Pakistan Economy: MSCI Nov’25 Quarterly Index Review: 3 additions to MSCI Pakistan Index and 11 additions/2 deletions to MSCI FM Small Cap (Pakistan) Index – By Foundation Research

Nov 6 2025


Foundation Securities


  • MSCI, the leading global provider of research-based indexes and analytics, earlier today announced the results of its Nov’25 Frontier Markets Quarterly Index Review. All changes will be implemented from 24th November 2025.
  • In MSCI Pakistan Index, there have been 3 additions which are Askari Bank (AKBL), Bank of Punjab (BOP) and Meezan Bank (MEBL).
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Feb 3 2026


Vector Securities


  • Evening Note.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a positive note – By IIS Research

Feb 3 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a positive note opening high early in the session, with momentum further supported by record monthly exports of USD 3.06bn. Trading volumes increased to 390mn shares today as compared to 216mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 1,843 points to close at 186,901 level, up by 1.00% DoD. Banks, Fertilizer, and Technology sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively adding 1242 points to the index.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Feb 3 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) KSE-100 Index extended its upward momentum, hitting an intraday high of 187,519 before closing at 186,901, up 1,843 points (+1.00%). The rally was driven by broad-based buying in Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Technology, Pharmaceuticals, and Textile composite sectors. Sentiment was further supported by strengthened trade and investment cooperation between Pakistan and Uzbekistan, Moreover, hopes of a de-escalation in US-Iran tensions. In terms of index contribution FFC, UBL, ENGROH, MEBL, and SYS collectively added 734.81 points. On the volume front, KEL led trading with 99.51 million shares, while total market turnover stood at 846.50 million shares.
Pakistan Economy: Jan’26 NCPI arrives at 5.8%YoY/0.4%MoM – By Taurus Research

Feb 3 2026


Taurus Securities


  • Headline inflation for Jan’26 arrived at 5.8%YoY/0.4%MoM, in line with expectations. Consequently, taking the NCPI for FY26 to date to 5.21%YoY. However, core inflation edged up slightly in both Urban & Rural areas for Jan’26 to 7.2%YoY (6.9%YoY in Dec’25) and 8.3%YoY (8.1%YoY in Dec’25), respectively.
  • To note, food inflation (~35% weight) for the month stood at 0.06% only on account of ~13%MoM decrease in the prices of perishable items. These include ~28%MoM decline in the prices of Potatoes and Onions along with a ~17%MoM decrease in the prices of other fresh vegetables during the month. Resultantly, offsetting the impact of the surge in prices of Wheat & Chicken.
Fertilizers: Pakistan’s urea sales for Jan 2026, 75 months low of 218k tons; Inventory at 0.63mn tons – By Topline Research

Feb 2 2026


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan urea sales in Jan 2026 is expected to clock in at 218k tons (75 months low), down by 84% MoM and 51% YoY. The sharp slowdown follows advance purchases in Dec-25, driven by higher manufacturer discounts, which pushed Dec-25 sales to an all-time high of 1.36mn tons.
  • Discounts offered by select manufacturers decreased in Jan-26, with EFERT offering Rs100 150/bag compared to Rs400/bag in Dec-25, while FFC did not offer any discounts in Jan-26 after providing Rs150-200/bag in Dec-25, as per our channel checks.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Feb 2 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 Index extended its upward momentum, touching an intraday high of 185,612 before closing at 185,058, up 883 points (+0.48%). The rally was driven by broad-based buying, led by Commercial Banks, Oil & Gas Exploration, Automobiles, Technology, and Power Generation stocks.
  • Sentiment was further supported by the Prime Minister’s acknowledgment of the World Bank’s role in advancing Pakistan’s economic development, along with Wafi Energy’s plan to invest up to US$100 million in Pakistan over the next 2–3 years. In terms of index contribution, UBL, ENGROH, SYS, FATIMA, and SAZEW collectively added 893.66 points. On the volume front, FNEL led trading with 191.18 million shares, while total market turnover stood at 737.64 million shares.
Pakistan Market Wrap: KSE-100 closes at 185,058 up 883 points – By Alpha-Akseer Research

