.2% YoY, according to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) on Monday, slightly above the Ministry of Finance’s projected range of 5–6%. Major contributors to the index included FFC, ENGRO, NBP, HUBC, and TRG, collectively adding 1,131.47 points to the benchmark. HASCOL led the volume chart with 119.51 million shares traded, while overall market turnover stood at 947.85 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Nov 3 2025


Vector Securities


  • Evening Note.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 3 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index extended its bullish momentum from the previous session, reaching an intraday high of 162,803.15 before settling at 161,631.73, up by 1,171.42 points (0.72%).
  • Investor confidence strengthened amid easing rollover week pressure and a calmer political environment. Sustained buying interest across key sectors including Automobile Assemblers, Cement, Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Oil & Gas Exploration, OMCs, Power Generation, and Refinery fueled the market’s upward momentum. On the macroeconomic front, Pakistan’s headline inflation for October 2025 came in at 6.2% YoY, according to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) on Monday, slightly above the Ministry of Finance’s projected range of 5–6%. Major contributors to the index included FFC, ENGRO, NBP, HUBC, and TRG, collectively adding 1,131.47 points to the benchmark. HASCOL led the volume chart with 119.51 million shares traded, while overall market turnover stood at 947.85 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a positive note – By IIS Research

Nov 3 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a positive note, with momentum supported by easing rollover week pressure and a relatively stable political backdrop. Trading volumes decreased to 353mn shares today as compared to 409mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 1,171 points to close at 162,803 level, up by 0.72% DoD. Fertilizer, Power Generation & Distribution, and Oil & Gas Exploration Companies sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively adding 751 points to the index.
Pakistan Markets: TEL and TNTPL achieve project completion; HUBC and FFC to be beneficiaries – By AKD Research

Nov 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • Hub Power Company (HUBC) has announced that lenders of Thar Energy Limited (TEL) and ThalNova Power Thar (TN) have formally declared Project Completion Date (PCD) for both 330MW Thar-based coal IPPs as of Oct 31, 2025. With PCD achieved, both projects are now eligible to commence dividend payouts, HUBC holds 60% in TEL and 38.3% in TN. Notably, TEL achieved COD in Oct'22, while TNTPL reached COD in Feb'23, compared to the targeted COD date of Mar'21 for both plants.
  • Notably, we have already incorporated gross dividend assumptions of ~PkR3.0/5.0 per share for both TEL and TNTPL in FY26/27E.
Pakistan Economy: Geo-politics outweigh fundamentals – By JS Research

Nov 3 2025


JS Global Capital


  • The KSE-100 Index corrected 7% from its recent peak, closing 2.3% lower MoM – its first decline after five months of MoM gains. Profit-taking by insurance companies, mutual funds, and foreign investors led to net selling of US$104mn amid geopolitical unrest. Notably, border tensions with Afghanistan weighed on sentiment, though markets recovered slightly following a ceasefire. Despite strong corporate results and IMF Staff level agreement, external political concerns overshadowed the positive developments. Top gainers included AKBL (+16%), ABL (+8%), ILP (+7%), and FFC (+6%), while trading volumes rose 7% MoM in Oct-2025.
  • Oil prices (WTI) fell to a 5month low in October, closing at US$61/bbl, being the 3rd consecutive monthly decline. The drop was driven by supply-side concerns as OPEC members increased output and US production reached record levels. Meanwhile, the PKR/US$ appreciated by 0.1% MoM, closing at 280.91 – a 6 month high on the back of strong inflows. We believe the continuation of such trend could help in easing pressure on import bill and inflation.
Technical Outlook: KSE-100: Rebounds amidst good volumes – By AKD Research

Nov 3 2025


AKD Securities


  • The index opened on a positive note and maintained strong bullish momentum throughout the session. It hit an intraday high of 5,461 points before ending with a substantial gain of 4,899 points at 161,632. Market activity improved modestly, with trading volumes rising by 8% compared to the previous session. A large bullish candle formed on the chart, indicating strong upward sentiment as the index closed significantly above its opening level reinforcing the strength of underlying support. Over the last 10 trading sessions, the index has recorded 3 positive and 7 negative closings, resulting in a net of 4 negative sessions.
  • Technically, the immediate support is seen at 161,100 and a breach below this could extend the decline toward 160,700 and 159,700. Conversely, resistance is expected around 161,800, followed by 162,500 and 163,100. It is recommended to accumulate positions near support zone with risk defined closing below it.
Morning News: Oil extends gains after OPEC+ pauses Q1 output hikes – By IIS Research