Feb 2 2026


Alpha Capital


  • The equity market commenced trading on a firm footing and sustained its positive momentum throughout the session. The KSE-100 Index fluctuated between 182,792 and an intraday high of 185,612, before closing at 185,058, registering a gain of 883 points. Total volumes on the main board stood at 213.8 million shares, translating into a turnover of PKR 28.5 billion.
  • Index gains were predominantly supported by UBL (1.7%, 248 points), ENGROH (2.5%, 214 points), SYS (3.2%, 147 points), FATIMA (7.9%, 144 points), and SAZEW (9.2%, 141 points). On the volume front, KEL and BOP remained in the spotlight, recording traded volumes of 37.9 million and 28.8 million shares, respectively.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a positive note – By IIS Research

Feb 2 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a positive note after an initial dip at the start of the session. Activity remained largely stock specific as investors positioned themselves for the ongoing results season. Trading volumes decreased to 216mn shares today as compared to 344mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 883 points to close at 185,058 level, up by 0.48% DoD. Banks, E&Ps, and Autos sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively adding 707 points to the index.
Pakistan Economy: KSE-100 stays above 180k, highest monthly ADTO since Jun-08 – By JS Research

Feb 2 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Fresh inflows continue to re-rate KSE100, rallying to a new high of 189k during the month of Jan-2026. However, escalating tensions between the US and Iran led to some correction towards the end of the month, closing the market at 184k, still implying decent monthly return of 5.8%. Average trading volumes were up 25% MoM in terms of shares traded while in terms of value (US$224mn) recorded the highest levels seen since Jun-2008. Banks rallied during the month as SBP maintained policy rate and reduced CRR by 100bps to 5%, whereas FFC corrected 13% from its high on weaker than expected earnings and dividend announcement. Mutual funds, corporates and retailers recorded a combined net inflow of US$194mn, comfortably absorbing the net outflow by foreigners, banks and insurance companies.
  • Secondary market T-bill yields fell to single digits on rate-cut expectations for the first time in four years, but later reversed after the central bank kept the policy rate unchanged at 10.5%. In its MPC meeting, SBP cited sticky core inflation, a wide trade deficit, and stronger-than-expected domestic growth as reasons for maintaining the status quo. Banking stocks remained favored, as stable rates support sustainable yields, while a CRR cut improves the availability of income generating assets.
Pakistan Refinery Limited (PRL): 2QFY26 Result Review – By Taurus Research

Feb 2 2026


Taurus Securities


  • 2QFY26 – EPS: PKR 1.8, PAT: ~PKR 1.1Bn – below expectations.
  • PRL’s net sales clocked-in at PKR 75.3Bn in 2QFY26, up 22%QoQ on account of increase in the volumes by 28%QoQ. Gross margins hovered at 5% in 2QFY26, remained flat compared to the previous quarter despite surge in HSD and MS sales as increase in FO sales i.e. 31%QoQ is likely to have balanced out margin growth. During 2QFY26, selling and admin expenses went up significantly by 27%QoQ and 61%QoQ, respectively. Further, Finance cost arrived at PKR 1.1Bn in 2QFY26, up 2%QoQ due to working capital requirements for the ongoing REUP project. Further, PRL posted a PAT of PKR 1.1Bn in 2QFY26, up 10%QoQ. 1HFY26 EPS arrived at PKR 3.4, turning positive compared to LPS of PKR 3.2 during the SPLY.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Note – By Vector Research

Feb 3 2026


Vector Securities


  • Evening Note.
Pakistan Market Wrap: The benchmark index closed on a positive note – By IIS Research

Feb 3 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • The benchmark index closed on a positive note opening high early in the session, with momentum further supported by record monthly exports of USD 3.06bn. Trading volumes increased to 390mn shares today as compared to 216mn shares in the previous session. Today, the KSE-100 index gained 1,843 points to close at 186,901 level, up by 1.00% DoD. Banks, Fertilizer, and Technology sectors were the major contributors in today's session, cumulatively adding 1242 points to the index.
Pakistan Market Wrap: Evening Chronicle – By AHCML Research

Feb 3 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) KSE-100 Index extended its upward momentum, hitting an intraday high of 187,519 before closing at 186,901, up 1,843 points (+1.00%). The rally was driven by broad-based buying in Commercial Banks, Fertilizer, Technology, Pharmaceuticals, and Textile composite sectors. Sentiment was further supported by strengthened trade and investment cooperation between Pakistan and Uzbekistan, Moreover, hopes of a de-escalation in US-Iran tensions. In terms of index contribution FFC, UBL, ENGROH, MEBL, and SYS collectively added 734.81 points. On the volume front, KEL led trading with 99.51 million shares, while total market turnover stood at 846.50 million shares.
Interloop Limited (ILP): Result Preview 2QFY26 – By AHCML Research

Feb 3 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • Interloop Ltd (ILP) is scheduled to announce its financial results for 2QFY26 on February 4, 2026. Interloop Ltd (ILP) reports robust 2QFY26 results with PAT surging 124% YoY to PKR2,580mn, driven by strong sales growth, improved gross margins, and a significant reduction in finance costs. However, PAT declined 7.8% QoQ due to gross margin compression from lower international textile prices and adverse currency movements, which outweighed a sequential sales increase and led to declines in operating and pre-tax profit.
  • We reiterate our Buy recommendation with Target Price of PKR115 per share, reflecting confidence in the company's continued execution and growth prospects.
Oil & Gas Development Company Limited (OGDC): 2QFY26 Result Preview – By Taurus Research

Feb 3 2026


Taurus Securities


  • 2QFY26 EPS: PKR 8.56; 2QFY26 PAT down 4%QoQ.
  • Net sales for the quarter are expected to arrive at ~PKR 98.9Bn, down 2%YoY. Royalty expenses are expected to be recorded at ~PKR 10.9Bn, down 6%YoY supporting profitability.
  • Additionally, EPS for 2QFY26 is expected to arrive at PKR 8.56, down 11%YoY and 4%QoQ, mainly due to elevated exploration and operating expenses arising from dry well outcomes at Jakhro North-1 and Khatian-1, along with the ongoing drilling and seismic activities, which continue to weigh on profitability.
Oil Marketing Companies: OMC sales up 10% YoY and 12% MoM in Jan 2026; 7MFY26 sales up 3% YoY – By Topline Research

Feb 3 2026


Topline Securities


  • Pakistan's Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs) recorded sales of 1.52mn tons in Jan 2026, up 10% YoY and 12% MoM.
  • The YoY increase reflects economic recovery, easing inflation, and improved control over smuggling, while the MoM rise is driven by lower petrol and diesel prices in Jan-26 and a low base following the nationwide strike in Dec 2025 that disrupted sales for around 10 days.
  • This takes total sales for 7MFY26 to 9.7mn tons, reflecting a 3% YoY increase compared to 9.4mn tons in 7MFY25.
Lucky Cement Limited (LUCK): Analyst Briefing 2QFY26 Highlights – By AHCML Research

Feb 3 2026


Al Habib Capital Markets


  • LUCK has held an analyst briefing yesterday to discuss its financial results and future outlook. Below are the key takeaways from the briefing.
  • Pakistan cement domestic demand grew 12.5% YoY in 1HFY26 and Lucky Cement 1HFY26 sales increased to 3.36mn tons vs. 2.98mn tons in 1HFY25.
  • Approximately 56 - 57% of Lucky Cement’s energy mix comes from renewables, comprising 89.3 MW of solar capacity (including a planned 15 MW addition by Mar’26) and 28.8 MW of wind power. The remaining renewable contribution is generated through WHR systems.
Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK): Cost optimization initiatives continue; Buy – By JS Research