Nov 3 2025


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • Oil prices climbed in early Asian trade on Monday after OPEC+ decided to hold off production hikes in the first quarter of next year, easing rising fears of a supply glut. Brent crude futures rose 47 cents, or 0.73%, to $65.24 a barrel by 2336 GMT after closing 7 cents higher on Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $61.43 a barrel, up 45 cents, or 0.74%, after settling up 41 cents in the previous session.
  • The federal government has set ambitious economic targets for the next three years, aiming to raise the GDP growth rate to between 4.2% and 5.7%. Other targets include increasing the size of the national economy to Rs162,513 billion, boosting exports by more than $10 billion, and increasing remittances to a record $44.82 billion.
Morning News: World Bank asks Pakistan to overhaul skewed trade pacts – By Vector Research

Nov 3 2025


Vector Securities


  • The World Bank has asked Pakistan to improve its skewed preferential trade agreements with 10 bilateral partners, ensure a market-determined and flexible exchange rate and push deeper reforms to lower energy and other input costs to turbocharge over three decades of declining exports for sustainable economic growth. (Dawn)
  • The Economic Affairs Division (EAD) has acknowledged that there is no transparent mechanism in place to ensure that loans obtained from the IMF are actually utilised for budgetary support or for maintaining the balance of payments. (BR)
Morning News: Oil extends gains after OPEC+ pauses Q1 output hikes – By Shajar Research

Nov 3 2025


Shajar Capital


  • Oil prices climbed in early Asian trade on Monday after OPEC+ decided to hold off production hikes in the first quarter of next year, easing rising fears of a supply glut. (Reuters)
  • Asian stocks rose on Monday as investors weighed last week's megacap earnings showing significant spending on artificial intelligence, while the dollar held near a three-month high after hawkish comments from Federal Reserve policymakers. (Reuters)
Morning News: US signs 10-year defence pact with India: Pentagon chief – By HMFS Research

Nov 3 2025


HMFS Research


  • US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth held talks on Friday with counterparts from China and India, among a series of face-to-face meetings at an ASEAN defence summit in Malaysia as Washington seeks to boost its influence and regional security ties. He also hailed as “a cornerstone for regional stability and deterrence” a new 10-year defence cooperation framework signed with Indian Defence Minister Rajnath Singh.
  • President Asif Ali Zardari will attend the Second World Summit for Social Development in Qatari capital Doha from November 4 to 6, being held under the auspices of the United Nations General Assembly. According to a statement issued from the President’s Secretariat on Sunday, the summit will bring together world leaders and policymakers to discuss ways of advancing social development, promoting decent work and employment opportunities, as well as strengthening inclusive safety nets.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Nov 3 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index extended its bullish momentum from the previous session, reaching an intraday high of 162,803.15 before settling at 161,631.73, up by 1,171.42 points (0.72%).
  • Investor confidence strengthened amid easing rollover week pressure and a calmer political environment. Sustained buying interest across key sectors including Automobile Assemblers, Cement, Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Oil & Gas Exploration, OMCs, Power Generation, and Refinery fueled the market’s upward momentum. On the macroeconomic front, Pakistan’s headline inflation for October 2025 came in at 6.2% YoY, according to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) on Monday, slightly above the Ministry of Finance’s projected range of 5–6%. Major contributors to the index included FFC, ENGRO, NBP, HUBC, and TRG, collectively adding 1,131.47 points to the benchmark. HASCOL led the volume chart with 119.51 million shares traded, while overall market turnover stood at 947.85 million shares.
National Consumer Price Index (NCPI): CPI for Oct’25 to clock in at 5.2% YoY – By AHCML Research

Oct 31 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Inflation for Oct’25 is likely to come in at 5.2% YoY, compared to same 5.6% YoY in Sep’25 and 7.2% YoY in the same period last year. On a monthly basis, CPI is expected to clock in at 1.4% MoM, Headline inflation for Oct’25 is expected to increase, primarily driven by a sharp increase in food prices, which make up 35% of the CPI basket. Food inflation is projected at 1.0%MoM due to significant increase in the key food items, moreover Housing Index also adjusted in the current month inflation. The ongoing flood in the country, along with reforms in the energy sector such as increases in gas and power tariffs, are expected to fuel inflation going forward.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Oct 27 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced another volatile trading session today, rising to an intraday high of 163,571 before closing at 162,164, down by -1,140.32 points (-0.70%). Market sentiment remained subdued during the session, as profit-taking dominated trading activity with investors opting to book gains across key sectors, including Oil & gas exploration, Commercial Banks, Information Technology, and Cement.
  • On the macro front, the State Bank of Pakistan’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), in line with market expectations, kept the policy rate unchanged at 11% in its latest announcement, signaling a wait-and-see approach amid evolving inflation and external sector dynamics. Top drags to index included PSO, LUCK, UBL, MARI, & PPL, which collectively pulled the benchmark down by -505.27 points. WTL led volumes with 164.29 million shares; overall market turnover was 1,006.69 million shares.
Oil & Gas Development Company Limited (OGDC): Result Preview 1QFY26 – By AHCML Research