Feb 3 2026


JS Global Capital


  • Lucky Cement Ltd (LUCK) held its corporate briefing yesterday to discuss 1HFY26 results and outlook. To recall, LUCK reported standalone EPS of Rs15.86 for 1HFY26, up 68% YoY, driven by stronger core performance and higher dividend income from subsidiaries. On a consolidated basis, earnings increased 13% YoY to Rs30.45/ sh.
  • Management shared that UC 3.0 technology has been commissioned on two production lines at the Karachi plant at a cost of Rs3-3.5bn, with plans to expand it to the two remaining lines. The technology is expected to improve cost efficiency by reducing coal consumption per ton of clinker produced and allowing the use of lower-cost, high-sulphur coal, with an estimated payback of 5 to 7 years.
Commercial Banks: Flat Earnings; Payouts Intact – By IIS Research

Feb 3 2026


Ismail Iqbal Securities


  • We preview the IIS Banking Universe’s 4QCY25 results, where aggregate earnings are expected to remain largely flat QoQ at PKR 100bn, while delivering a 16.5% YoY growth. Despite continued pressure on net interest margins amid a declining interest-rate environment, earnings remained resilient, supported by balance-sheet expansion, contained credit costs, and disciplined expense management.
  • Net interest income is expected to increase 3.6% QoQ to PKR 340.5bn and 11.7% YoY, even as reinvestment yields remained under pressure. Margin compression was partially offset by volumetric growth, with deposits rising 20% YoY and 5.7% QoQ, supporting earning asset expansion. An improving deposit mix further helped cushion margins. On a full-year basis, CY25E NII is projected to grow 15.4% YoY, reflecting the sector’s ability to navigate a softer rate cycle.
Commercial Banks: 4QCY25 Previews: Stable earnings; Payouts intact – By Insight Research

Feb 3 2026


Insight Securities


  • We estimate profitability of ISL coverage banks to inch up by 16% YoY, while same is expected to decline by 2% QoQ. The YoY increase is mainly driven by lower ETR for the quarter compared to SPLY, further aided by volumetric expansion. While, QoQ decline is attributable to slight moderation in NIMs. Net Interest Income of the sector is likely to decline as impact of lower policy rate translates into asset yields.
  • However, some of the impact is likely to offset by balance sheet expansion as deposits grew by ~2.7% QoQ. We estimate HBL/UBL/MCB/MEBL/BAFL to post EPS of PKR11.0/13.8/11.9/12.5/3.5, respectively. We expect dividend payouts to remain robust amid healthy profits and decent buffer on adequacy ratios and expect HBL/UBL/MCB/ MEBL/BAFL to announce DPS of PKR5.0/8.0/9.0/7.0/2.5, respectively.
Agritech Limited (AGL): Earning Review – By Foundation Research

Jan 29 2026


Foundation Securities


  • Agritech Limited (AGL PA) profitability clocked-in at PKR 694Mn (EPS PKR 1.2) in 4QCY25, down 29% YoY, compared to PKR 971Mn (EPS PKR 1.6) in 4QCY24.
  • This takes CY25 profitability to PKR 2.9Bn (EPS PKR 4.8), as compared to loss of PKR 1.1Bn in CY24.
  • AGL’s topline reported at PKR 12.2Bn (flat/up 18% YoY/QoQ) in 4QCY25, however, full year net revenue was recorded at PKR 35.9Bn, portraying a YoY growth of 15%.
Pakistan Cement: Profitability to drop 5% YoY in 2QFY26 – By Foundation Research

Jan 14 2026


Foundation Securities


  • FSL Cement universe profitability is forecasted to slide 5% YoY in 2QFY26 despite uptick in domestic sales and easing coal prices. This suppression in the profitability is mainly accredited to (1) normalization of gross margins, (2) higher energy cost, (3) lower exports due to Afghan border closure along with 23% YoY dip in South exports, and (4) weak prices (down 6% YoY).
  • On a quarterly basis, profitability is estimated to recede 19% QoQ in 2QFY26 owing to (1) weak domestic prices in North, (2) shift in energy mix, (3) slump in exports by 21% QoQ, and (4) attrition in other income.
Pakistan Cement: Demand remains strong – By Foundation Research

Jan 6 2026


Foundation Securities


  • Cement sector dispatches rose by 2.3% YoY in Dec’25 to 4.3Mn tons, while capacity utilization increased to a mere of 59.1% vs. a muted 57.4% in the SPLY. Despite winter season, local sales exhibited a surge of 7.4% YoY to 3.7Mn tons, showing demand recovery trend amid improved macros. However, exports declined by a sizable 20.7% YoY to reach 0.6Mn tons. Decline in exports were on account of high base effect from South exports, absence of North exports due to Afghan border closure and compensating rise in domestic demand post floods.
  • Demand continues its uptrend where local dispatches grew by 4.9% MoM despite the winter season as historically cement sales dip during these months. Local demand continued to show early signs of recovery in the aftermath of floods, aided by improved macros. However, exports were significantly impacted, owing to Afghan border closure given absence of North exports and improved local sales.
Oil Marketing Companies (OMC): Volumetric growth rebounds – By Foundation Research

Jan 5 2026


Foundation Securities


  • Petroleum sales reversed the decline of last month to post positive growth of 6% YoY (down 5% MoM) at 1.4Mn tons despite decline in HSD sales of 4% YoY (down 19% MoM) given the 10-day dealer strike in Dec’25. Whereas MS/FO sales rose 11/40% YoY in the outgoing month. During 1HFY26, sales witnessed an increase of 2% YoY to 8.2Mn tons despite low utilization of FO. Company-wise analysis depicts that PSO/APL volumes fell 7/7% YoY, respectively, while WAFI/HASCOL volumes enhanced 10/9% YoY during Dec’25.
  • White oil: Domestic petroleum sales (ex-non Energy) depicted a 6% YoY incline during the month, while white oil sales climbed 4% YoY (down 9% MoM). Product wise, MS sales increased 11% YoY (up 3% MoM) to clock-in at 628K tons. Whereas, HSD sales dropped 4% YoY (down 19% MoM) to 553K tons during Dec’25. During 1HFY26, sales accelerated 2% YoY due to an increase of 3% YoY in White oil sales given improved macros. Whereas MS/HSD sales boosted 3/3% YoY in 1HFY26. Prices of MS/HSD moderated by 0.7/3.1% MoM to average Rs265.2/274.3/liter, respectively, during Dec’25.
Lucky Cement Limited (LUCK): 1QFY26 Analyst Briefing Takeaways – By Foundation Research

Dec 30 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Lucky Cement Limited (LUCK PA) conducted its 1QFY26 analyst briefing today to discuss financial/operational performance and outlook of the company. Below are key takeaways from the session.
  • To recall, Lucky Cement Limited’s (LUCK PA) consolidated profitability clocked-in at PKR 23.6Bn (EPS PKR 15.01, up 19/10% YoY/QoQ) in 1QFY26 against a profit of PKR 19.8Bn (EPS PKR 12.24) in 1QFY25.
  • On a standalone basis, profitability was recorded at PKR 14.62Bn in 1QFY26 translating into an EPS of PKR 9.98, against PAT and EPS of PKR 6.5Bn and PKR 4.48, respectively, in the SPLY (up 2.23/2.54x YoY/QoQ).
Fatima Fertilizer Company Ltd. (FATIMA): 9MCY25 Analyst Briefing Key Takeaways – By Foundation Research

Dec 26 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Fatima Fertilizer Company Limited (FATIMA PA) held its analyst briefing on 24 December 2025 to discuss its 9MCY25 financial/operational results and outlook of the company. Following are the key takeaways.
  • Total fertilizer industry volumes declined 3.5% YoY during 9MCY25 as nitrogen fell 1.7% YoY and phosphate plummeted 8.7% YoY. FATIMA increased its market share by 4.6/4.2ppts YoY in Nit/Phos to 26.9/40.9% respectively.
Pakistan Economy: MPS Surprise 50bps cut in policy rate – By Foundation Research