Oct 27 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Oil & Gas Development Company Limited is anticipated to report a PAT of PKR 37,340mn (EPS: PKR 8.7) for 1QFY26, reflecting decline of 9% YoY.
  • Net sales for the quarter are expected to reach PKR 92,792mn, down 12% YoY, due to the lower Oil and Production along with decline in the Arab light crude oil prices.
  • Gross margins are estimated at 56%, down 9pps YoY up 15pps QoQ.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Oct 22 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index experienced a volatile trading session today, climbing to an intraday high of 168,163 before settling at 166,553, down -793.56 points (-0.47%). Market sentiment remained cautious, with profit-taking weighing on performance as investors trimmed positions across key sectors, including Fertilizer, Commercial Banks, Power generation and Cement. On the economic front, the International Monetary Fund cautioned that severe flooding in Pakistan during the third quarter of 2025 could exert greater-than-expected pressure on growth, inflation, and the current account, though the extent of these effects remains uncertain. Top drags to index included FFC, UBL, MCB, HBL, &FATIMA, which collectively pulled the benchmark down by 648.04 points. KEL led volumes with 241.02 million shares; overall market turnover was 1,568.82 million shares
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Oct 21 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index extended its bullish momentum from the previous session, reaching an intraday high of 168,414.13 before settling at 167,346.83, up by 1,103.93 points (0.66%). Renewed investor confidence, driven by reduced geopolitical concerns, improved macroeconomic indicators, and sustained buying in key sectors such as commercial banks, fertilizers, and oil & gas exploration, supported the rally. On the economic front, the IMF noted on Tuesday that economic activity in the Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan has been “stronger than expected” this year. Top index incliners included, BAHL, FFC, MCB, OGDC & PPL, which collectively pulled the benchmark up by 830.55 points. KEL led volumes with 547.32 million shares; overall market turnover was 1,816.81 million shares.
Morning News: PRAL, PSW blamed for big import data gap – By AHCML Research

Oct 21 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The Ministry of Commerce and the PBS informed the National Assembly Standing Committee on Commerce on Monday that two entities under the FBR. Pakistan Revenue Automation Limited (PRAL) and PSW were responsible for a discrepancy of USD11 billion in import data reported last year.
  • Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Monday directed authorities to expedite the formal registration of cottage industries and Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs), as part of a wider push to revitalize the industrial sector and improve access to finance.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Oct 17 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index witnessed another session of heightened volatility, touching an intraday high of 165,031 before settling at 163,806, down -638.51 points (-0.39%). Market sentiment remained cautious, with profit-taking weighing on performance as investors trimmed positions across key sectors, including automobile assemblers, cement, commercial banks, oil and gas exploration companies, OMCs, power generation and refinery.
  • On economic front, The State Bank of Pakistan’s FY25 Annual Report highlights that prudent monetary and fiscal policies, along with IMF support and favorable global conditions, strengthened macroeconomic stability, reducing inflation to an eight-year low, achieving a current account surplus, and cutting the fiscal deficit to a nine-year low. Among key index movers, MARI, UBL, HBL, POL, & ENGROH, cumulatively dragged the benchmark down by -380.52 points. WTL led volumes with 891.36 million shares; overall market turnover was 1,978.65 million shares
Maple Leaf Cement Factory Limited (MLCF): Result Preview 1QFY26 – By AHCML Research

Oct 16 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Maple Leaf Cement is anticipated to report a PAT of PKR 2,589mn (EPS: PKR 2.47) for 1QFY26, reflecting an impressive 149% YoY increase.
  • Sales revenue for the quarter is expected to reach PKR 17,755mn, up 13% YoY, supported by higher retention prices and dispatches.
  • Gross margins are estimated at 34.09%, up 4.33 ppt YoY. primarily driven by lower fuel and coal prices as well as improved cost efficiencies.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Oct 14 2025


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The KSE-100 Index staged a strong rebound after a day of heavy selling, climbing to an intraday high of 165,866.77 before settling at 165,476.02, up by 7,032.60 points (4.44%). Investor sentiment improved, driven by easing geopolitical tensions, reduced domestic political noise, and growing optimism for a staff-level agreement between Pakistan and the IMF.
  • This followed a meeting between the finance minister and the IMF's Managing Director in Washington, prompting broad-based buying across sectors such as automobile assemblers, cement, commercial banks, and oil & gas exploration companies. Top index incliners included LUCK, UBL, SYS, ENGROH, & HUBC, which collectively pulled the benchmark up by 2,306.2 points. BOP led volumes with 100.72 million shares; overall market turnover was 1,176.98 million shares.