Dec 15 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Today, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to cut the policy rate by 50bps to 10.5%. The decision was made considering inflation remained within the target range of 5-7% during 5MFY26, despite relatively sticky core inflation. The MPC believes economic activity is gaining traction, driven by improvements in key indicators like large-scale manufacturing. However, global challenges, particularly for exports, may impact the macroeconomic outlook. The MPC noted the available space to reduce the policy rate to support growth on a sustainable basis while maintaining price stability.
  • MPC noted several key developments. The FY25 Labor Force Survey indicates an increase in the unemployment rate from FY21, despite faster employment growth. SBP's FX reserves have risen to USD 15.8Bn, aided by a USD 1.2Bn IMF receipt. Consumer confidence has improved, while business confidence has moderated slightly. The overall and primary fiscal balances recorded surpluses in 1QFY26, led by a sizable SBP profit transfer. Globally, commodity prices are supportive, but financial conditions remain challenging with evolving tariff dynamics.
Pakistan Economy: IMF: Further reforms needed – By Foundation Research

Dec 12 2025


Foundation Securities


  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released the detailed report upon approval by its Executive Board of the 2nd review of the USD 7.0Bn Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and 1st review of the USD 1.3Bn Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). The IMF report cited the governments’ strong program implementation as 6 of 7 quantitative criteria, 4 of 8 indicative targets, and most continuous and other structural benchmarks were met at end-June 2025. This has maintained stability and improved financing and external conditions.
  • Pakistan’s 37-month EFF was approved on September 25, 2024, and aims to build resilience and enable sustainable growth. The program’s priorities remain centered on (i) entrenching macroeconomic stability through consistent implementation of sound macro policies, including rebuilding international reserve buffers and broadening the tax base; (ii) advancing reforms to strengthen competition and raise productivity and competitiveness; and (iii) reforming SOEs and improving public service provision, developing human and physical capital, and restoring energy sector viability.
Pakistan Cement: Soft turn out in Nov’25 – By Foundation Research

Dec 4 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Cement sector dispatches exhibited a decline of 2.4% YoY in Nov’25 to 4.1Mn tons, while capacity utilization remained muted at 57.2% vs. 57.3% in the SPLY. Local sales recorded a slight increase of 3.3% YoY to 3.5Mn tons, showing mild signs of demand recovery and improved macros. However, exports declined by a sizable 26.5% YoY to reach 0.6Mn tons. This decline is a function of improved domestic demand post floods, high base effect and complete closure of Afghan border which is evident from the slump in North exports.
  • Fall in local dispatches of 9.7% MoM is primarily due to high base effect and weather changes. Local demand continued to show early signs of recovery in the aftermath of floods, aided by improved macros. However, exports were materially impacted, owing to Afghan border closure as evident by a large MoM decline 28.9% and improved local sales.
Kohat Cement Company Limited (KOHC): FY25 Analyst Briefing Takeaways – By Foundation Research

Nov 11 2025


Foundation Securities


  • Kohat Cement Company Limited (KOHC PA) held its 1QFY26 analyst briefing today to discuss financial/operational performance and outlook of the company.
  • Kohat Cement Company Limited (KOHC PA) profitability clocked in at PKR 2.9Bn (EPS: PKR 3.20/sh) in 1QFY26 vs. PKR 3.4Bn (EPS: PKR 3.74/sh) during 1QFY25. In FY25, KOHC profitability was reported at PKR 11.6Bn (EPS: PKR 12.59/sh) as compared to PKR 8.9Bn (EPS: PKR 9.67/sh) in FY24.
  • In 1QFY26, local retention prices settled at PKR 14.6k/ton vs. cost incurred of PKR 9.6k/ton. However retention prices in FY25 stood at PKR 16.1k/ton vs. PKR 14.9k/ton in the year prior. Recently prices have increased which would offset impact of surge in coal prices thereby gross margins will sustain.
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